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-   The Pacific: General Aviation & Questions (https://www.pprune.org/pacific-general-aviation-questions-91/)
-   -   Plane missing en route YCAB? (https://www.pprune.org/pacific-general-aviation-questions/496863-plane-missing-en-route-ycab.html)

bentleg 2nd Oct 2012 07:36

Flightaware shows two parallel semi circular tracks by VH-PPQ (Dornier search aircraft) over some serious tiger country. Looks like it returned to Maroochydore just before 5 PM.

Dangly Bits 2nd Oct 2012 10:11

Does anyone know if Ray V and his wife were on board?

Disregard! Just read the updated Courier Mail.

DB

tail wheel 2nd Oct 2012 11:35

The aircraft is missing and has not been found.

No one knows what occurred or whether the pilot and passengers survived.

To all those with fabulous crystal balls, please refrain from idle, ludicrous, wild speculation until the full and true facts are known.

:=

olderairhead 2nd Oct 2012 11:38

tail wheel, thanks for the intervention. (and censorship)

This one is too close to home.

ForkTailedDrKiller 2nd Oct 2012 11:59

You don't need a crystal ball to see the obvious.

The truth can be painful!

Dr :8

CHAIRMAN 2nd Oct 2012 12:36

Bentleg, after the Dornier departed, OMM maintained overhead comms for the search helos until just after dark..........still no sign.
Thanks to the EMS and all the helo crews for their efforts. It must have been a very long day, and even longer with the disappointment of no positive outcome despite their concerted efforts.
It's obvious the SAR organisers are doing everything they possibly can.
Lets hope for some success tomorrow.

A37575 2nd Oct 2012 12:37


If he was in cloud and struggling you'd expect he would have maintained his heading at least
No way. If he was IMC (cloud or reduced visibility with no visible horizon), then within seconds his heading would be all over the place and soon after he would be in serious trouble. If the aircraft did not have an AH and only a Turn and bank Indicator, then even the most experienced instrument rated pilot wouldn't last long in cloud unless he was in current practice at limited panel I/F.

Very few instrument rated pilots operating light general aviation twins ever bother to hop into a synthetic trainer and practice instrument approaches with the AH inoperative. Many cannot be bothered to practice limited panel manoeuvers in a ground trainer, either because of the perceived cost of hiring the machine or most probably because they know they will make a fool of themselves and crash. Head in the sand syndrome.

slackie 2nd Oct 2012 20:09


This one's too close to home
Actually, ever accident is "too close to home" for someone, and they may be reading any thread!

frigatebird 2nd Oct 2012 21:21

No crystal ball here.. but, To Me.. it would seem that fuel is at the heart of it, as it is in many similar situations like Norfolk Island (and Bellona Island in '78 when I was talking to the ex-New Guinea pilot as he was turning back), so the questions asked by Renegade are what any pilot would want to know. If it is o.k. for morno, xxx and Jaba to comment, then it is equally o.k. for anyone. Do we hope to learn anything from this, or is it 'to close to home' for some? Loved the look of that Red Plane and snapped it a few times, but when I saw where the pilot sat with very little fuselage in front of him for a horizon/attitude reference in marginal vfr conditions, and the basic '30's layout of the few instruments, thought at the time that it was a fine-weather only fun plane.

Wally Mk2 2nd Oct 2012 22:05

Oh dear this is such a sad event unfolding.It would bring a tear to every aviator if they found them all alive just awaiting rescue but it doesn't look like that's going to be the case sadly;-(.

Remember folks that this A/C & many like it where often faced with this same situation back in that era with pilots having far less experience than perhaps what we have here today. Low cloud, low performance machines unable to out climb deteriorating wx conditions all make for a very high risk event.
Flying in itself is inherently dangerous but it's the area beyond the cross-over point of acceptable risk that's always being challenged.

Obviously the pilot didn't take off with the intention of getting in a peril-is situation but experience is the single key to avoid these sad outcomes. Am sure we've all pretty much found ourselves somewhere wanting to be somewhere else when it comes to aviation so when these events happen & there will be more you can guarantee it lets all hope that we can learn from it/them so we don't find ourselves in the same situation.
The search must be very frustrating. One scenario here could be that the plane went into the think overhead canopy in a steep decent taking out the upper heavy foliage branches of the tall trees as it careered on down towards the forest floor bringing those same branches down atop the wreckage essentially camouflaging it, a situation that has had many a searcher over the years straining their eyes to see thru that vegetation.
Gods speed to the rescuers:ok:


Wmk2

4Greens 2nd Oct 2012 22:23

Pilots in that era could fly with a limited panel. Its modern pilots who have a problem.

ForkTailedDrKiller 2nd Oct 2012 23:33


The aircraft is missing and has not been found.
No one knows what occurred or whether the pilot and passengers survived.
To all those with fabulous crystal balls, please refrain from idle, ludicrous, wild speculation until the full and true facts are known.
None of the above will change the ultimate outcome. However, if discussion of the possible senario(s) that have resulted in the current circumstance makes one pilot rethink their risk assessment, then some good will have come out of this tragedy.

