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Iran V2.0

Old 1st June 2026 | 13:38
  #101 (permalink)  
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Presumably the USAF isn't taking them all out with the A-10, and lost an MQ-1, due to the MANPAD threat.

Maybe the A-10 has had it's day, rather than it's swansong, after all.

Video
https://x.com/Osint613/status/2061367670574907833?s=20


IRGC fast boats running 24/7 patrols in the Strait of Hormuz, per new footage from Iran's navy.

The boats are steering commercial vessels through the waterway and intercepting any that don't follow orders.

Last edited by ORAC; 1st June 2026 at 14:33.
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Old 1st June 2026 | 13:44
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Tight packed - you'd think they'd have learned after the attack at PSAB....

Video
https://x.com/mintelworld/status/2061400853181825345

Ben Gurion Airport operating at 1/3 capacity due to ~60 deployed US refuelling aircraft, sparking summer flight cancellation fears, Israel Airports Authority chief says.

The main gateway now functions similarly to a US airbase, limiting international civilian traffic.
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Old 1st June 2026 | 13:48
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Tight packed - you'd think they'd have leaned after the attack at PSAB....

Video
That is a boneyard in the making if Iran or their proxies decide to hit it....aren't there any other airports / airbases that they can use outside of Israel?

There is a saying about placing all of your eggs into one basket.

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Old 1st June 2026 | 13:57
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Doesn't help Hezbollah - but does help Iran by weakening the IDF air defences against any renewed IRBM attacks against, say, Ben Gurion.

Two separate attack two days running... 8th claimed in total.

Videos
https://x.com/EGYOSINT/status/2061318262248419560?s=20

Hezbollah has released footage showing another Iron Dome air-defense launcher being struck by a fiber-optic-guided FPV drone.

The attack took place on May 26, marking the 7th confirmed Iron Dome launcher hit by Hezbollah FPV drones.


https://x.com/EGYOSINT/status/2061411549709832439?s=20

Hezbollah has released footage showing a fiber-optic-guided FPV drone striking another Iron Dome launcher at the IDF’s Jal Al-Alam border site near Lebanon.

The strike took place on May 27.
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Old 1st June 2026 | 14:20
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Video
https://x.com/Tasnimnews_EN/status/2...256137848?s=20

Iran’s IRGC Aerospace Force released the video of detection and elimination of a US MQ-1 drone on early Sunday, after it entered Iranian territorial waters with hostile intent.

https://x.com/Tasnimnews_Fa/status/2...369098797?s=20
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Old 1st June 2026 | 14:23
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As expected....
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/...825819593?s=20

Iran suspends all negotiations with the United States – Tasnim

Iran has halted indirect message exchanges with the United States through mediators in protest over what Tasnim described as Israeli operations in Lebanon and Gaza, the Iranian outlet reports.

​​​​​​​Tasnim says Iran and allied “resistance” groups are considering responses including a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and activation of additional fronts, including Bab el-Mandeb.

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Old 1st June 2026 | 14:29
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Originally Posted by ORAC
As expected....
...and it could well get a whole lot worse....

The agency said Iran and the Resistance Front, which includes its Shiite allies in Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq, have set an agenda to completely block the Strait of Hormuz and activate !other fronts, including the !Bab El Mandeb Strait, ​in !order ⁠to “punish” Israel ​and its ⁠supporters.

If the Houthis, Iran’s allies in Yemen, open a new front in the conflict, one obvious target would be the Bab El Mandeb Strait off the coast of Yemen, a key shipping chokepoint and narrow passageway that controls sea traffic toward ⁠the Suez Canal.
More on this : https://www.arabnews.com/node/2645673/middle-east

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Old 1st June 2026 | 17:09
  #108 (permalink)  
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New Canals through Khasab?

