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UK - More defence cuts

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Old 8th Feb 2018, 19:08
  #161 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Pontius Navigator
If we accept that BAe is the biggest on the planet and 9th in revenue terms then there appears to be a problem. Even if we combine with RR they would still only be 6th.
Very slight digression but I am pleased that RR gets a mention here. It has made massive strides since 1971. The level of technology that goes into designing, manufacturing and supporting a modern gas turbine engine is truly incredible. Take just one aspect - compressor pressure ratio. Achieving values of over 60:1 is amazing in itself but the compressor exit temperature at this level of 900C+ is higher than turbine temperatures of many jet engines still in service.
A fantastic company making fantastic products by fantastic people.
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 19:11
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You work in RR PR dept?
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 19:14
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One could argue the company should have rejected the offer of contract that included a spec that they could not meet. MoD should not have made the offer.
Quite. But at the time, the Company was going through a difficult period, and the then MD wanted a means of 'putting bums on seats'. I know that he supported the Nimrod option as a means of doing this. Right or wrong is very debatable. At the time, it was right for Warton alone.
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 19:44
  #164 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
You work in RR PR dept?
Nutty - you can’t deny what they did with the Olympus engine in Concorde was little short of inspirational thinking
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 19:48
  #165 (permalink)  
 
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True, and they have been at the forefront of some very innovative designs in both manufacture and development. Concordes intake system alone is a remarkable piece of engineering designed to slow the airflow to the subsonic speeds needed.

The comment was made in jest BTW
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 20:20
  #166 (permalink)  
 
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Harry,

SECOND largest was what I meant. Of course it was a typo, thanks for pointing that out, as it totally undermined my entire point!

Of COURSE BAE are not the largest or the scond largest anything! I was commenting on a comment by someone who called the UK aerospace industry a bit part player. My original point was that it is a palpable nonsense to call the second largest industry on the planet a bit part player. The second largest is a well published fact provided by BiS and the sucessor organisation to SBAC, whose name I forget.

And the UK aerospace industry is FAR more than just BAE Systems! It is Rolls-Royce, Martin-Baker, GKN, Houchin, GQ, GE Aviation, Leonardo, MBDA, Airbus, Shorts, Dowty Propellors, Safran and scores more major Tier 1 supliers with an aerospace turn over of £31.8 billion last year and another £23 billion from the defence sector. The UK is the third largest supplier in the world to Boeing.
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Old 8th Feb 2018, 20:50
  #167 (permalink)  
 
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As an observation, the UK defence sector is both good and bad for the MOD.


From experience, the MOD's MoR with regard to procurement means that the innovative SME's usually have to sub-contract through a prime such as BAe et al who add an additional layer of margin; then QinetiQ appear to add cost, sorry, add value, through often nugatory testing procedures. There is risk in dealing direct with the SME's, but the costs would often be so much lower.


While all this is going on, everyone is flying from meeting to meeting business class, which is going to end up wrapped in some defence project spend at some point.


That said, despite the inefficiency, the UK does have a high degree of innovation when it comes to defence.
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 08:24
  #168 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by VinRouge
Dave, the clue is in the name BAe Systems. Which they are very good at.

After Nimrod, I wouldn't trust their design office to clean a new aircraft, never mind design one.
Yeah, the point I was obtusely hinting at was the fact that in the 40 odd years since BAE/BAESystems was created, they have to my knowledge designed and built ONE manned military aircraft by themselves - the EAP demonstrator (and even that had bits of Tornado and some international contributions). Everything else either already existed (Tornado, Hawk, Nimrod, Harrier I) or was international collaboration (Harrier II, Typhoon). So those bemoaning a loss of a national design and build capability are probably 40 years too late in their complaints. They never have been that.

The irony of the Nimrod 4 program is that it would never have existed if the US hadn't cancelled the P-7, due to cost overruns and design problems...
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 09:58
  #169 (permalink)  
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By the early 70's it was clear we couldn't or wouldn't afford to build modern combat aircraft from scratch on our own - we couldn't afford the R&D nor order enough to make it economic.

We effectively decided that for airframes we'd collaborate but would basically keep our engine expertise in country - RR products could be sold abroad much easier than BAe airframes.

As Dave says we're 40 years behind the curve - I think we could probably knock out quite a decent aircraft equivalent to the F-15 or the Gripen but the F-22?? I doubt it....
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 10:44
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Pragmatically it makes a certain amount of sense. Take F35 for example. We clearly don't have the resources to go it alone on something 5th gen like that, but as a Tier 1 partner we make on average 15% by value of every F35 made. So if the production run is anything like that currently envisaged (and OK I know people will have views on that score) the UK will make the value equivalent of around 400 examples - which in terms of value to the UK economy, and historical precedent, is a pretty good production run, keeps us in the high tech game and for good measure will go a good way way to recouping the cost of the examples we buy.

