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RatherBeFlying 2nd April 2024 14:39

It's one thing to assassinate individuals and quite another to crater an entire embassy. Iran likely doesn't have the capability to carry out an air strike against an Israeli embassy in a country where it doesn't have good relations, but I'd be watching out for truck bombs, or a Shahed drone could be smuggled within range and launched.

magyar_flyer 2nd April 2024 19:41


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11627614)
That's rich, coming from Iran.

I see your point but the Vienna convention of 61 (to which Israel is part) is by large fairly well respected worldwide for the past 60+ years.
This is a major escalation. Operationally remarkable... but with consequence.

ORAC 2nd April 2024 21:45

Excellent article.

https://amwaj.media/article/inside-s...rior-diplomats

Inside story: Israel declares war on Iran’s warrior-diplomats

Lonewolf_50 3rd April 2024 01:55


Originally Posted by magyar_flyer (Post 11628209)
I see your point but the Vienna convention of 61 (to which Israel is part) is by large fairly well respected worldwide for the past 60+ years.

Tehran 1979 being a substantial exception, hence my remark. (And the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in 1999 during a NATO airstrike over Belgrade...).

Operationally remarkable... but with consequence.
Yes, it will have consequences.
I was reading up on the Israel Syria thing the other day.
Israel has, since 2011, conducted well over 100 air strikes into Syria for a variety of reasons, hitting either Hezbollah or other Iran proxy locations/assets.
I get the idea that Mr Netanyahu is seeing how far he can push until he finds the edge. He may have found one.
I don't think Iran is going to take this sitting down.

ORAC 4th April 2024 13:36

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...liation-threat

Israel on high alert after Iran’s missile retaliation threat

Israel has suspended leave for combat units and heightened its air defence command to deal with possible missile or drone attack from Iran following the killing this week in an airstrike of senior Revolutionary Guard commanders in Syria.

The Israeli military is also considering reopening shelters in Tel Aviv as a precaution against a possible attack, according to Mehr News Agency.

“In accordance with the situational assessment, it has been decided that leave will be temporarily paused for all IDF (Israel Defense Forces) combat units. The IDF is at war and the deployment of forces is under continuous assessment according to requirements,” the military said in a statement......

The IDF has also intensified GPS jamming efforts in response to the threat of an Iranian retaliation, causing disruptions to navigation services and impacting daily operations. The use of GPS jamming is an apparent measure meant to ward off guided missiles.

Reports indicate that the jamming has expanded to key areas in Israel, including Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. These measures have raised concerns about potential implications on aviation safety and daily life.

Amos Yadlin, a former Israeli intelligence chief, told Reuters that Iran may choose this Friday – the last in the holy Muslim month of Ramadan and Iran’s Quds (Jerusalem) Day – to respond to the Damascus strike, either directly or through a proxy.

“I will not be surprised if Iran will act tomorrow. Don’t panic. Don’t run to the shelters,” said Yadlin, a senior fellow at the Kennedy School’s Belfer Center at Harvard University, citing Israel’s aerial defence systems. “Be tuned for tomorrow and then, depending on the consequences of the attack, it may escalate,” Yadlin said....

ORAC 4th April 2024 19:00

Major attack by the Baluchi separatists in Jaish Al-Adl against Islamic regime police stations in the cities of Sarbaz and Chabahar as well as an attack against an IRGC weapon depot in Rask.

The group claims to have killed more than a dozen policemen and IRGC officers.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....d44d01e5d.jpeg
​​​​​​​

ORAC 4th April 2024 19:39

​​​​​​​IRAN UNDER ATTACK: SIMULTANEOUS STRIKES HIT 5 MILITARY BASES INSIDE IRAN - 10 DEAD

Iran has accused "foreign intelligence services" of launching simultaneous attacks on 5 military and security headquarters in the Iranian cities of Chabahar and Rask.

IRGC: "We warn enemies in the region, and outside it, and terrorist groups: national security and stability are a red line.

We will confront any threat decisively and firmly."

Source: Al Mayadeen

Spunky Monkey 5th April 2024 11:13

Iran is starting to see the consequences of FAFO.
Not a day too soon.

Lonewolf_50 5th April 2024 23:30

Interesting development: Iran publicly tells/asks the US to "stay out of our way" as they prepare a retaliation for the strike in Lebanon.

(Bloomberg) -- Iran said it asked the US to “step aside” as the country prepares a response to a suspected Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria while Hezbollah, its main proxy in the Middle East, warned the Jewish state it’s prepared for war. In a written message to Washington, Iran “warned the US not to get dragged into Netanyahu’s trap,” Mohammad Jamshidi, the Iranian president’s deputy chief of staff for political affairs, wrote on X, referring to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The US should “step aside so that you don’t get hit.”

