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Police helicopter crashes onto Glasgow pub

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Old 29th Apr 2015, 17:38
  #2861 (permalink)  
 
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Why is it a slur? Lets take this BBC news story as a line in the sand.

AAIB ready to publish report on Clutha helicopter crash - BBC News

In November 2014 the statement from the AAIB was:-

The statement said: "This, together with further examination of the aircraft and subsequent tests, has now been completed, to the extent that the investigation team may reach its conclusions.

"Several weeks are still required to complete the draft final report and it is expected that this draft will be circulated to 'interested parties', as defined by the Regulations, for comment early in 2015.


"The final report is expected to be published in the middle of 2015."

So describe the process that now follows and maintains the highest level of integrity that befits the AAIB. I struggle to see how an independent board investigating the facts of the matter need to circulate drafts...

Either the team were able to reach conclusions or as it has published many times in the past it is unable to conclude matters.
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 18:44
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Does anybody seriously think a draft report should be put into the public domain?
Correct. Interested parties only. The final report will be quite different to the draft! See the mil threads on here.
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 20:06
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Originally Posted by Pittsextra
I struggle to see how an independent board investigating the facts of the matter need to circulate drafts...
You are struggling because you are attempting to analyse and pronounce on areas of which you have no knowledge.

The short answer is that circulating the draft report to involved parties for comment is required by ICAO annex 13. All countries' accident investigation departments (who are members of ICAO) have to comply with that. If you disapprove I suggest you write to ICAO and explain that you think they are doing it all wrong.

The purpose of the process is to allow comments to be received. These comments may or may not be used to amend the report, that is up to the reporting body. It helps prevent misunderstandings or minor factual inaccuracies from making it into the final report.
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 20:11
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Originally Posted by dervish
Correct. Interested parties only. The final report will be quite different to the draft! See the mil threads on here.
No, not really interested parties (after all, the press would be most interested!) but involved parties such as the operator, manufacturer of airframe and engines, and regulator
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 20:26
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Originally Posted by Pittsextra
Why is it a slur?
Because tigerfish is not so subtly suggesting that the AAIB might publish their reports to a timescale dictated by national politics; specifically in order that the public will be distracted from the contents of those reports by more 'newsworthy' stories.

It's an unpleasant assertion without supporting evidence.

Where has there ever been a credible example of the AAIB behaving in such a manner? (Outside of the strange mind of Ms Sturgeon, of course.)
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 21:46
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The purpose of the process is to allow comments to be received. These comments may or may not be used to amend the report, that is up to the reporting body. It helps prevent misunderstandings or minor factual inaccuracies from making it into the final report.
The comments stem from the timescales... 4-5 months to engage with parties that have likely already been involved in the process that generated the draft..

I doubt in this case minor factual inaccuracies will make a hill of beans difference to the reasons for the crash or the people who have been most affected by the events, do you??
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Old 29th Apr 2015, 22:47
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Originally Posted by Pittsextra
4-5 months to engage with parties that have likely already been involved in the process that generated the draft..

I doubt in this case minor factual inaccuracies will make a hill of beans difference to the reasons for the crash or the people who have been most affected by the events
I really think you should familiarise yourself with ICAO annex 13 before launching these criticisms of the AAIB. The annex requires the reporter to allow at least 60 days for comments to come back. It can't really do much until all comments have been received since it is quite likely that the comments will be conflicting. Only after 60 days can it start to evaluate the comments to see whether they should be incorporated into the report or merely included as an appendix (ie "we received this comment, but decided not to modify the report as a consequence").

Although the report does not aim to apportion blame, it is often inevitable that blame becomes apparent from the report and so the fine detail of the wording is often argued over by the various interested parties (who of course are trying to protect their own arses). It is therefore not hard to see how another 60 to 90 days might pass before the report is ready for publication.

I have participated in an accident report (serious, though fortunately not fatal) - as an advisor and fortunately not as one being investigated - and this whole process does take a long time. In my case it was a foreign Board but I am sure it's the same the world over including UK.

Once the final report is published it's pretty hard to backtrack on a point or make a correction and so a lot of time is spent making sure that not only has the Board evaluated the accident correctly, but also that they have communicated their findings unambiguously - that latter part is no trivial task.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 05:27
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No, not really interested parties (after all, the press would be most interested!) but involved parties such as the operator, manufacturer of airframe and engines, and regulator
You are right but I used that term because it has a legal meaning in this context.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 06:33
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Helicomparitor, great posts!

Pitts, bow down to the greater knowledge and understanding of your intellectual superiors!
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 06:45
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Tiger fish, if you believe the assumed extension of mission time caused by combining Police Force areas is to blame for this accident then I am assuming you have decided that a low fuel state caused the accident.

The later may be the case, as yet we do not know. if low fuel state is the issue it could be caused by a technical or human error. again we do not know.

However, to suggest the increased mission lengths created this situation is a one dimensional approach to this complex issue. It rather implies that flying with the potential for running out of fuel is ok as long as the client does not ask to fly too far.

Let the AAIB do their impartial work.

