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-   -   "Virgin Australia Mk II could launch in as little as three months" (https://www.pprune.org/australia-new-zealand-pacific/631831-virgin-australia-mk-ii-could-launch-little-three-months.html)

Icarus2001 26th Apr 2020 08:28


750 staff at and average of 50,000 redundancy ( conservative. Probably more) is $37.5M

an $88.6 million loss for the six months to 31 December 2019.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-...-loss/11455840

Join the dots.

Paragraph377 26th Apr 2020 08:34


Originally Posted by MickG0105 (Post 10763564)
For a business that is haemorrhaging money day in, day out, that lack of urgency in executing what was their only big ticket cost cutting program is criminal.

That’s because he was blinded by the Village idiots and all of their ‘specialists’. Virgin was never a match for Qantas at the top end and at the bottom end they were too fat in comparison with Onestar. Hopefullly if there is a next time around they will work out who they want to actually be and make sure they aren’t swelling with unnecessary positions and bottom feeders.

MickG0105 26th Apr 2020 08:40


Originally Posted by Icarus2001 (Post 10763586)

Specifically what dots need to be joined there?

Based on Virgin's own ASX filing, only 140 people has been exited as at 31 December and, again using their numbers, the average redundancy cost is $38K pp. You can't pin an $88.6 million loss on $5.32 million in redundancy costs.

MickG0105 26th Apr 2020 08:46


Originally Posted by Paragraph377 (Post 10763599)
That’s because he was blinded by the Village idiots ...

Which immediately raises the question, who's the bigger idiot?!

Icarus2001 26th Apr 2020 09:42


You can't pin an $88.6 million loss on $5.32 million in redundancy costs.
Bingo.

I agree.

Section28- BE 26th Apr 2020 09:54

Hmmmmmmmmmmm-


"If suitably qualified Virgin staff removed the blockage and a qualified and briefed crew took off there is SFA Perth can do about it."
Riiiighteo Then- per-chance, would you seek any 'relief at Law', prior executing that 'bold/cavalier' endeavor- or just wait and then, watch 'it' unfold on the 18:00 news/followed by the Banner Headlines of the print media, 'some' 12hrs there-after.............????

Just 'askin'...
Rgds
S28- BE

Sunfish 26th Apr 2020 10:34

TBM;

Sunfish QC now tells us that signed agreements are not enforceable! Mmmm that's interesting. Please give me the legal reason why and I'll run it by my QC niece for an opinion.

The next he'll tell us that Virgin must have signed "under duress"!

Remember the leaseholder of the airport is the landlord and controls the activities and issues approvals and invoices for the use thereof. Next time I need to get out of a an arrangement and you guarantee the outcome, I'll call you...
Actually I have considerable experience with such signed agreements. Ask your QC niece about clauses stating that you agree not to approach a court if there is a dispute about the agreement. The reaction from a judge to that is usually unprintable because nobody can tell someone they cannot approach a court. Furthermore if it is a civil agreement it is not allowed to conflict with the law of the land.

I have signed multiple agreements stating things like “in the event of a dispute you must pay all our costs and we can behead your firstborn child yadda, yadda” but I’m sorry to say that only gullible idiots like you, think they are enforceable. I mentioned Clayton Utz because they used to be known for writing blood curdling agreements that were utterly unenforceable. Similarly there are employment agreements with clauses calling for you to lobotomize yourself on leaving or restraint of trade clauses. Some agreements are so one sided that they would be thrown out of court - one I was asked to inflict on staff was rejected by lawyers who said :” If you want to strengthen this, you must water it down”.

I have had advice from partners in Mallesons, Small claims commissioners and the public servants who even drafted some of the laws concerned. I’ ve been through this crap with BT Australia, Macquarie and various financiers. Professionals don’t play these stupid games.

’But wait; I’ve saved the best till last, TBM. Usually the last or second last clause of all agreements contains the words to the effect that: “ if any clause is found to be unenforceable in a court of law then that does not invalidate the remainder of the agreement”. In other words, acknowledging exactly what I just told you.