It looks nice on paper, but would need some serious missile and drone (air and water) defenses - along with salvage capability to extract stuck shipping.
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Old 1st June 2026 | 19:11
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The IMO has stated that it is far too risky to evacuate the trapped seafarers in the Persian Gulf at this time. They confirmed that 11 seafarers have died aboard ships during the conflict so far. Shipowners, agents and seafarers families are desperate to evacuate the 20000 or so people and their ships but until the situation is calm enough and the Strait of Hormuz can be secured there will be an impasse.
Despite the current ceasefire between the United States and Iran, it remains too risky to move the thousands of sailors stuck in the Persian Gulf, the head of the UN's shipping agency said.

"We will not be able to activate anything until the root causes are addressed and there is more of a final agreement, a ceasefire, or complete agreement, between the parties involved in the conflict," Arsenio Dominguez, secretary-general of the International Maritime Organisation, told Reuters on Sunday ahead of the start of the Posidonia shipping industry week in Athens.

There are an estimated 20,000 seafarers aboard vessels stuck in the gulf as Iran imposes restrictions on movements through the Strait of Hormuz.

"In the meantime, it's going to be too risky to take any actions in moving the seafarers because there are no guarantees on their safety," Dominguez said.

Eleven seafarers have been killed in the gulf since the US-Israeli war with Iran began on February 28, according to IMO data.

The IMO has been trying to arrange a safe maritime corridor to enable vessels to exit, including discussions with parties involving Iran in Oman in recent weeks, Dominguez said.

"You get announcements that the Strait of Hormuz is open, and then a few hours later, the Strait of Hormuz is closed. We can't take the risk until we have something more secure," he said.
More on this : Ceasefire not enough to safely move sailors out of Persian Gulf, IMO chief says (Baird Maritime / Reuters - June 1, 2026)

As if to reinforce the lack of safety, an MSC containership, called the MSC Sariska, has been holed off Umm Qasr, Iraq

A video is being circulated by a pro-Iranian Iraqi media outlet showing an MSC containership holed above the waterline. Alsumaria News is blaming the hole on a mechanical failure, while the report supplied to UK Maritime Trade Operations says the explosion happened following a hit from an unknown projectile on the starboard side.
More on this : Video: MSC Boxship Holed After Reports of Explosion off Iraq (Maritime Executive - June 1, 2026)




MSC Sariska's current AIS plot places her in the Umm Qasr anchorage close to the Riviera I accommodation block (blue spot) associated with the Basra oil field installation.




Last edited by BonnieLass; 1st June 2026 at 19:24. Reason: Added current position of damaged ship
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Old 1st June 2026 | 22:44
  #110 (permalink)  
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To be honest, the Warthog is prolly the best platform after the AC-130 and the Apache for manned aircraft hitting the PT boats and avoiding the MANPADS, The Reaper prolly best overall for kills but most suscestible to conventional SAMs. Spectre worst for MANPADS, but whoever fires one has bout 20 - 30 seconds to get out the prayer rug to gat ready for the virgins.

The tactic successfully used by Dragonflys and TOW Cobras versus the radar ZSU's and original Strellas at An Loc did fine ( similar AA/SAM threat to Iran now and better gunners), because they flew in two or three ship patterns with somebody on the perch all the time. Same pattern we used for Sandy and Hobo escorts. I flew same area as 2 Strell kills just north of Bien Hoa, but our SLUF turbo fans were very cool and we were 150 -200 knots faster then the OV-10 and other plane they nailed that day. In fact our only SLUF loss to AA was in Cambodia one day after first end of the war and not on a bomb pass over Hanoi - a 57 or 85 nailed him squarely and plane blew up right then.

Of course we could fly convoy escort and endure fairly low hit rate but very probabmatic scheduling if nobody attacks the boats. I did that in 'nam in 68 for Army trucks and helos and of course for Jolly Greens and MACSOG insertions/extractions), and then for boats south of Pnom Penh in 73. They shot at our boats from the bank and was hard to acquire them.

Guess the mullahs are proving they can scare the boats without having nukes, so maybe the rest of the world needs to pay attention, as they claim to own the Strait and could start shooting at any pretense - remember Salman Rushie or whoever?


