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-   -   CAE not social distancing (https://www.pprune.org/pacific-general-aviation-questions/631060-cae-not-social-distancing.html)

spektrum 30th Mar 2020 05:48

CAE not social distancing
 
Many mum and dad flying schools have done the right thing and shut up shop. Why is this multi-national not following suit?
Profits before peoples lives. Nice one.

Screen grab taken at time of posting.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....39f186a571.jpg

Ixixly 30th Mar 2020 06:13

Spektrum, there are many ways this could be done safely. This would be a perfect time to be getting Solo Hours for example. I could point out that quite simply put they aren't going against any of the directives set forth by the Government, social distancing says to keep 1.5m apart as much as possible for example or I could point out that wearing masks, disinfecting aircraft surfaces pre/post flight and liberal washing of hands would help mitigate a lot of risks along with monitoring students closely for fever using contactless thermometers.

But not much of this matters to everyone looking to jump on their high horse and decry all and sundry for not doing what they think is the right thing to do based on their own interpretation. I've seen Facebook groups with people looking to shame anyone who dares go on a walk with a friend or family, people who use public transport, infact, anyone who dares to set a single foot outside of their abode despite this NOT being the idea. There are "restricitions" in place, we are not in some kind of lock down.

So unless you have some very specific information about each and every one of these flights and how they're being performed I'd recommend pulling your head in and reserving your spare time for people actually doing stupid things like holding massive parties etc... or finding something more productive to do.

Horatio Leafblower 30th Mar 2020 06:37

Bravo Ixixly.

For what it's worth, CAE in Tamworth are using face masks and gloves as well as the other expected precautions.

Middle.Marker 30th Mar 2020 07:00

If you have anything to do with this organisation, this behaviour won’t surprise you.

Styx75 30th Mar 2020 07:40


Originally Posted by spektrum (Post 10732865)
Many mum and dad flying schools have done the right thing and shut up shop

Love how it's always mum and dad shops when the point needs to be run home.

My mum n dad used to skim the s*** out of their business. Just saying...

Squawk7700 30th Mar 2020 09:39

Where is the evidence that CAE Oxford are doing the wrong thing here?

AmarokGTI 30th Mar 2020 09:54

I think the point that is being made is that the advice is - don’t go out unless essential. And arguing if flight training is essential.

Not getting involved - just think thats what the aim of the post might be.

machtuk 30th Mar 2020 09:55

Whilst the Govt have put in place 4 reasons why you are allowed beyond yr property line (drugs, food med and excersuse) it's not illegal to move about freely it's just advise (at this stage), other than in to the area's closed. We 'should' stay home, that's not we must!

Squawk7700 30th Mar 2020 10:31

Opening my overly heavy hangar doors would be considered exercise. I’m in the clear.

Squawk7700 30th Mar 2020 10:34

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....ae0f695edd.png

Someone forgot to tell the RAAF :-)

Papa_Golf 30th Mar 2020 10:44

Quarantine sucks...

Runaway Gun 30th Mar 2020 11:18

Yet we are encouraged to continue to work.

Capn Bloggs 30th Mar 2020 11:48

ROLR=RAAF On Long Runway?

covec 30th Mar 2020 12:18

If CAE can do it then could we re-open our Flying School?

Masks, gloves - no probs.

john_tullamarine 30th Mar 2020 12:29

(a) My understanding is that CAE is taking a very rigorous approach throughout the organisation to the virus personal protection issue. Perhaps the OP ought to check his/her facts prior to launching an attack on any specific organisation ?

(b) Someone forgot to tell the RAAF :-) While noting the smiley, I think that the cockpit environment of the PC-21 is a world apart from that of the typical civil training aircraft so far as intracrew contamination issues might be concerned ...

Radgirl 30th Mar 2020 12:53


If CAE can do it then could we re-open our Flying School?
No, in the UK the Coronavirus Act makes it illegal.

The military are essential workers. The issue isnt just intracrew transmission. To operate a flying school you need to stop lockdown for maintenance, the fuel pathway, ATC and you have to get everyone mobile. All this negates lockdown and increases transmission. The more lax we are the more people will die, the longer we will be disrupted, and the more businesses will fail

Transpond 30th Mar 2020 12:59

I feel bad for the students tbh, as if it wasn't hard enough to get a job before, there's virtually 0 chance of them getting one now.


Ixixly 30th Mar 2020 14:41


Originally Posted by Radgirl (Post 10733280)
No, in the UK the Coronavirus Act makes it illegal.

