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Skystar320 17th Apr 2015 06:24

Qantas Expands International Routes
 
Just announed by late June Qantas to resume Perth - Singapore route in a Boeing 737-800.

wheels_down 17th Apr 2015 08:11

5 times a week…

Singapore has what, 5 times a day..?? Fairly sure its not in a 737 either! :mad:

standard unit 17th Apr 2015 13:18

Just putting it out there.
 
What about if Qantas had services beyond SIN from East Coast Australian cities to say, UK and Europe that Perth flights could complex with ?

This would surely help support a more appropriate aircraft for international Ops than a 737 ex Perth AND create a network Australia wide for those desirous of a Qantas airframe for travel to/from Europe ?

Oh, thats right........

Mahatma Kote 17th Apr 2015 13:49

PER-SIN !
 
The have got to be joking!

The cancelled service was an A330 and in my opinion one of the best regional flights they did out of Perth.

I can survive an A320 (Jetstar) and even a 737 (Qantas) for 5 hours but I really don't want to!

They had pretty full loads on the A330 service so why the downgrade?

Chris2303 17th Apr 2015 16:42

Need to build the service up after the damage done by withdrawal??

PPRuNeUser0198 17th Apr 2015 21:18


Originally Posted by Standard Unit
What about if Qantas had services beyond SIN from East Coast Australian cities to say, UK and Europe that Perth flights could complex with

Fleet type to do it? Needs a stop in the ME. Bilaterals between AUS and the countries you speak of, also need to be workable, and UAE needs to approve unlimited 5th freedom rights.

There really isn't a need either, since QF can leverage EK metal. It isn't essential to use QF metal. Revenue is still derived with codeshare partners vv.


Originally Posted by Mahatma Kote
I can survive an A320 (Jetstar) and even a 737 (Qantas) for 5 hours but I really don't want to!

They had pretty full loads on the A330 service so why the downgrade?

Isn't the pitch the same on the QF738 and A330? 32 inches (in most rows)? Everything else would be on par e.g. seat / cabin / IFE quality?

A full plane doesn't mean viable yield. You can run a plane full, at a loss, easily. That is the basis of the A330 removal originally. It is a very saturated market, and is way over capacity for the region, blanketed by too many LCC's that are undercutting heavily, and dumping unsustainable fares. Capacity and pricing are irrational. This is clear.


indamiddle 17th Apr 2015 22:57

Who are the LCC into PER from Sin.
SQ must be laughing their guts out, 5 flights a week on a 737.
737 domestic J/C seat v SQ lay down beds. What a joke!

Snakecharma 18th Apr 2015 00:25

The SQ "lay down beds" are not all that flash, having tried to stop myself sliding to the floor for many hours on a sin - BNE flight.

The service is great, the food good, but the Seats are nothing special.

Not sure that a 737 has a lower seat mile cost than a 330 so a full flight on a 330 should generate more profit than a full 737, the clincher is whether they can fill the 330.

If they can't - and they get say 180 on average per flight, then a 737 will be far more profitable, as the sector cost of a 330 will be much greater than the sector cost of a 737.

The other part of the equation is what else they could be doing with the airframes. If the 737 is already in Perth and doing a lot of sitting around because of the schedule, and the 330 isn't, then it is biased towards using the 737.

It also depends on when the flights depart and arrive. Are they scheduled to sync with domestic flights from inter and intra state? Do a bunch of miners on FIFO arrive in time to connect with the flight to Singapore or does the flight from Singapore arrive in time to get someone coming from Asia onto a FIFO flight to a mine site.

You can't look at the individual city pairs in isolation.

PPRuNeUser0198 18th Apr 2015 00:32

1. Jetstar
2. Scoot
3. Air Asia (if your prepared to do the quick hop over to KL (SIN / KUL / PER fares have been cheaper than direct with the above airlines)

I have also seen cheaper fares on other Asian carries with a stop.

Western Australia has a small population. In additional to all the 'full service' capacity - the market is saturated.

Singapore is funnelling traffic into their hub, for onward travel. They are not and 'end-of-line' carrier. You cannot compare Qantas and Singapore airlines. Different traffic dynamics. You will have customers on SQ with onward travel e.g. Europe. You'll find with JQ / QF et al, it is point-to-point traffic, with maybe some minor regional asia flying on partner airlines.