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Old 2nd June 2026 | 02:33
  #111 (permalink)  
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The crew issue is probably more complex than just removing crew. There would have to be a maintenance team on each ship, as you can't just turn everything off on a 100,000 ton ship and go home. Spares and fuel would also seem to be issues, as well as food and water. I don't envy 20,000 crew in steel boats with 50° temperatures....
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Old 2nd June 2026 | 05:05
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Todays updates on the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab Strait and all ports and anchorages across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.........plus two soldiers have died in Iraq, what might lie ahead for the Bab-el-Mandab Strait and Japan urging Iran to be more flexible

First today, it has been reported that two military personnel, one from the US and one from the UK, have died whilst serving in Iraq. Few details are as yet available but it is thought that both soldiers died during training at an airbase at Irbil. Families of both soldiers are being notified, names will be released in due course.

Sincere condolences go to both families at this difficult time.

The US has been reducing the number of troops countering the Daesh group in Iraq. But American forces have retained a presence in the Kurdish region as the US seeks to strengthen ties with the Kurds.

The US inaugurated a large new consulate compound in December in Irbil, the capital of the Kurdish region, highlighting Washington’s diplomatic and strategic engagement in the area.
More on this : US and British soldiers die during training in Iraq (Arab News - June 2, 2026)

With the peace talks on a knife edge, threats of escalation in the war with Iran have once again turned towards the Bab-el-Mandab Strait in the Gulf of Aden. The realities of the Iran proxy, the Houthi, blocking the waterway into the Red Sea has rattled shipowners and markets causing oil, oil product and gas prices to spike. The Bab-el-Mandab is arguably as important as the Strait of Hormuz in relation to trade and security in the region.

The concerns were amplified by earlier warnings from Tehran. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said last month that any renewed conflict would spread “far beyond the region”, while senior Iranian officials have spoken of opening “new fronts” and using “new tools” should diplomacy fail.

...........The Bab Al Mandab, located between Yemen and the Horn of Africa, serves as a gateway to the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. It is one of the world’s most important maritime chokepoints, carrying energy supplies and commercial goods between Asia, Europe and the Middle East.

The waterway has already played a major role in recent regional tensions.

Beginning in late 2023, Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi movement launched attacks on commercial vessels transiting the strait and nearby waters, saying the campaign was aimed at supporting Palestinians during the Gaza war.
More on this : After Hormuz, are Iran and its allies eyeing Bab Al Mandab? (Gulf News - June 2, 2026)

Japan's has been stepping up pressure on Iran to be more flexible in their demands for peaceful end to the war with the US and Israel and to ensure that the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened in safety. Japan joins many other countries who are experiencing problems in regard to transit of goods out of the Persian Gulf.




More on this : Japan Urges Iran to Show ‘Maximum Flexibility’ for US Deal (Arab Times - June 1, 2026)


Onto the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandab Strait

Some very odd behaviour in the Strait of Hormuz this morning. A cluster of ships, including the British Flagged containership Ever Ethic (image below) have been clustered far north of their usual anchorage at Khor Fakkan, there are Iranian herders in the vicinity. Would this be a sort of hostage or surety situation, no idea at all...but to move ships into what could be made into an easy target for Iran should negotiations fail completely is a worrying sign. Otherwise in the Strait of Hormuz, it is relatively quiet and no reported incidents at time of writing







The Bab-el-Mandab Strait is busy and flowing well this morning, no incidents reported at time of writing





The ports and anchorages across the persian Gulf from Umm Qasr to Doha is extremely busy this morning. The containership, MSC Sariska, has not altered her position from last night after she was attacked twice. Increased Iranian herders are milling around tween the ships No further attacks reported at time of writing.




Once again the ports and anchorages from Mina Saqr to Jebel Ali are fairly quiet this morning, Das Island anchorage is showing few ships...the caveat being that ships are switching off their AIS as a measure to prevent attack, especially following the attack on MSC Sariska yesterday evening off Umm Qasr. No attacks reported at time of writing.