The military are essential workers. The issue isnt just intracrew transmission. To operate a flying school you need to stop lockdown for maintenance, the fuel pathway, ATC and you have to get everyone mobile. All this negates lockdown and increases transmission. The more lax we are the more people will die, the longer we will be disrupted, and the more businesses will fail

Yes, but also no. There are many reasons we aren't just going completely into some kind of lock down and that as many businesses as possible that can be deemed low risk are being encouraged to keep going. a Flight School is education, education has NOT been told to shut down at all. The Classroom lessons can be done whilst observing social distancing with a little work, Maintenance can still go ahead as they're not often shoulder to shoulder and can keep a distance most of the time but there will need to be an acceptance that jobs will take a little longer to keep things safe. Fuelers don't need to come into contact at all and their adminside can likely be done remotely to keep them going and ATC for GA Towers aren't sitting in there shoulder to shoulder either, they're not closing down Airspace so they are still essential and no doubt adopting procedures.

Please people, don't fall into the panic trap that many are that they think the only way is to shut everything down. There are high risk and low risk activities, we're an industry that deals with Risk Management every single day so put those analytical skills to use before jumping on the "Shut it all down" bandwagon.

Ixixly 30th Mar 2020 14:44


Originally Posted by Transpond (Post 10733283)
I feel bad for the students tbh, as if it wasn't hard enough to get a job before, there's virtually 0 chance of them getting one now.

This will only slow them down, the industry will bounce back eventually and the training industry can adapt to current restrictions to keep people moving and progressing as much as possible in the mean time. it'll be tough no doubt but as someone who finished their training a month before the GFC hit I have a fairly good idea of what it's going to be like and feel positive that we'll recover, it'll just take some time.

student88 30th Mar 2020 14:58

I have also seen L3 aircraft flying over the UK for the last few days.

zanthrus 30th Mar 2020 15:36

Who cares about the UK? This thread is about CAE in Melbourne and Tamworth in Oztralia.

student88 30th Mar 2020 17:21

Your response encapsulates what I love about aviation, arms open wide community spirit. Don't go to Oshkosh, you'll probably hate it.

Squawk7700 30th Mar 2020 20:39

It’s naive to think that you would not catch the virus working in a control tower more than a couple of metres from your co-worker.

It’s all about surfaces, bathrooms, door handles and the like. It may slow it down but it won’t stop it.

djpil 30th Mar 2020 20:53


Originally Posted by Squawk7700 (Post 10733735)
It may slow it down but it won’t stop it.

That's it exactly, the plan is not to stop it but to slow it down.

This from a DAME a couple of days ago:

"Having said that, I support the current government process and am very resistant to the calls to shut us down further at this time - that time will come. Currently the World-o-Meters has us pegged with 23 serious cases in Australia. Hardly sufficient to overwhelm our health care (I think 2200 ICU beds across the country).

COVID-19 was identified as a pandemic in mid-January by the Australian Government. If the world wanted to "eradicate" COVID-19, that was the time to act. The problem is, if we eradicated it in Australia, we would have to permanently close the borders or instigate a quarantine for ALL entrants to Australia forever! This is because it was rampant elsewhere and we could never know who would or wouldn’t have it.

The alternative, which the Australian Government chose, was to allow it to occur, but to manage the spread. The idea is that at the end of the pandemic, we have an entire country that has been exposed to it and either died or recovered (hopefully with immunity).

COVID-19 transfers very easily between community members and the problem with this is that, while 80% of the population experience mild symptoms, the remaining 20% can get very sick, some needing up to 2 weeks in ICU. If the entire population of Australia (25M) was exposed within a month, say, then we would be looking at managing 5M sick people within that month. The health system can’t manage that!

Everyone has heard of "flattening the curve”. All we are trying to do is, instead of managing 5M in 1 month, we want to manage the same 5M over say, 6 months.
Isolation is for suspected or confirmed cases of COVID-19. This is a 2 week period of not leaving your home until you are either show no signs of symptoms or you have testing come back as negative.

Distancing is designed to slow the spread with people who may have contracted but have no/minor symptoms.
I have posted on private doctors’ forums my opinion of the current situation these simple facts:
- Nearly 100% of the population will be exposed - we can’t help that
- There is no cure
- There is no vaccine and unlikely to be one for 12-18 months
- 80%+ of the population will barely notice contracting the virus
- There is an issue with overwhelming the healthcare system - hence we need to slow the spread to ensure that people will have adequate healthcare available when they need it
- The people who are likely to struggle with it the most are old, immunocompromised or have significant co-morbidities (mainly respiratory)

The issue with a complete lockdown, is all we achieve is postponing an inevitable event.