Dr :8

Lodown 2nd Oct 2012 23:36

Having spent a fair bit of time flying VFR in southern Qld, I feel a pit in the stomach for the pilot and passengers. Do enough VFR and pilots soon work out where they can squeeze through during periods of cruddy weather. That area is just a huge trap in bad weather, particularly with a SE flow. The clouds stick to the hills and have ragged bases and there is just no safe way through the hills. VFR flights to the south have to be planned coastal or inland via Kingaroy and if the weather is really bad, then Kingaroy is out of action too and the pilot on the inland leg has to come south of Toowoomba before turning east. On the coastal side, the low cloud in combination with the higher ground around Gympie and Nambour really pushes the VFR pilot right to the coast. There are simply no shortcuts. Must be extremely difficult for the searchers. Hopefully the aircraft occupants are okay and just waiting to be found.

splitty 3rd Oct 2012 01:09

In Feb 1962 Brian Chadwick flying his DH Dragonfly with 5 pax. dissappeared while flying from Christchurch to Milford Sound. Unfortunatly No Sightings where ever of that Aircraft to this Day.........Very Sad. Hope this is not the same outcome..

onetrack 3rd Oct 2012 02:45

I believe Wally Mk2 is right on the nail. With police and search authorities now in possession of information from credible eyewitnesses on Bella Creek Rd - who sighted the Dragon circling low over a valley just N of Lake Borumba, then ascending into heavy cloud, just before the reported disappearance time - the scenario is screaming to me, of a CFIT into steeply rising terrain on a ridge surrounding that valley.
No doubt the police and search team leaders have taken this scenario on board, and have adjusted search tactics accordingly.

I'll hazard a guess at this scenario. Des realised he was flying into dangerous IMC and needed to put down quickly. He sighted the cleared valley floor through a break in the murk, and descended to check it out for landing potential. A couple of circles showed nothing suitable for a forced landing.

So, in increasing cloud and perhaps even a rapidly-lowering ceiling, he set off the EPIRB, and aimed at what he thought was the valley outlet, whilst firewalling the throttles for maximum RoC, knowing full well he needed height, and lots of it.
However, flying blind, he picked the direction of one of the sizeable ridgelines that surround the valley, and the leisurely RoC of the Dragon was inadequate to clear the valley ridgeline, and he impacted the ridgeline in steeply rising, heavily wooded terrain, that has a thick canopy.

The impact would have been at a upward angle, roughly equivalent to the angle of the maximum RoC - and the Dragon tore through the canopy, and largely disintegrated upon impact with very large hardwoods at high speed.

There would be little major structural sections left, perhaps only a major section of the fuselage.
The impact point would not be visible from above, it will only be visible to observers flying along the face of the ridgeline, and looking out horizontally at the steep terrain.

This would be the reason why the search so far has found nothing. Observers would perhaps have been imagining an impact downwards from a falling aircraft that they think has run out of fuel - when the impact has been upwards at full throttle.
The impact would have possibly destroyed the EPIRB, thus the short period between activation and the cessation of the signal.

Ramjet555 3rd Oct 2012 03:05

Dragon
 
I'm in Canada but had to make a few calls.
First the Dornier is not searching, its doing Radio Monitoring
believe it or not.

The Helicopters are doing a great job,
all very carefully detailed search areas that
they are slowly working through
and apparently going from around
the Bella Creek area where it was last spotted.

Can anyone put some times on when it was spotted circling
for "half an hour" and when Des was talking to BN Radio?

Ramjet

Ex FSO GRIFFO 3rd Oct 2012 03:41

Onetrack,

Re yr 'With police and search authorities now in possession of information from credible eyewitnesses on Bella Creek Rd - who sighted the Dragon circling low over a valley just N of lake Borumba'...

Are these 'confirmed sightings'..??

Source please??

spinex 3rd Oct 2012 03:47

From radio traffic it sounds as if wreck sighted. Going by the co-ordinates I copied, very close to the last sighting referred to above.

VH-XXX 3rd Oct 2012 04:10

If those coordinates are correct that are being sent around, it's here:

My link was incorrect:

deg

s26.27.33 e152.19.30

mcoates 3rd Oct 2012 04:23

Just 2 kms from an airfield !

slackie 3rd Oct 2012 04:24

Taken back in '09 when we visited Caboolture Airfield... a grand old lady!
http://sphotos-a.ak.fbcdn.net/hphoto..._7959251_n.jpg

http://sphotos-h.ak.fbcdn.net/hphoto...55386408_n.jpg
Hardly an IFR cockpit?!

onetrack 3rd Oct 2012 04:26

Griffo, numerous press reporters interviewing police, said that the police stated that they had credible witnesses for the sighting near Bella Creek Rd.

It's all over the media now ...