Watching some of the old Pathe videos of Farnborough in the 1950s is a bit poignant - eg Bob Danvers-Walker announcing proudly that the likes of Brabazon, Britannia, Beverley, DH110, Swift, Sycamore and Hastings will ensure the dominance of UK aerospace for decades to come, and there's no shortage of discussion points as to how things ended up the way they did.
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 10:48
  #171 (permalink)  
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Good point - the suppliers seem to make much higher rates of return on capital than the final assemblers who put their name on the 'plane..........

less risk I guess as they don't have to go out and tout around 200 airlines for a sale......
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 11:48
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Originally Posted by Frostchamber
Pragmatically it makes a certain amount of sense. Take F35 for example. We clearly don't have the resources to go it alone on something 5th gen like that, but as a Tier 1 partner we make on average 15% by value of every F35 made.
And to get to that status, BAES have had to prove their capabilities. The Replica program, and work on the MDD/BAE JSF bid (Replica looks very like a two seat version of the MDD/BAE submission) their work on other "stealth" technology, their UAV work etc have all shown that the UK has the capability to create and use that technology, and has earned the right to join interantional programs as a high level partner.

And no, I don't work for BAES!
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 11:57
  #173 (permalink)  
 
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I still cannot fathom why they sold off their membership and wing assembly plant to Airbus for a short term profit.
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 12:05
  #174 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
I still cannot fathom why they sold off their membership and wing assembly plant to Airbus for a short term profit.
Probably because they had realised that there was a £5Bn black hole in the A380 programme which they couldn't fix, because every time they tried the french and germans closed ranks to out vote them. You can only do that so many times with other peoples' money before the outher people say "well stuff you then" and walk away.

Oh yes, and the way Airbus screwed BAe over the MRA4 wing design would have been a factor as well...

PDR
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 12:20
  #175 (permalink)  
 
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So how did Airbus screw them on the MRA4 wing?
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 12:36
  #176 (permalink)  
 
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When they bid for the business they promised a modern wing structure design done by their best design team. But when they started the job their primary design team got moved over to a new airbus design (perhaps the A350 - can't remember) so they had to build a team of subbies to to the MRA4 job.

The subbies were mostly former BAe/BAC/Hawker designers wgho'd been laid off for years, so they designed a wing structure that was 20-30 years out of date. The design approach was archaic, and used standard parts (fasteners, cleats, clips etc) which may still have been in the catalogues but hadn't actually be manufactured for years. The suppliers begged them to design-in more modern parts which were lighter, cheaper and currently in series production, but the Airbus team stuck to their guns and got these prehistoric parts put back into production (at vast cost). The resulting wing was heavier than it needed to be, and far more expensive than it needed to be, but it also cost a fortune to qualify it because the qual evidence for them was all time-expired.

PDR
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 13:01
  #177 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by PDR1
When they bid for the business they promised a modern wing structure design done by their best design team. But when they started the job their primary design team got moved over to a new airbus design (perhaps the A350 - can't remember) so they had to build a team of subbies to to the MRA4 job.

The subbies were mostly former BAe/BAC/Hawker designers wgho'd been laid off for years, so they designed a wing structure that was 20-30 years out of date. The design approach was archaic, and used standard parts (fasteners, cleats, clips etc) which may still have been in the catalogues but hadn't actually be manufactured for years. The suppliers begged them to design-in more modern parts which were lighter, cheaper and currently in series production, but the Airbus team stuck to their guns and got these prehistoric parts put back into production (at vast cost). The resulting wing was heavier than it needed to be, and far more expensive than it needed to be, but it also cost a fortune to qualify it because the qual evidence for them was all time-expired.

PDR
PDR. You're wrong on so many levels I think you must have been typing that on an elevator.
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 13:42
  #178 (permalink)  
 
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Back to the subject of this post. I see in Flight global that France is going to increase the number of Rafale to a total of 224 over the next decade or so. In addition it is procuring additional A330 refueling aircraft and will maintain a number of Mirage 2000 multi role jets.
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Old 9th Feb 2018, 17:15
  #179 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by unmanned_droid
PDR. You're wrong on so many levels I think you must have been typing that on an elevator.
I was in the room next door while it played out, so I believe I know what I'm talking about.

PDR
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Old 10th Feb 2018, 08:03
  #180 (permalink)  
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"France is going to increase the number of Rafale to a total of 224 over the next decade"

Keeping the line open for future sales - and announce it so people feel comfortable about talking to their salesmen
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