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Where is aviation headed??

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Old 18th Dec 2003, 10:33
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scud_runner
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Post Where is aviation headed??

Just curious to what other people think of where aviation is heading. I am starting to wondering whether it is even worth it anymore.

We are seeing wages get driven down and down which has consequences across the industry. With Jetstar taking on below average wages this has to have a impact on guys in regionals and National Jet. How can a Dash 8 captain warrant his pay packet when Jetstar are paying a little bit more for an aircraft that has 6 times the capacity.

In Europe people are buying FO jobs through cadet programs and in Australia we are seeing cadets get regional jobs as well.

So where will it end??? As I see it Airlines are heading closer to GA as we speak. Pilots pay for the priviledge of getting a job then have to doing everything in the job description as well the cleaning, loading and who knows what else??

As I see the pilot of the future will have to:


Pay for his own flying training $40 000

Buy time $$

Pay to put an application to an airline $50
Pay to do skills testing $100
Pay for an endorsement $30 000
Will you have to pay for renewals like in GA??

There was a post recently by the thinking piloy saying how GA is worth taking all crap because when you get in an airline it will be worth it. Some how I don't that will be the case anymore.

I hope I'm wrong !!

 
Old 18th Dec 2003, 12:38
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Yeah, you're right! However there is only one group of people who can do anything about it
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Old 18th Dec 2003, 14:28
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Angel

If you are involved in any type of flying Scud you are doing well.

Try telling your story to the eager young aviator that cant get a medical for what ever reason. We have all seen it.

Now are you really doing that badly?

Cheereo Douglas.
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Old 18th Dec 2003, 15:18
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It's not a question of doing badly it's a question of people having to subsidise a multi million dollar business only to get paid less than the guy refuelling your aircraft!!
 
Old 19th Dec 2003, 06:06
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In my humble opinion...

...what you see happening at the moment is the breaking of the pilot's back. It's the UK Coal Strike of the '00's. Pilot salaries, conditions and productivity are one of (not the only) the traditional industrial constraints commercial airlines have long grown unhappy with. The history-making global aviation downturn of the past 3 years has shattered the industry and airlines lie like the wreckage along the highway between Kuwait City and Iraq.

The growth of low-cost airlines across the world is an absolute consequence of the state of the industry. Low-cost carriers satisfy a market need but they need to shatter every traditional cost constraint. Some do it by compromising on engineering (not accruing reserves), some do it by keeping the management levels thin (great idea unless you get the wrong management), and some do it by taking the costs out of the salaries of the labour force.

It's bad now, but I believe it cant last forever. As the aviation market picks up their will be growth in jobs and what was once a captive work force will become transient, looking for the best deal wherever it may be. And believe me, the cost of turnover will be far more disturbing to the airline (once it understands it), not to mention the safety consequences.

Airlines will, inevitably, realise the value of a loyal work-force. There are a few companies around the world who have realised this value and are perceived as unique. Someday soon it will not be unique but common-place.

In the meantime its important that you all have a single voice, and that you are prepared to trade-off some conditions and increase your productivity (put the pressure back on the management to be more efficient at scheduling and rostering) in return for steady, relevant salaries. If you do this from a point of pro-activity as opposed to threat you can actually achieve a lot.

An airline has an easier time justifying fixed costs than it does variable costs. Allowances, and other constraints create variance and airlines die on variance - it absolutely destroys cashflow.
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 15:20
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Question

As the aviation market picks up their (sic) will be growth in jobs...
Well if that isn`t what`s happening NOW, we`re going to be waiting a helluva long time to see it!

"In the meantime its important that you all have a single voice, "...that`s a bit of a joke coming from you, P1 - one who was directly responsible for facilitating the removal of the one strong voice pilots did have!
Cry me a river.
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 15:25
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Kaptin M - did I miss something? How exactly did I do that?
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 15:36
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Douglas McDonnell

You disappoint me! I thought you were an Impulse pilot from impressions of another thread.

The IPG is in a position of strength ( and responsibility ) to preserve and improve piloting conditions.

I may be wrong, but you seem to have resigned yourself to a bent over the barrell attitude of somebody so lucky to be in aviation.

Interest rates increasing may keep a few from taking huge flying loans considering the poor rewards on offer.
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 18:26
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scud_runner

It's not a question of doing badly it's a question of people having to subsidise a multi million dollar business only to get paid less than the guy refuelling your aircraft!!
I wouldn't want to be the guy refuelling the aircraft, even if he got paid 10 times what I do.

If it's all to sad for you, go find another job, and leave the flying jobs for those who really want to fly.

Here We Go Again !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 20:17
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P1
Can you (or Kaptin M) answer me some simple questions please regarding GA? And I will say here that I agree totally with P1's comments.
As I understand it if your local GA charter/flying school/aero club is a named respondent to the Federal pilot's award then that company has to abide by that award - but if the outfit is not named as a respondent to the award (and bear in ming I'm talking strictly GA here) then that company only has to pay thebasic federal wage (breadline) .
You tell me how any any full time GA company that is a respondent to the award can compete with their opposition without asking from their staff what u suggest?
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 20:40
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If an organisation is not a respondent to the award they can be "roped in".

However it is a mute point. Those organisations that are respondents and tell everyone that they "pay the award" probably don't. For example the favourite old chestnut is not paying a minimum of 2 hours flying in a 4 hour duty period for a casual employee. Or 4 hours minimum for an 8 hour duty period.

