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Future Carrier (Including Costs)

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Future Carrier (Including Costs)

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Old 19th Oct 2017, 07:55
  #4521 (permalink)  
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From the latest DOTE report FMS software development and updates run about 20 months behind updates to the Mission Data Files which include the regional threat environment. That’s for the US forces. Additionally release for each version to each partner nation for their simulators needs to be individually certified. Being not unduly pessimistic I would assume that the threat would updated at least annually and that would mean the FMS always running about 2/3 years and 2 versions behind both the latest flight management software and threat environment in the aircraft?

“.....The program is behind in developing and fielding training simulators, referred to as F-35 Full Mission Simulators (FMS), to train pilots, both at the integrated training centers for initial F-35 pilot training and at the operational locations. The FMS is a multi-ship, man-in-the-loop, F-35 mission systems software-in-the-loop simulation using virtual threats, it is used to train both U.S. and partner pilots.......

Since the FMS runs F-35 mission systems software, it requires Block 3F mission data, integrated with virtual threats, to build the threat environment simulation (TES). It currently takes up to 20 months for the program to build the TES after new mission data are available.”....
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Old 19th Oct 2017, 08:09
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Going by the latest PMQ's, the "Magic money tree" is in for a damn good shakin. One important factor for the F-35 is cost / capability. Interesting that the capability, and technology transfer, value of the F-35 to the UK could be retained without the ongoing cost of the carriers, if the carriers are scrapped. Certainly, a likely possibility for an insolvent UK.

OAP
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Old 19th Oct 2017, 11:06
  #4523 (permalink)  
 
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It is a worry when the software in the sim you train in for a single seat aircraft (no trainer) will always be at least 1 to 2 generations behind that in the aircraft......
The simulator is treated as the first aircraft after the Proof Installation; both in hardware and software terms. If the sim isn't at the same build standard, then you can't demonstrate you are the requisite maturity level, so can't get money to enter production. You are only allowed a lag during development. Any lag is a huge red flag.
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Old 19th Oct 2017, 13:44
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Originally Posted by Not_a_boffin






Let's see what you say when the full capability endowing processor and software turn out to be non existent...

R.O.F.L
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Old 19th Oct 2017, 20:49
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Originally Posted by Onceapilot
Going by the latest PMQ's, the "Magic money tree" is in for a damn good shakin. One important factor for the F-35 is cost / capability. Interesting that the capability, and technology transfer, value of the F-35 to the UK could be retained without the ongoing cost of the carriers, if the carriers are scrapped. Certainly, a likely possibility for an insolvent UK.

OAP


Hmmm. Looks like your ability to discern capital cost from operating cost is up there with your ability to distinguish fact from opinion....
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Old 20th Oct 2017, 07:22
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I'm not sure what the value of the technology transfer is if we are never going to build an advanced strike aircraft on our own.... tho ' I suppose we can use it in the next multi-national effort in 2040.............
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Old 20th Oct 2017, 10:44
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Originally Posted by Heathrow Harry
I'm not sure what the value of the technology transfer is if we are never going to build an advanced strike aircraft on our own...
Any tech transfer doesn't just translate into ability to build LO aircraft of our own, although in an ideal world that would be, er, ideal... It's also extremely important in the development of weapons systems, avionics, ECM, detection etc, both of existing and future equipment...

-RP
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Old 20th Oct 2017, 13:54
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that's my point - it's going to be a longggggggggggggg way ahead
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 10:22
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Going by the latest PMQ's, the "Magic money tree" is in for a damn good shakin. One important factor for the F-35 is cost / capability. Interesting that the capability, and technology transfer, value of the F-35 to the UK could be retained without the ongoing cost of the carriers, if the carriers are scrapped. Certainly, a likely possibility for an insolvent UK.

OAP
Originally Posted by Not_a_boffin
Hmmm. Looks like your ability to discern capital cost from operating cost is up there with your ability to distinguish fact from opinion....
Oh yes! I get your drift...we have spent £Billions on the wrong capability, let's just carry-on spending more £Billions! Well, it isn't going to happen. Even without a regime change in the UK, the plug on the magic money tree is going to get pulled pretty soon and those floating Gin palaces are going to be scrapped.

OAP
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 11:46
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They won't be scrapped - too much capital invested and the names!! Think of the headline on the Daily Mail!!!!!

No, they'll spend 95% of their time parked at Portsmouth with a crew that will be too small to operate them but still would be better off used elsewhere
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 12:03
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I wouldn't bet on it. Gibraltar will be an ideal forward operating base and I know studies are underway now about using the South Mole. Many many moons ago I remember see three carriers docked there.

Talking to the locals it is largely a matter of dredging as this hasn't been done for many years. The last ship I went on that couldn't dock there was the Canberra.

Using Gib saves a three day transit, and could be at Suez in just over 4 days. It could even attack Taranto on the way. 🤣🤔
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 12:09
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Originally Posted by Heathrow Harry
They won't be scrapped - too much capital invested and the names!! Think of the headline on the Daily Mail!!!!!
Don't worry Harry, I don't mind if Fallon has to go!

OAP
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 12:57
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Gib would save a few problems for sure

a) it's out of the way of the Great British Media so wouldn't be so obvious a long term parking spot

b) the weather is better so you'll spnd less on paint and the caretakers will be happier

c) The Spaniards might invade and take a carrier as a "bonus"

d) it''s a lot closer to the scrapping sites in Turkey - got to think long term
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Old 21st Oct 2017, 13:15
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So after spending millions modernising the home port the idea is to ship them off someplace else because it's "handy (and the weathers better)

Makes a LOT of sense... out of sight, out of mind...
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Old 23rd Oct 2017, 17:24
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Originally Posted by WE Branch Fanatic
The Americans also have a carrier themed STEM project for schools....

When does Queen Elizabeth start her next phase of sea trials?
Shipping Movements
Portsmouth Harbour shipping movements Tuesday 24 October 2017
"...1500 MTBC HMS QUEEN ELIZABETH..."
https://www.royalnavy.mod.uk/qhm/por...ate=24/10/2017
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Old 23rd Oct 2017, 17:47
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Is the strike called off?
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Old 24th Oct 2017, 08:04
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Oh dear, General Sir Richard Barrons, ex CO JFC, talking about defence cuts on R4 this morning. Slotted after depressing news on the economy, he declared that the UK has "no contemporary habit of thinking about defence of the homeland". What was he doing as a VVSO? He talked about; the threats from Russia and China, the need for 80,000 Army with 30,000 reserve, the need for the RAF to be able to deploy the Army and the need for landing craft. One might guess the capabilities he chose to talk about are seriously under threat!

OAP
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Old 24th Oct 2017, 08:48
  #4538 (permalink)  
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Onceapilot, worth a read...

Capabilities Review: Squaring Naval Ambitions, Priorities & Resources | Oxford Research Group
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Old 24th Oct 2017, 08:59
  #4539 (permalink)  
 
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Possibly the most depressing thing I've read in a year........... but unfortutnately horribly accurate I think

"The real problem, then, for both the Navy and the Ministry of Defence is a surfeit of ambition to deploy military force relative to both fiscal resources and strategic reality."

There is clearly a massive gap between the cash planned and the resources we think we need

Looks like it will end in tears again..................

PS it's a copyright article so be careful how much you cut 'n paste
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Old 24th Oct 2017, 09:08
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Thanks ORAC.

What gets my goat is, we have had a VVSO basically say..."we have spent the money on the wrong things* " and expecting more money. Ha! They are talking defence budget % because it sounds less. They have seriously blown it!

*The carriers

OAP

Last edited by Onceapilot; 24th Oct 2017 at 09:19.
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