Wreckage of missing vintage plane found near Lake Borumba, west of Imbil | thetelegraph.com.au

VH-XXX - Your co-ordinates appear to show a tree plantation at that location?

mcoates - Yes, and I'd guess it's highly likely Des knew of that airfield location, and was trying to find it?

Ex FSO GRIFFO 3rd Oct 2012 04:46

ABC Radio (720 PH) says report 'just in' - reporting wreckage sighted on the banks of Borumba Dam by a 'charter acft' engaged in the search - said to be a 'high impact crash'....

That is all so far....

Thankyou Onetrack...

mcoates 3rd Oct 2012 04:46

AERIAL SEARCH LOCATES MISSING AIRCRAFT IN SOUTH-EAST QUEENSLAND
The search for a missing aircraft in south-east Queensland has been suspended following the
confirmed sighting of the wreckage this afternoon.
An AGL Action rescue helicopter sighted the red biplane north of Borumba Dam before 2pm.
The search team has confirmed there are no survivors.
Queensland Police are on the scene and continuing further investigations.
The Australian Maritime Safety Authority would like to thank those involved in the search and
members of the public for their input.
Media Enquiries

tail wheel 3rd Oct 2012 05:01

Courier Mail is reporting a tragic end:

No survivors in crash of missing vintage plane found near Lake Borumba, west of Imbil | The Courier-Mail

bogdantheturnipboy 3rd Oct 2012 05:01

Terrible News
 
Terrible news, there are no survivors

HootSuite Photos | Facebook

onetrack 3rd Oct 2012 05:19

Here's an aerial view of the region. Fearful country to traverse, flying VFR into IMC. This pic was taken on a good day, no doubt.

Panoramio - Photos of the World

Kudos to the SAR men and women who have worked long, difficult and largely thankless hours. It's sad that the eventual find is so grim, but at least they were found, thanks to the unstinting efforts of many people.

VH-XXX 3rd Oct 2012 05:27


The aircraft crash site was initially located using mobile phone technology - one of the mobiles on board was still operating - and then a helicopter crewman sighted the wreckage this afternoon.
Interesting.

So much for the non-GPS ELT.

spacesage 3rd Oct 2012 05:30

More than likely technology on the AMSA Dorniers. Both were in the area today.

blackhand 3rd Oct 2012 05:33


All the evidence currently available would appear to point to an "avoidable" accident!
Let the usual shullbit begin

onetrack 3rd Oct 2012 05:34


All the evidence currently available would appear to point to an "avoidable" accident!
FTDK - Aren't nearly all aircraft crashes avoidable? There but for the grace of God, go most of us. We've all made bad judgement calls, and some of us have survived by more arse than class, and some of us haven't.
Des obviously made some bad judgement calls, we'll never know what was driving him, to press on in deteriorating WX conditions.
One thing is for sure - only those who know WX conditions very well, and study developing WX intensely, between departure and destination, are the ones who are most likely to survive and avoid trouble.
The important thing is to drop all other priorities, no matter how important, and land quickly when you run into conditions which exceed you and your aircrafts capabilities.
All too often, pressing engagements, tight schedules, and other daily demands assume a priority over the major priority - that of reaching your destination safely, in one piece.

markis10 3rd Oct 2012 05:35

The mobile tracking would have had to have come from the telco, the Dorniers would not be capable of tracking a non discrete digital emission and then triangulating it.

owen meaney 3rd Oct 2012 05:36

Mr Porter(RIP) donated a lot of his flights to RFDS, a word of appreciation from them would not be remiss

Max Tow 3rd Oct 2012 05:38

FTDK:
Your insensitivity is appalling - show some respect for our fellow aviator. How about a first reaction of condolences to those involved rather than your smug judgement & smiley icon?

slackie 3rd Oct 2012 05:46

I've said this before...

There are 4 types of pilots
1. those that heed advice of not pressing on beyond their ability,
2. those that do press on and, more though luck than good management, survive to tell the tail and learn from their mistake
3. those that do press on and don't survive,
4. those that are yet to wind up being in a position that will define them in one of the first 3 categories!

I'm definitely a "2":O, and unfortunately I've known too many "3"s in my time.:{

A tragic end.

Condolences to all involved.

blackhand 3rd Oct 2012 05:59

Some are destined to die with their boots on and some fade slowly gasping their last in a lonely hospice.
A life well lived Mr Porter RIP

Elfatness 3rd Oct 2012 05:59

In FTDK's defence, he did already give his condolences in an earlier post that was removed.

But yes a sad time for the industry as a whole. Thoughts are with the families of all on board :(

gileraguy 3rd Oct 2012 06:03

Black hand

What about the pax?

Elfatness 3rd Oct 2012 06:06

No survivors in crash of missing vintage plane found near Lake Borumba, west of Imbil | News.com.au

No Good :(

Dora-9 3rd Oct 2012 06:14

Vale Des Porter
 
RIP mate, it was a privilege to know you.

http://i10.photobucket.com/albums/a1...g/dragon-4.jpg


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