As an aside I have flown Police an HEMS in UK. Whilst there are some awful realities about this tragedy, such as it was a public service helicopter supposed to help the public and of course the exact reverse happened, it is actually just another accident to AAIB. All accidents carry the spectre of litigation by someone against somebody. This accident is no different in these respects so I suggest you kerb the conspiracy theories and accept that for the AAIB, its business as usual.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 07:05
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DB - helicomparitors posts are very good and no doubt he has a good mind... 60 days he says, it's been over 120 days since it was reported they were distributing drafts (which makes note of the early 2015 timeframe they themselves gave).

Of course there could be all kinds of reasons for snags and hold ups but then if that is the case why not just communicate them? Not willing to engage seems Ivory tower.


Just saying.

Last edited by Pittsextra; 30th Apr 2015 at 09:12.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 07:40
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DB, Normally I would be one of the most strident in saying what you have. But don't you think that this one has gone on far longer than is reasonable given all the circumstances?
TF
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 09:14
  #2873 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Pittsextra
DB - helicomparitors posts are very good and no doubt he has a good mind... 60 days he says, it's been over 150 days since it was reported they were distributing drafts..

Just saying.
If you actually read what I said, it was a 60 day wait to get the comments back, and then a further significant period to process and maybe incorporate the comments. And then in reality checking the modified draft with the commenters.

We always want the report out "yesterday" but in practice we should bear in mind a few things:

AAIB have limited resources and this accident is just one of many, many they have to look at. They have to prioritise and a case can easily be made that it is more important to concentrate on a "near miss" accident to an airliner with 100s of passengers in order to prevent a repeat that does turn into an accident, than it is to prioritise this "small fry" accident, despite of course the impact the accident had on those involved.

Secondly it will be a difficult accident to analyse with the absence of FDR/CVR. This leads to "balance of probability" type analysis and that presents lots of scope for challenge by involved parties with arses to protect, some of whom are large government bodies.

Just be patient, it will be out when it is out and nothing you say will change that.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 12:31
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Originally Posted by Pittsextra
DB - helicomparitors posts are very good and no doubt he has a good mind... 60 days he says, it's been over 120 days since it was reported they were distributing drafts (which makes note of the early 2015 timeframe they themselves gave).

Of course there could be all kinds of reasons for snags and hold ups but then if that is the case why not just communicate them? Not willing to engage seems Ivory tower.

Just saying.
In 2008, in the aftermath of the BA38 incident at Heathrow, I posted this, in response to the insistance on "instant gratification", and much the same calls for "report, now!":-

Originally Posted by RTFM
I've just crunched the data on published formal reports by the AAIB back to 2006 (as far back as I could be bothered to go). The average length of time from incident to final report publication is 25.6 months, i.e. a little over two years. This does not and has not stopped them issuing recommendations, where appropriate, before the final report.

I'm quite happy for AAIB to resist the rabid frothing of the news media for sensational information to fill their 24-hour outpourings, and instead concentrate on trying to work out exactly what happened...
http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/3...ml#post4043766 The latter paragraph was applicable to the circumstances pertaining at the time.

While there are significant differences between the two events, the tragic deaths being the most obvious, I still prefer that the AAIB ensure that their enquiries is entirely focused on estblishing the facts, as far as it is possible to do, than responding to the demands of "the media"...

Just saying...

Last edited by RomeoTangoFoxtrotMike; 30th Apr 2015 at 12:46.
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 13:27
  #2875 (permalink)  
 
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The AAIB are positively meteoric in their response compared to some boards, e.g. Report on serious incident near Gullfaks B at Tampen HTZ 1. April 2010 with Sikorsky S-92A, LN-OQE operated by CHC Helikopter Service AS | aibn

5 years to report that: "It was discovered that the seat had detached from the rails because the forward slide stops were missing"
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 16:35
  #2876 (permalink)  
 
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RTFM,
Thank you! I have to say that I am surprised and would have expected the average to have been about 12 months less than that. But happy to be proved wrong and accept without question that the important thing is to get it right. So end of spin from me.
Guess its just a bit close to home base for me.
TF
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Old 30th Apr 2015, 19:08
  #2877 (permalink)  
 
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The AAIB are positively meteoric in their response compared to some boards, e.g. Report on serious incident near Gullfaks B at Tampen HTZ 1. April 2010 with Sikorsky S-92A, LN-OQE operated by CHC Helikopter Service AS | aibn

5 years to report that: "It was discovered that the seat had detached from the rails because the forward slide stops were missing"
Given the fact that the total number of staff of the AIR part of the Norwegian AIBN is - 8 - .......I think they do well. There has not been a shortage of helo accidents and incidents the last few years unfortunately. That the Tampen case got put on the back burner is not surprising.
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Old 6th May 2015, 12:33
  #2878 (permalink)  
 
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Clutha helicopter crash: AAIB completes draft report. BBC a few minutes ago.
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Old 6th May 2015, 16:14
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https://www.gov.uk/aaib-reports/aaib...lletin-s2-2014
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Old 6th May 2015, 16:36
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For the avoidance of doubt, the link provided by msmfi is not the draft report referred to in the BBC report today. Rather, it is the second Special Bulletin on the accident, this one being issued by the AAIB on 16 December 2014.
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