Qantas (Oneworld / QF FF) will embrace the service from a loyalty benefit.

Metro man 18th Apr 2015 04:52

SQ have an A330 on the route, Scoot have a B787 and J* an A320 so the high and low ends of the market are well catered to already with direct flights. With a flight time of around five hours it's not really worth the inconvenience of a plane change to save a few dollars.

Perhaps QF are trying to cater for the passengers who still want an Asian stop over on the way as they can connect with EK and other code share partners Singapore.

busdriver007 18th Apr 2015 05:07

T-Vasis: What are you smoking? A quick look at our bilaterals allow unlimited 5th Freedom rights out of UAE. Both passengers and freight. The problem is places like France that have put unrealistic barriers(150 seats three times a week). Another problem is Dubai, like London cannot handle anymore traffic. Bypass it all together with the right aircraft. Scoot, Air Asia and Jetstar are all loss making low-cost carriers! Frequent Flyers pay a lot more than holiday makers. An end of the line carrier, eh? Just like Air New Zealand! Qantas did have a Network until Geoff Dixon gutted it. 57% of Qantas Frequent Flyers prefer to go through Asia to Europe and Alan Joyce creates a typical point to point airline type operation, no wonder he can only offer B737s. Bite the bullet and buy 35 B787-9s, even better still paint the Jetstar ones and put in J Class lie down seats and divert the A380 through Singapore from Melbourne and take back what was Qantas traffic that has left. Air New Zealand and Cathay have shown the way, all Qantas needs to do is give up on the Jetstar dream, easier said than done with the current bunch.

Icarus2001 18th Apr 2015 06:01

It will be nice to see the "national flag carrier"* serving an overseas destination from Perth.

However, SQ offer four flights a day on a B777 or A330. I cannot see people flocking to a B737.

The budget conscious have Tiger, Scoot and Jetstar to choose from.

*meaningless phrase

PPRuNeUser0198 18th Apr 2015 21:16

Thanks Busdriver007. You must be 'challenged' with comprehension.

I said the bilaterals need to be "workable," and unlimited with freedmen rights needs to be in place, in order for Qantas to operate viably. That is a two-part need. You even clearly point out the issue with France, which was a factor for Qantas' exit from France many years ago. So I am not "smoking" anything; you issue sits with you and your comprehension of written text.


Bypass it all together with the right aircraft
And what aircraft do your propose that can do this adequately without any payload restrictions both ways?


Scoot, Air Asia and Jetstar are all loss making low-cost carriers
A sweeping statement. Jetstar has proven to be profitable in different years. Airlines won't be profitable year-on-year. Even the big legacy carriers have run losses. You know this.


An end of the line carrier, eh? Just like Air New Zealand
Oh dear, now you're showing your position is grasping for threads. The old QF versus Air NZ comparison. You know very well they are not like-for-like. How many 'one-stop' carriers operate into NZ and directly compete with Air NZ compared to how many operate into Australia to compete with QF? How many one-stop carriers operate to Europe from NZ? Air NZ cherry picks its markets. Mostly narrow, and very limited competition. On most of them, Air NZ code-shares with the competitor. Have a look at their network and competitors.


Qantas did have a Network until Geoff Dixon gutted it
Much unprofitable. Rome comes to mind... It was all VFR traffic into Rome.


57% of Qantas Frequent Flyers prefer to go through Asia to Europe
Where does this statistic come from?

The B737 provides the best route economics for the market. Qantas would not do it otherwise...


Air New Zealand and Cathay have shown the way
Again a poor comparison. Cathay enjoys the hub and spoke model in Asia to funnel. End-of-line airlines always suffer.

The "Jetstar dream" is critical. If Jetstar does not do it, someone else will. Remember anyone can come into this country and do what they like. Lion Air continues to consider. If that happens, you'll see industry pain. Blame your Government...