On the Gulf of Oman, the heavy clusters of ships are are back, especially off Dibba and Al Widyyat. Khor Fakkan, Fujairah and Dibba ports are operating. Muscat is very busy once again. No reported attacks at time of writing.







No new updates on any of the injured crews including CMA CGM San Antonio or if anyone was injured aboard MSC Sariska.

That's it for now....more updates tomorrow.
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Old 2nd June 2026 | 07:07
  #113 (permalink)  
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gums said:

To be honest, the Warthog is prolly the best platform after the AC-130 and the Apache for manned aircraft hitting the PT boats and avoiding the MANPADS, The Reaper prolly best overall for kills but most suscestible to conventional SAMs. Spectre worst for MANPADS, but whoever fires one has bout 20 - 30 seconds to get out the prayer rug to gat ready for the virgins.

The tactic successfully used by Dragonflys and TOW Cobras versus the radar ZSU's and original Strellas at An Loc did fine ( similar AA/SAM threat to Iran now and better gunners)
I think the point is the MANPAD these days are much, much better and more lethal than during Vietnam, and China has been supplying Iran with their latest versions.
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Old 2nd June 2026 | 08:11
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https://x.com/TheGoodISIS/status/206...471289693?s=20

NEW Passive Defense Measures Taken at Fordow

Between May 10 and May 18th, Iran added passive defensive measures in the shape of earthen/rocky mounds and other objects on the roads leading to the tunnel entrances of the destroyed Fordow underground enrichment plant.

The alternate placings of the piles/objects are very precise, which creates a series of chicanes, indicating they are not intended as obstruction, but a means to prevent rapid ingress and egress by any vehicles (i.e. hindering offensive forces once onsite).

The placement indicates that Iranians still want access onsite for themselves, otherwise we would likely see berms all the way across the roads, as previously seen on the roads leading to the Esfahan tunnel entrances.

The chicanes leading to the single eastern tunnel entrance may have only been temporary and removed again by May 26, although this needs to be confirmed with higher resolution imagery.

This entrance was backfilled by Iran and hit by Israel in June 2025, with a crater, but no penetration hole visible above the tunnel entrance. All tunnel entrances appear to remain buried as of May 26.

​​​​​​​
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Old 2nd June 2026 | 23:10
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The US have disabled tanker today.

U.S. forces disabled an oil tanker attempting to sail toward an Iranian port on Tuesday after the vessel repeatedly ignored warnings from American forces, according to U.S. Central Command.

CENTCOM said the Botswana-flagged M/T Lexie was transiting international waters toward Kharg Island when its crew failed to comply with directions from U.S. forces over a 24-hour period.

According to CENTCOM, a U.S. aircraft ultimately disabled the vessel by firing a Hellfire missile into the ship's engine room, preventing the tanker from reaching Iran.

The military said the tanker was unladen at the time of the incident.

CENTCOM began enforcing a blockade of maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports on April 13. The command said U.S. forces have now disabled six commercial vessels and redirected 122 others as the ceasefire with Iran continues.

Posted by Brittany Miller
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Old 2nd June 2026 | 23:19
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Being reported by CBS;

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fighter...friendly-fire/

A pilot of the F-15E shot down over Iran on 3 April was also shot down in the 3-ship friendly-fire incident over Kuwait in the opening days of the War.
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Old 3rd June 2026 | 04:47
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Todays updates on the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab Strait, all ports and anchorages across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman......plus ongoing attacks against Bahrain and Kuwait, MSC Sariska update and how the Iran war is affecting the gas markets and crews aboard the gas ships

Reports across Bahrain and Kuwait are confirming that both countries are under sustained missile and drone attack at this time. Iran is claiming to have hit the USN 5th Fleet in Bahrain, which the USN denies.