Let’s say we made everyone sit at home for 2 weeks (except healthcare workers and emergency services). Let’s assume we could get food/water etc to everyone for the two weeks. At the end of the two weeks there would likely be no more cases within Australia. Then we return to full normal functions and one person re-introduces it back - whether it be by travel, or a number of people without symptoms acting as a reservoir. That puts us back at square one to start again. This just doesn’t work!

We need to control the spread of the virus through our population. Unfortunately, we don’t have many ways to do this - its not like we can see who has it and is spreading it. So that leaves us with very blunt levers.

Currently the opinion is that healthy children are very unaffected by the virus. Therefore they have been allowed to continue with their schooling. I can’t work out the reason for this - to reduce them spreading it to parents/grandparents? to keep their parents (especially healthcare workers) working? To promote some spread within the population? I always say that if there is a number of plausible explanations, it is probably a combination of them all, rather than one specific reason.

So now the government is trying to slow this spread, but keep the spread going.

If we close down to fast, then we don’t have enough spread, numbers dwindle, peoples patience fatigues meaning that when we actually need to shut everything down - people resist and we return to a steep curve. Further, our health care system will be working significantly below capacity, prolonging the time to 100% infection in the community.

If we close down too slow, we are back to the steep curve with an overwhelmed health care system.

So the blunt levers that the government has is restriction of movement for well people - this can be tighter/looser depending on our current infection numbers. I am predicting that when the numbers get high, we will close down schools, hair dressers, take-aways etc and when the numbers dwindle these will be re-opened, and I think we will see this open/close/open/close process as we cycle through the process.

So back to your question, we should be isolating those with genuine risk, and distancing those who haven’t had it yet.

As for complete isolation for remote areas, I don’t see the point (remember, I don’t have all the information that the government has), because, they will need to be exposed at some point (unless they want to be locked down for 18 months while a vaccine is developed and introduced.

The same as when you get in a car/plane/motorcycle, you take safety precautions (seatbelts, transponders, helmets, follow the rules), we need to be doing this now.

Does it guarantee your safety, nope, all life ends. Cars/motorbikes have accidents, planes fall out of the sky, but it doesn’t stop you living.

My biggest critique of the current government is the lack of information they have provided to support their plan and the massive amount of fear-mongering going on within the community, both medical and non-medical."

Lead Balloon 30th Mar 2020 21:02

It’s a simple fact that it appears governments don’t want to state simply:

Most if not all of us are going to be infected, eventually.

The plan is to try to ensure the infection rate does not overwhelm our ICU capacity, by slowing the spread.

Sunfish 30th Mar 2020 21:13

We are all thus part of a great experiment whether we like it or not. What concerns me is the number of idiots who think this is a fake, manufactured, plot.


Sabena320 30th Mar 2020 21:31

Despite what my personal opinion is on this whole COVID-19 situation and how this is handled worldwide, the fact is that as a responsible flight school you should not continue your operations. CAE Phoenix only started to take some cleaning measures a few days ago and they still allow training flights with both student and FI's sitting in a confined space together. Instead of closing down their ops temporarily they are letting the choice to fly or not to fly up to both students and instructors. They are trying to let students return home (at own expense of course) which they in fact prefer as they are dealing with severe training capacity constraints in PHX and this would give them a temporarily relief. The question is not if remaining open is acceptable or safe to do so, because that doesn't even matter nowadays. In these times it would be irresponsible as a company to keep on doing as if nothing is happening. The public opinion is very strong and they will decide what is acceptable or not. At the moment they say they are considered an 'essential' company or service, but is it? Nobody is waiting for these pilots to finish their training because there are no planes to fly with now, so of course this is not essential in these times
In Europe CAE did already close training facilities etc, so no point in rushing the flight training.

Okihara 30th Mar 2020 22:01


Originally Posted by Sunfish (Post 10733766)
We are all thus part of a great experiment whether we like it or not. What concerns me is the number of idiots who think this is a fake, manufactured, plot.

Brasil's Bolsonaro is a prime example of a populist prick whose ignorance/stupidity/selfishness is about to kill millions of his own as he continues to minimise health risks and to ignore science.


Sunfish 30th Mar 2020 22:07

LB, PM..........

Lead Balloon 30th Mar 2020 22:08


Originally Posted by Sunfish (Post 10733766)
We are all thus part of a great experiment whether we like it or not. What concerns me is the number of idiots who think this is a fake, manufactured, plot.

I don’t think the Australian authorities are doing what they are doing, just for fun.

We were already part of a ‘great experiment’ called ‘natural selection’. Humans have always been merely life support systems for bugs. Sometimes the bugs get too strong and kill their host. Those bugs don’t survive. Sometimes the host kills the bugs. Those hosts don’t survive. It’s a symbiosis.