You stick to flying aircraft. You would do that better than this simple bug smasher smasher. I try not to comment on things I know SFA about, like IFR, jets, turbines and the like. You should too.

Sunfish 26th Apr 2020 10:45

Section28-BE, i was just posing a question. I have no knowledge of such an endeavor. It’s a civil matter, not a criminal matter unless the airport gets a judgement against Virgin. Therefore if Virgin can remove the aircraft without breaking any laws, it can do so.

To put that another way, has anyone ever tried to have the police lock up Clive Palmer? We are talking civil law here.

‘’To put that yet another way, remember the private parking wheel clamping scam? Perth Airport is doing the same.

Sunfish 26th Apr 2020 10:53

I hope that the administrators can sort Perth and Adelaide before we get a tidal wave of creditors. If everyone stands back and takes a deep breath, Virgin may yet survive.

Sunfish 26th Apr 2020 11:03

Mach e avelli:

So, Sunfish, are you saying that the next time I put my humble Toyota in for a service, I can drive it out without paying? Just snatch the keys from the desk and go for it?
All this time I thought the agreement with the service centre for them to do a job for an agreed price and me to pay that price was enforceable . How silly of me.


You can try, but not if the boys know where you live. Unscrupulous Lawyers do try this on from time to time. Every tradie has a story about doing a job, then being told there is something wrong and the customer isn’t paying. It costs thousands to try to get a judgement. A lot of trades won’t work for lawyers for this reason.

It would be interesting if the Virgin aircraft is leased but being operated by Virgin. The actual owner of the aircraft has no liability or business relationship with Perth Airport. They may want their aircraft back. That leads to a nice expensive three way court fight.

Ollie Onion 26th Apr 2020 11:04

^^^ I hope you are right but with so many creditors and only 1 needed to demand liquidation I think it is like pushing water uphill, not impossible but a hell of an effort required. Sadly I have experienced through friends a few airline failures in the UK and in every instance aircraft were impounded by airports looking for payment before they would release them. I am guessing it won’t be long before refuelling companies, hotels etc will look for upfront payment each and every time. A mate of mine at Norwegian couldn’t check in to a hotel in late Feb as the hotel required upfront payment due to the publicised issues with the airlines financing.

Sunfish 26th Apr 2020 11:05

I’ll shut up now because the Administrators and their lawyers would be way ahead of me.

B772 26th Apr 2020 11:12

Latest update on the Virgin Australian mess is the total number of creditors is expected to be in excess of 12,000. This includes staff who are owed in excess of $450M. Secured lenders and secured leaseholders are owed $2.28 billion and bondholders are owed $1.98 billion. Other financing groups providing credit for Virgin to lease aircraft are owed $1.88 billion. Trade creditors who supplied goods or services to Virgin, are owed about $166.7 million. Landlords are owed about $71.21 million. I assume the administrators will be responsible for aircraft parking charges incurred since the airline directors sought the protection of administration.

The aircraft leases are a minefield with the administrator working through the leases to determine their status and saying it is a very significant task.

Some of the airlines creditors - including banks, aircraft lessors, customers with flight credits from cancelled bookings or frequent flyer points and entitlements owed to staff will experience a severe financial haircut and may only receive cents in the dollar on what they are owed.

My personal opinion is the assets remaining after the buyer finishes cherry picking will be sold by the administrator
to pay off the creditors who will receive as little as cents in the dollar on the amount owed.

strobes_on 26th Apr 2020 11:20

That news is days old.

As indicated elsewhere, the issue will be if the actions of Perth and Adelaide airports triggers a rush by the creditors and refusal of supply. If that happens, the company will be wound up and there will be nothing to restructure, so any new entrant will be a clean slate.

This might in fact be the best option.

B772 26th Apr 2020 12:01

Strobes on. Effectively Virgin are out of business, there can be no rush by creditors. The business is under administration. It is illegal for anyone to refuse supply to the administrator except for certain assets.

whisperjet146 26th Apr 2020 12:22


Originally Posted by MickG0105 (Post 10763564)
Yes redundancies can be expensive. In the FY20-H1 Interim Report preparation note 5(e) alludes to an average redundancy cost of around $38,000 per person. They had supposedly exited 140 of the targeted 750 as at 31 December so the restructure/redundancy cost should have been in the order of $5.3 million.