Iranian missiles and drones target Bahrain, Kuwait; US says threats ‘successfully defeated’ (Gulf Times - June 3, 2026) / Kuwait Army Warns Public Against Touching Missile Debris, Urges Immediate Reporting (Arab News Kuwait - June 3, 2026)

MSC have confirmed that their ship, Sariska, was hit twice as she left the port of Umm Qasr. The first hit was at the waterline and the second was on the crew accommodation area of the ship. The harbour pilot was onboard at the time. The company have confirmed that no crew have been injured and that the harbour pilot is also OK. It is thought that a surface USV hit her side and a missile or drone hit the upper accommodation area.







More on this : MSC Confirms Containership Was Hit Twice by Projectiles Off Iraq (gCaptain - June 2, 2026)


A first hand account from a gas carrier indicates the difficulties of living and working on a gas carrier during a war, the issues with war causing problems for the gas markets and the logistics of crewing....
A day before crossing the Strait of Hormuz, an Indonesian seafarer aboard the Al Rayyan tanker published a picture of a rainbow cutting across the bow. “When the dream ship becomes reality,” he wrote on social media, thanking God for the blessing. Then the liquefied natural gas carrier switched off its transponder and began to move out of the Persian Gulf.

The Al Rayyan, loaded with Qatari LNG, tailed another gas carrier coming from the emirate, the Fuwairit, which was preparing to cross the waterway under a deal between Pakistan and Iran. For the seafarers in the second vessel, who had no such government protection, it was a safety beacon through a treacherous corridor, mariners recounted later.

They slowly entered Iranian-controlled waters, scanning the horizon for other tankers, Iranian patrol boats and incoming drones. There was silence. Then the first ship’s signal also disappeared. Some of the crew prayed.

A day later, the two reemerged from their dark crossing, in the Gulf of Oman. After months of waiting, both carriers set off to the east.
More on this : The Iran War Is Pushing the Global Gas Trade Into the Shadows (gCaptain - June 2, 2026)


Onto the Strait of Hormuz where there is an increase of activity in both directions. There are no reported incidents at time of writing





The Bab-el-Mandab is very quiet this morning, it is flowing well but fewer ships are visible. No reported incidents at time of writing





On ports and anchorages from Umm Qasr to Doha.....very busy around Kuwait City, Umm Qasr, Bahrain, Dammam and Doha ports with significant traffic increase on their respective anchorages. As always, the Iranian herders are amongst the ships




The ports and ancorages from Mina Saqr to Jebel Ali....much quieter, caveat AIS could well be turned off....Ras-al-Khaimah, Umm Al Quwain, Das Island, Sharjah, Dubai and Jebel Ali ports and anchorages are active. Once again the Iranian herders are out and about. No reports of incidents at time of writing




Ports and anchorages from Dibba to Muscat......extremely busy across all ports and anchorages...Dibba, Khor Fakkan, Fujairah, Al Widyyat, Liwa, Sohar and Muscat showing a big increase in traffic both in port and on their respective anchorages. Iranian herders are patrolling but no reported incidents at time of writing







No updates on CMA CGM San Antonio.

That's it for now....more updates tomorrow.
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Old 3rd June 2026 | 08:37
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................
https://x.com/EGYOSINT/status/2062054716805206179?s=20

Significant damage reported at Kuwait International Airport after Terminal 1 was struck by Iranian kamikaze drones earlier today.

Kuwaiti authorities activated emergency response measures and halted all air traffic, diverting flights to alternate airports until further notice.


https://x.com/kuna_ar/status/2062048766367048191?s=20

https://x.com/kuna_ar/status/2062050018060591226?s=20
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Old 3rd June 2026 | 08:40
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CENTCOM:
https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2061982709723906359?s=20

An additional wave of Iranian drones attempting to attack U.S. forces in Kuwait failed to impact intended targets tonight.

​​​​​​​U.S. Central Command air defenses successfully downed multiple drones and ensured no American personnel or assets were harmed.
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Old 3rd June 2026 | 09:20
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