(PS: Response to PM sent.)

junior.VH-LFA 31st Mar 2020 00:14


Originally Posted by Squawk7700 (Post 10733131)

Someone forgot to tell the RAAF :-)

Except the RAAF absolutely has a national security imperative to continue training operations. The demand for pilots within Air Force isn't going anywhere; one could argue in this interesting geopolitical times, it may actually be increasing; as corny as it sounds, you can't hit pause on national security, it is very much an essential service.

Also worth noting that they're sitting almost 1.5 meters away from each other, wearing gloves and breathing out of a mask with OBOGS. It's not a 172.

You probably posted this ironically and I took the bait. That's on me :p

aroa 31st Mar 2020 02:56

One of the great things about adversity.. good humour rises to the surface... Love it Laughs are good for you.
Rolls of toilet paper are traded increasing in value as Buttcoin
The bog roll hoarders and fighters have proved the country has more ar$eholes that we thought.

Pinky the pilot 31st Mar 2020 02:57

Just had a brief look at FR24 showing my area (Riverland South Australia) and there is one FTA DA40 tracking back towards YPFL after having done a few circuits at YWKI.

Situation normal for here.

chance 31st Mar 2020 05:12


Originally Posted by zanthrus (Post 10733459)
Who cares about the UK? This thread is about CAE in Melbourne and Tamworth in Oztralia.

FTA show up on Flight Radar with about 5 DA40 operating out of Wellcamp for the Qantas Academy.
Not sure about Archerfield sausage factories

RENURPP 31st Mar 2020 05:27


Originally Posted by spektrum (Post 10732865)
Many mum and dad flying schools have done the right thing and shut up shop. Why is this multi-national not following suit?
Profits before peoples lives. Nice one.

Screen grab taken at time of posting.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....39f186a571.jpg

Whats the difference between this flying traning organisations and airlines in Australia?
Its not 1.5 meters between seats?

https://www.flightradar24.com/-29.32,137.4/5

ziggerz 31st Mar 2020 06:24

Yep. Whats the point. Fta at parafield have been flying like mad. Must be trying to get as much in before any more restrictions? What is the point of the restrictions if so many dont even bother. We may as well encourage community transmission to build immunity.

thisishardtochoose 31st Mar 2020 07:04


Originally Posted by RENURPP (Post 10734077)
Whats the difference between this flying traning organisations and airlines in Australia?
Its not 1.5 meters between seats?

https://www.flightradar24.com/-29.32,137.4/5

Flight Training Organisations are still making money whereas the Airlines are not?

Squawk7700 31st Mar 2020 08:27


Originally Posted by junior.VH-LFA (Post 10733907)
Except the RAAF absolutely has a national security imperative to continue training operations. The demand for pilots within Air Force isn't going anywhere; one could argue in this interesting geopolitical times, it may actually be increasing; as corny as it sounds, you can't hit pause on national security, it is very much an essential service.

Also worth noting that they're sitting almost 1.5 meters away from each other, wearing gloves and breathing out of a mask with OBOGS. It's not a 172.

You probably posted this ironically and I took the bait. That's on me :p

Hence the smiley face :-)

Police are in the same boat. Classrooms of 25 (sometimes 50), graduating every couple of weeks or so, 20-25 at a time.

RENURPP 31st Mar 2020 10:32


Originally Posted by thisishardtochoose (Post 10734147)
Flight Training Organisations are still making money whereas the Airlines are not?

is it about $$$ or preventing transmission?

as some one above said we aren’t being kept informed. The assumption appears to be “we can’t handle the truth” and they’re probably correct.

the intention appears to be to flatten the curve to ensure the medical system isn’t overwhelmed, with the intention that over time we will all be subject to the virus. Basically controlling the infection rate rather than preventing any transmissions
that’s reasonable.

Radgirl 31st Mar 2020 10:37

Can anyone give any reference stating the Australian Government's plan is herd immunity? djpil's post is interesting for missing out one word - DEATH. The risk of an individual dying is the same if you do nothing or if you use lockdown to reduce the surge. ie you are not preventing a single death with herd immunity unless you are overwhelming the health services

The death rate is very difficult to estimate due to poor data on the true infection incidence. Original Chinese data was 2% but there is a suspicion they have under reported. In Italy and Spain it is in high single figures of infected cases. Also herd immunity may not get more than 40% of the population infected leading to a possible second wave in a year's time.......Are you really saying we will condemn hundreds of thousands of Australians to death? No other country I know of has gone down this route. Australia has braver politicians than NZ :mad:


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