The problem is that labour costs rose by $42.4 million! Note that Group revenue only rose by $47.2 million. Under normal circumstances, the VA EBAs being what they are you would have expected to see labour costs up by around $17 million. That leaves about $20 million in increased labour costs that are essentially unexplained. It has all the hallmarks of p*## poor cost control. That is pretty well inexcusable for any business during normal operations leave alone one that had been losing money hand over fist.

I seem to recall Karl Schruster, head of Velocity departed the group along with an exit payout, as part of his contract, of approx AUD$8million.

TBM-Legend 26th Apr 2020 13:49


Originally Posted by B772 (Post 10763805)
Strobes on. Effectively Virgin are out of business, there can be no rush by creditors. The business is under administration. It is illegal for anyone to refuse supply to the administrator except for certain assets.


That is not correct as a supplier eg. fuel company can ask for payment upfront and accounts can be suspended due non-payment.

exfocx 26th Apr 2020 13:53

I'm with Sunfish on this "holding a/c thingy". Not only may the agreement be worthless if the a/c are leased the actual owner cannot be held liable for the a/p loss.

I think AsA had some success on liens back in the Compass 1 & 2 days, but I pretty certain back them the gov had written that into legislation. If my memory is correct there was an uproar when they held the a/c and demanded payment from the lessors. Cannot recall how this panned out.

havick 26th Apr 2020 17:27


Originally Posted by B772 (Post 10763451)
If anyone would like to follow the fortunes of Virgin over the years I suggest you look at some threads I started and postings I made on others threads. If you do a search for my postings using Virgin or VA you will see I have been negative on many aspects for years. Covid-19 just accelerated the end result. One of the prospective purchasers is looking at an initial operation of just 14 x B737-800 towards the end of the year.

Virgin Atlantic is on the rocks. This morning Richard Branson put the airline on the market after failing to find financial support from Delta and 100 financial institutions. He has now accepted the U.K Government will not provide any funds. The airline may collapse before the end of the month. You will never believe who is assisting Branson with the process. It is Houlihan Lokey. The same mob who is helping the village people. Beware of companies with back of serviette business plans.


The post below is from a thread I started in 2016 titled "Should Virgin be Privatised." We know the Board did consider this in 2018.

"1a sound asleep


I am not confident JB has saved Virgin Australia. He certainly has dug a bigger hole for them to climb out of.

You mentioned a figure of $1B. It appears to me that Virgin Australia is only worth about half its book value if all debts and liabilities are carried forward.
With total assets of $1,586,000,000 and liabilities of $2,300,800,000 the balance sheet is a mess.

With long term debt being 68% of the companies capital and a debt/equity ratio of 256.6% some serious surgery needs to be performed before a serious suitor would be interested.

Whilst it is true Delta purchased the SQ 49% holding in Virgin Atlantic after SQ lost a total of approx. $1B on their foray. Virgin Atlantic is now a shell of its former self having dropped services to Sydney, Tokyo, Vancouver, Mumbai and Cape Town. In addition its UK 'Little Red' domestic airline has closed down.

And yes you are correct; Virgin America is on the chopping block. After a huge airfare sale recently to raise some cash it appears the major partners in the airline (similar to Virgin Australia ) have offered the airline for sale after less than 18 months as a public company. So far Alaska Airlines and Jet Blue have made offers for the airline with an announcement expected as early as next week.

A number of years ago anything to do with Richard Branson was regarded as a 'sideshow'; nothing appears to have changed".

Virgin America hasn’t existed since 2018 when it merged with Alaska.

** Just realized you reposted something from 2016, so disregard.

mrs nomer 26th Apr 2020 21:30

B772 - absolutely suppliers can demand cash payment. Creditors can also, by majority vote, force the company into receivership if they judge that provides the best return.

That’s probably unlikely at this early stage with Virgin as the administrators need a month to understand all the leasing and collateral implications.


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