“In response, the US asked Iran not to hit American targets,” Jamshidi said. The US hasn’t commented on the alleged message Iran had sent.

CNN reported that the US is on high alert and is preparing for a “significant” response from Iran against Israeli or American targets in the region. The network cited an unnamed US official. NBC, citing two unnamed US officials, said President Joe Biden’s administration is concerned any attack could be inside Israel, specifically against “military or intelligence targets, rather than civilians.”

The Biden administration did take the unusual step of communicating directly to Iran that the US was unaware Monday’s strike in Damascus would happen, Bloomberg reported. That suggested the US was trying to prevent its own forces and bases in the Middle East being attacked. The Islamic Republic has said it will deliver a “slap” to Israel, its arch enemy. Still, it’s unclear when that would happen or whether Iran would try to attack Israel directly or through one of its proxy groups such as Hezbollah, based in Lebanon.

The airstrike hit the Iranian consulate in Damascus, killing at least seven Iranians, including two generals. While Israel has repeatedly targeted Iran-linked assets in Syria over the past few months, this was the first time an attack struck an Iranian diplomatic building. Israel has been on alert since then, canceling home leave for combat troops, calling up reserves and bolstering air defenses. Its military scrambled navigational signals over Tel Aviv on Thursday to disrupt GPS-navigated drones or missiles that might be fired at the country. Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, on Friday said a response from Iran is undoubtedly coming. But, he said, his group won’t “interfere in such decisions.”

“And after that, how Israel will behave, the region would enter in a new phase,” Nasrallah said in a televised speech. Nasrallah, who lives in hiding, highlighted the coordinated work of Iran’s so-called resistance groups in the region. Hezbollah, the Middle East’s most powerful militia, said the group hasn’t used “its primary arsenal” in the daily skirmishes with Israel along the southern border of Lebanon since the start of the Israel-Hamas war on Oct. 7. Hezbollah is “completely prepared and ready” for any war with Israel, Nasrallah said.

ORAC 12th April 2024 17:58

VideosFootage showing dozens of Interceptions by the Israeli Iron Dome and MIM-104 “Patriot” Air Defense batteries over northern Israel within the last few minutes following a large barrage of rockets and drones launched by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon; in my opinion this could be an attempt to exhaust the stocks of Israeli SAM batteries in the north of the country, before a larger attack using land-attack cruise and other more advanced missiles.

212man 12th April 2024 18:00


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11634205)
Videos

Footage showing dozens of Interceptions by the Israeli Iron Dome and MIM-104 “Patriot” Air Defense batteries over northern Israel within the last few minutes following a large barrage of rockets and drones launched by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon; in my opinion this could be an attempt to exhaust the stocks of Israeli SAM batteries in the north of the country, before a larger attack using land-attack cruise and other more advanced missiles.

Exactly that!

ORAC 12th April 2024 18:33

BREAKING: “Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman and Kuwait raised questions about basing agreements that permit US troops to be stationed across the gulf. They are moving to prevent US warplanes from flying over their airspace in the event US conducts a strike on Iran.”

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a1f8152727.png
​​​​​​​

ORAC 12th April 2024 18:36

BREAKING🚨 A second Hezbollah volley of missiles is on its way depleting the Iron Dome.

Asturias56 13th April 2024 08:24

the Iranians may just decide to go and test their first nuclear device.....................

DogTailRed2 13th April 2024 08:25


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11634230)
BREAKING🚨 A second Hezbollah volley of missiles is on its way depleting the Iron Dome.

So they reload it?

DogTailRed2 13th April 2024 08:25


Originally Posted by Asturias56 (Post 11634513)
the Iranians may just decide to go and test their first nuclear device.....................

If that's the case then it's good bye Iran.

SWBKCB 13th April 2024 08:30


Originally Posted by DogTailRed2 (Post 11634515)
So they reload it?

How long can they keep doing that?

DogTailRed2 13th April 2024 08:59


Originally Posted by SWBKCB (Post 11634521)
How long can they keep doing that?

For as long as they need to.

Asturias56 13th April 2024 11:32


Originally Posted by DogTailRed2 (Post 11634516)
If that's the case then it's good bye Iran.

REALLY? And just who is going to invade Iran pray? Or even go to war with them?

Or do you think that the Israeli's will drop a bucket of instant sunshine on them? Because no-one else will.

DogTailRed2 13th April 2024 11:50


Originally Posted by Asturias56 (Post 11634654)
REALLY? And just who is going to invade Iran pray? Or even go to war with them?

Or do you think that the Israeli's will drop a bucket of instant sunshine on them? Because no-one else will.

I smell a troll however if Iran nukes Israel as previously suggested the West has the ability to ensure Iran doesn't drop another. The West out guns them 1000 to 1. A conventional war would suffice. Iran has very few friends.


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