The really insidious disease is the "contracting" of pilots. Meaning they go to the website and get themselves an ABN then invoice the operator. Usually at a rate well below the award minimum and definately not taking in to account GST, Super, accounting provisions etc. The operator wipes his hands if caught and says "but I contract out the provision of pilots to DirtCheap Aviation". But guess what when the ATO come knocking you had better "contract" to more than one operator otherwise you are considered an employee of the operator. This practise seems pretty widespread and is undermining an already inadequate Federal Award.
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Old 19th Dec 2003, 21:24
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If you ARE a respondent to the award and wish to protect your workers how can you employ them on a full time basis and still provide a profit to the organisation they work for?
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Old 20th Dec 2003, 10:00
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Chairman,

Icarus is correct, but their is also the issue of being a respondent to the award, but negotiating individual agreements. In other words "I'm supposed to pay you this, but business is slow at the moment and this is what I'm offering - take it or leave it". Its a hard world in GA.

In answer to the second part"how does a company pay the award and remain profitable?".....this is pretty simple. If you can't be profitable under award conditions then a) the business really isn't viable, or b) attempt to negotiate to a position that is viable.

The issue at the heart of this is those companies that can only compete by cutting out costs in areas that are inappropriate. For example, "we'll cut our pilots salaries back by 20%, and we'll be able to offer fares/services below the competition". This is a poor business formula. If you start from this position things will inevitably fall away as the consequences of the cut take affect. Best position to start from is to benchmark all the costs, confirm their relevance and necessity, and then pair back in obvious areas - i.e. dump the meal service.

Ryanair is a good example. Pilots are well paid, but work hard. The company cuts costs in other areas to compete. Those companies that cut costs in the wrong area usually experience the consequence at some point - ie high turnover.

I know all of that is quite obvious - and I'm not trying to teach you to suck eggs. But it is the point most often lost that viability of a commercial airline business is determined by saying "we can offer our seats for $$$ because our costs are so low", as opposed to "we have to sell our seats for $$$$ if we are to make any money".

There is a subtle difference.
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 05:22
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Every dog has its day, real estate agents, tradesman and sportspeople. Unfortunately we had ours many years ago.
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 05:38
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Lightbulb

If one were a conspiracy theorist, he might think that the number of new airlines starting up in Oz (and Ansett`s demise), is part of a bigger plan to wrest power from the ACTU/TWU.
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 05:55
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It's looking bad because the industry is bad.
Like the US, the advent of the Regional Jet and LCC is responsible for what's about to happen in oz, however when things are good people are gonna be walking out for wage increases like Comair did and now they top out at 100k for an RJ. Same will happen over there. They can't screw you forever
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 08:15
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It such a pity that aviation comprises of so many sad sad sad losers who are 'grateful' for the opportunity to be working for a pittance.

I left this industry about 6 months ago because I was sick of, bewildered and constantly astounded at the majority of pilots who share the opinion that their skills are so worthless that a 'check out chick' deserves to be paid more. Don't dare suggest that a pilot should be paid more- you will be shot down, accused that 'your heart isn't in it', that 'you are ungrateful', can't 'see the big picture'.

In the mean time relationships, families and friendships are being destroyed all for the 'privilege' of working in this god-forsaken industry. I'm glad I got out of this so-called profession (even if it is so far from being conducted professionally that its a joke-shonky owners, shonky pilots, shonky wages, backstabbing, lies, deceit and 30 year old aircraft).

I occasionally browse these forums to see what’s the latest, wether anything has changed, but to my disappointment I consistently find nothing has. There are still a few professionals who think they deserve a reasonable pay, and then there are they majority of try hard wana be pilots who work for free, would sell their grandmother for the privilege and unfortunately will never actually see the 'big picture'

Professional conduct ha ha ha this industry wouldn't even know what that means. I feel sorry for allot of you who have good hearts and good intentions, I feel even more sorry for you who start out like this and are changed by a need to survive in this industry.

People ask me what I used to do, I'm to embarrassed to tell the truth, so I just say I wasted 8 years of my life in a experiment akin to the T.V show 'Survivor'.

Good luck all and Merry Christmas, hopefully one-day things will change, hopefully.
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 10:40
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Devil Nice Post

Getmeoutovga,

Nice post, emotive, but nice.
It is hard to keep the dream alive. The one at the beggining was so full of pride for what I was doing.
Was stoked to live in butt f@ck nowhere, break up with my partner, fly sh@t boxes and get paid 1/4 of my former salary. I still dig my current gig but have made some poor decisions and bad calls as a result of reactionary type of behaviour that is influenced by the knife throwers, soul sellers, and generally bad drivers who won't make it on ability.
(Mind you most would if they spent as much effort getting it right as they do sh@tting on people. )

Merry Xmas to all out there in the bitter and twisted land of GA
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Old 22nd Dec 2003, 20:55
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I fear that the attitude getmeoutofga is talking about is now moving into the airline industry. People who will undercut everyone just to get a gig in something better. For me it's not a quetsion of $$ but the idea & principal behind it. By driving down wages you drive them down across the industry and ultimately screw everybody!! I mean, what will be next?? Guys buying ICUS time in regionals?? (does happen in NZ i'm told)

Last edited by scud_runner; 22nd Dec 2003 at 21:17.
 
Old 23rd Dec 2003, 05:29
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Thumbs down

By the tone of some of the above posts, I think a small number of today's pilots are getting soft !

G.A. has always been a tough road, that's why (when you finally get a good aviation job ) you can look back fondly on those days. It may take a year or it could take 10 years (my case !) but you have to keep plugging away. The "check - out - chick" may be getting paid more BUT...............................

I'ld rather be FLYING !
The profession of Pilot is no different to any other career and is subject to the same MARKET FORCES. Have a chat to people in the IT industry at present. Sure, the airline industry is going through some changes at present, and the Richard Bransons and Geoff Dixons are making a meal of it, but things will turn around as supply exceeds demand.

Don't GET OUT - GET EVEN !

Keep the faith:]
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