Aeroflot - Rejig
Aeroflot switched from Russian types to Western ones because they were better. Changing back now will leave Aeroflot in a poor position with an inferior fleet mix once sanctions are lifted and worldwide flights resume. They seemed to have got their act together safety and service wise and were a reasonable option on some routes. Their best hope would be an end to the war early next year with Putin being removed and a gradual normalisation of trade and transport. Long term international pariah status is accepted by Iran but the Russians probably won't be so keen on it and will want to normalise as soon as possible, which could happen simply by withdrawing from the Ukraine.
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Aeroflot switched from Russian types to Western ones because they were better. Changing back now will leave Aeroflot in a poor position with an inferior fleet mix once sanctions are lifted and worldwide flights resume. They seemed to have got their act together safety and service wise and were a reasonable option on some routes. Their best hope would be an end to the war early next year with Putin being removed and a gradual normalisation of trade and transport. Long term international pariah status is accepted by Iran but the Russians probably won't be so keen on it and will want to normalise as soon as possible, which could happen simply by withdrawing from the Ukraine.
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*I have no doubt anyone who is even close to replacing Putin will have to have a similar mindset to him otherwise they wouldn't get anywhere near power. Unless there is a coup in Russia again, which doesn't seem likely, I can't see how Putin can be removed from office and his cronies also Purged.
I doubt that you are correct. Follow the money.
At the moment, the Western aircraft in Russia are still probably salvageable but the longer this goes on the more likely they are to pass the point of no return. Once too many dodgy parts are fitted, inspection times exceeded and maintenance gets too far out of date they will be scrap value only in the west.
The Iranians might be able to do something with them as they managed to get a few FBW Airbus types during a brief lifting of sanctions a while back and have a demonstrated capability in keeping ageing aircraft going in the face of sanctions. The A320 is operated worldwide and money talks, getting a few airlines in the third world to increase their spare parts orders a bit wouldn't be difficult.
The Iranians might be able to do something with them as they managed to get a few FBW Airbus types during a brief lifting of sanctions a while back and have a demonstrated capability in keeping ageing aircraft going in the face of sanctions. The A320 is operated worldwide and money talks, getting a few airlines in the third world to increase their spare parts orders a bit wouldn't be difficult.
Last edited by krismiler; 24th Sep 2022 at 23:33.
I think it is already too late for any Western aircraft operated after the sanctions, There would be no way to prove that any piece of the aircraft had not been subject to unauthorized maintenance.
In any case all the leasors are pursuing insurance claims. I am sure they would rather have the cash than an airframe of unknown condition so they won’t accept the return of any airframe that is not 100% compliant with Western airworthiness standards.
In any case all the leasors are pursuing insurance claims. I am sure they would rather have the cash than an airframe of unknown condition so they won’t accept the return of any airframe that is not 100% compliant with Western airworthiness standards.