busdriver007 18th Apr 2015 21:53

T-Vasis:
Aircraft-even the B777LR can do Perth-Europe WITHOUT restrictions. It already can do Dallas-Adelaide WITHOUT restrictions and it is an old technology aircraft!
Jetstar would never have survived without the mother ship and the Asian franchises are NOT profitable! Remember Orangestar? The holding company of Jetstar Asia went broke in 2011 because "it could not meet it's obligations"(not my words), in other words Qantas had to buy it out and create Newstar with QF money and write off it's debt. $63 million worth of "goodwill". Air New Zealand is PROFITABLE (sustainably so and not because of write downs). Geoff Dixon and James Strong failed to understand that airlines need a network and he proceeded to shut it down and buy the wrong aircraft. 57% came from Qantas' own research in 2009(i was there) yet they went ahead with shutting down European services through Asia. Air New Zealand and Cathay recognise that in long-haul flying the Front pays for the Back! Look at the most expensive fares across the Tasmen, invariably they are ANZ and guess what they have some of the cheapest, that is why they shut down Freedom. The Australian Government has a lot to answer for, This is something that we can agree on. In the real business world the negotiators responsible for giving away our bilaterals without something in return shows a level of naivety common in Australia. As a US Senator said to me "What is wrong with your Politicians in Australia, Don't any of them have children?"

indamiddle 19th Apr 2015 00:27

The Jetstar franchise internationally has been a disaster.
The name should be changed to the 'Money pit'.
T-V, The 'Jetstar dream' has turned into a nightmare.
Massive capital injections in North asia, over 10 years of losses in singapore, only one very small profit in that whole time. And let's not mention the disaster of Vietnam. Ok, I mentioned it.
But wait for the huge bonuses coming up for AJ after the engineered massive losses last year so that we have a big 'turnaround' this year.
Jetscar is not the answer.
We need a 330 to compete with SQ. a 737 will not cut it but at least the Perth FF punters can now accumulate/burn points on this route if they want to. They probably all have FF with SQ anyway.

PPRuNeUser0198 19th Apr 2015 05:42


Aircraft-even the B777LR can do Perth-Europe WITHOUT restrictions.
I understood that one way requires a stop with full payload needs. Is this not the case? I also think that the fact Qantas cannot purchase B777's now as the B787 is the focus (primarily due to fuel benefit) - there isn't a point talking to point-to-point for Qantas now, as it is not possible with existing and future fleet type. Qantas also doesn't need to. It has its partnership. The partnership is 'good for the punter'. It offers a lot of benefits for the customer, and airline. This is why so many airlines do it, case-in-point - Virgin.

Jetstar has delivered profitability. Maybe not as a Group, but certainly Australia has delivered year-on-year profit. The Asian businesses - well. There is more to it than just EBIT performance. There are synergies the benefit the Group as a whole. Subsequently, of the Group underlying results deliver sustainable returns, than this is what is fundamental. From the financial results of Jetstar for this fiscal, Singapore and Australia are in the black. Japan is still in start-up, but improving, and Vietnam is still in early start-up. Whilst this is the market commentary, from Jetstar, you have to take this on good faith. The results will prevail eventually.


Air New Zealand is PROFITABLE (sustainably so and not because of write downs).
We must remember you're also talking about an airline that had to be bailed out by their Government. Air NZ would have collapsed many years ago, in an operating environment that was even more favourable for the airline. But I will again position Air NZ as operating in a favourable environment. Yes, they are a great airline. Yes, they have a good strategy and team (now). But I still argue they are in an advantageous position, thanks to many factors, not available to the likes of Australian carriers.


in long-haul flying the Front pays for the Back
That I know very well. But you need the end-to-end 'offering' to attract the consumer who is prepared to spend on the front-end. Qantas suffered many challenges to do that, in competition with other carriers, especially the irrational carriers that put an 'agenda' ahead of sustainable operations.


Jetscar is not the answer.
It absolutely is. Otherwise someone else will. It can work. It needs a number of factors to favour it. I think it can happen. I think the market is trending the right way. Capacity has rationalised. Growth has slowed, including organic. This is needed. I think we will see things improve over the coming few years. Let's hope this occurs for the sake of the industry.


We need a 330 to compete with SQ
When Qantas previously operated this market, yield was mostly not covering operating costs. There isn't more Qantas can do here. Yes, it can increase fares. Most people seem to see that as the answer. It does not work. Qantas operates on a higher cost base than its competitors. Some 40% against Singapore . Singapore enjoys centralised operations from their hub. They can leverage assets to deliver cost benefits. Hypothetical example: SQ requires 1 x catering truck to support x services in SIN. This truck can cover a large proportion of aircraft in he hub. This delivers significant cost spread. Qantas on the other hand, needs a truck just in Perth, to service much less. This means the operating profit on Qantas operations, needs to be higher, to support the costlier truck. Put on top of that, higher operating costs in Australia (so we can enjoy being one of the most expensive countries in the world), and you see very quickly the disadvantage.

Qantas has to install infrastructure is so many geographical ports, due to end-of-line operations. That means kitchen in each port, fleet presentation in each port. Engineering in each port etc. This is costly. Especially for narrow, thin operations.

Singapore doesn't. It has it in one port - Singapore. All other ports are subcontracted via very aggressive tenders, driving absolute benefit in unit cost to Singapore airlines.

The economics will never be simpler for hub carriers entering into AUS, and QF (or any Australian carrier) exiting AUS. This is why Virgin mostly operates all airline operations via sub-contractor e.g. catering, cleaning etc. It has the ability to tender, and driver cost improvement. Qantas has established, legacy operations. This is costly and hard to change.

Many airlines are prepared to take the hit on one market, due to strong margins on the other. SQ could in fact be doing this. But you won't know this. It is unfair to make a claim, when you do not have any insight into SQ's operating economics on this market. Most people seem to think simply because there is a service, it must be making money. Rome for QF did not make money for more than 12 years. But Qantas continued to operate, simply to avoid losing the FCO slots, since once released, they are typically impossible to recover in the future, at slot constrained ports.

SQ is carrying primarily through-traffic. Through-traffic doesn't travel on QF. The options to Europe, on 'same carrier' were limited, or don't exist. Remember that you also had to go to London or Frankfurt, versus direct. Unless price was significantly better, you'll go SQ to get to ZRH with one stop. And you maintain the same metal all the way. It is also an easier sell for travel agents.

Icarus2001 19th Apr 2015 06:37


SQ is carrying primarily through-traffic. Through-traffic doesn't travel on QF. The options to Europe, on 'same carrier' were limited, or don't exist.
BINGO. Limited by QF management in recent years.

The gifting of QF pax who wish to travel to Europe to Emirates is madness. They book QF end up on Emirates, they enjoy the experience, which website do you think that they will go to next time?

http://airreview.com/Qantas/QantasMap.jpg


Qantas has to install infrastructure is so many geographical ports, due to end-of-line operations. That means kitchen in each port, fleet presentation in each port. Engineering in each port etc

Singapore doesn't. It has it in one port - Singapore. All other ports are subcontracted via very aggressive tenders, driving absolute benefit in unit cost to Singapore airlines.
QF cannot do the same because?


etstar has delivered profitability. Maybe not as a Group, but certainly Australia has delivered year-on-year profit. The Asian businesses - well. There is more to it than just EBIT performance. There are synergies the benefit the Group as a whole. Subsequently, of the Group underlying results deliver sustainable returns, than this is what is fundamental.
This is the current management line and is wrong. Synergies like creating huge write downs for losses.

The bottom line is that QF management have been distracted by Jetstar and taken their collective eyes off the ball. Probably as a result of AJ being the father of Jetstar. Jetstar has COST QF money. There is no accounting standard in the world that would show otherwise.

crosscutter 19th Apr 2015 07:48

T Vasis... You fairly represent the attitude of current Qantas management. Allow me to tell you why I, at least, find it annoying.

1. QF red tail fleet decisions have been mismanaged. Wrong choices have been made over the last 15 years. No need to bash the dead horse but it's a massive horse never acknowledged by management. It's one of the biggest factors in QF's recent woes. Cue Air NZ comparisons whilst acknowledging your points.

2. Jetstar, Internationally has underachieved. Yet it has been given capital. Qf was told to get further capital it had to meet its cost of capital. The hypocracy is frustrating. Put simply, the Ivory tower must be disappointed. Unfortunately, thousands of employees have lost their job.

3. The attitude under Joyce has been Jetstar can do, Emirates can do, Air NZ can do...Qantas can't do. Your previous post also suggests this annoying attitude. If management showed the same tenacity advancing the QF business as they did defending the Jetstar money pit, it may be easier to argue that they didn't, in fact, take their eye off the ball in favour of some pipe dream. Unfortunately, thousands of people have lost their job.

4. Joyce grounded Qantas. It is his legacy. I will never forgive him. It was the wrong decision saved by a weak government.

5. The recent management decisions to improve aircraft utilisation and to change the value of the fleet to reduce depreciation expense, is not rocket science. In fact, I see it as another clear example of this management failing their stakeholders. Why wasn't it done years ago?

The prevailing attitude I have is that management gave up on Qantas for the last 5 years. Brushed it under the carpet. It's very sad.

itsnotthatbloodyhard 19th Apr 2015 11:10


Japan is still in start-up, but improving, and Vietnam is still in early start-up.
"Early start-up" must be the latest management-speak for "embarrassing debacle". It can't be anything to do with timeframes, since the outfit in question has been known as "Jetstar Pacific" for 7 years now.

You conspicuously failed to mention Jetstar Hong Kong. Presumably it's in "embryonic start-up".

lc_461 19th Apr 2015 11:24


Qantas has to install infrastructure is so many geographical ports, due to end-of-line operations. That means kitchen in each port, fleet presentation in each port. Engineering in each port etc

Singapore doesn't. It has it in one port - Singapore. All other ports are subcontracted via very aggressive tenders, driving absolute benefit in unit cost to Singapore airlines.

QF cannot do the same because?
In fairness for this part of the argument, I believe QF subcontract their catering/ground staff etc in Singapore to SATS -- which is owned by Singapore Airlines. There is no such catering truck sitting around SIN all day waiting for QF to arrive. Surely this is indicative of other stations around the world??
On the other hand, QF used to do the lions share of foreign airline ground handling in Australia until the past few years when anecdotally contracts were given away by management jacking up prices by 50+%. :eek:

B772 19th Apr 2015 12:44

T-VASIS

As you suggest the B777-200LR can operate LHR-PER with a full pax load and 15 tonnes of cargo. PER-LHR is viable year round provided there is no expectation of cargo being uplifted.

At some stage in the near future QF will have to go back into SIN-LHR by overflying DXB or operate PER-LHR nonstop due to political/religious problems mounting in the Middle East.

There is already evidence of QF losing LHR traffic to other carriers, especially high yielding traffic who do not wish to transit DXB. In an attempt to keep the premium cabins full QF are now contacting J class pax with frequent points available offering a transfer to F class. This is in addition to contacting Y class pax with frequent points available and offering a transfer to J or F.

Pontius 20th Apr 2015 02:16


The SQ "lay down beds" are not all that flash, having tried to stop myself sliding to the floor for many hours on a sin - BNE flight.

The service is great, the food good, but the Seats are nothing special.
Compared to what?

Qantas Skybeds? SQ is much more comfortable and doesn't have lumps digging into every part of your body.

Qantas domestic seat? SQ is vastly superior to the sit-up-and-beg QF seat....and lies flat.

Qantas 'new' lie flat seat (as per A380)? Qantas just about wins over SQ but I don't see too many of ANY of those options on a QF 737.

The QF product is an embarrassment, especially when it laughingly suggests a 737 is an appropriate vehicle to compete with the likes of SQ's 777. Why on earth would I buy a QF business class ticket and sit upright in a noisy, single-aisle machine with the lacklustre QF service when I can fly SQ in a proper aircraft for the job, with decent seats and a world-beating cabin service?

I used to use the QF flights all the time when it was a twice-daily A330 with Skybeds. The service linked nicely with the European flights and it was rare to see too many empty seats (though I appreciate this does not imply a good yield). With Qantas shunning WA it was a no-brainer switching to SQ and QF lost another Platinum One passenger. I'm sure Joyce and Co won't be losing any sleep over my departure but on my last SQ flight the bloke sitting next to me was in exactly the same situation........and equally annoyed that he couldn't use his QF miles for anything that he actually wanted (not relevant I know, but with over 1.8 million miles between us and unable to use them for something WE wanted it was another indication of why QF is losing customers).

The 'new' service to SIN will probably work as far as profitability is concerned and that's obviously what's important to QF. As far as encouraging travellers on the route to QF from SQ they don't have a hope in hell.

Snakecharma 20th Apr 2015 02:25

Pontious, I suspect it depends on what SQ fleet type you are comparing.

I was talking about the 330 which has the same J class seat as virgin have on their 330's, same as Fiji airways on theirs too.

It is an angled lie flat bed, in that it extends flat but at an angle, so you are constantly sliding towards the bottom of the seat.

A proper lie flat bed/seat that is also level is, I reckon, a much more comfortable proposition.

I don't know what QF have in their aeroplanes these days.

Mahatma Kote 20th Apr 2015 10:22


Isn't the pitch the same on the QF738 and A330? 32 inches (in most rows)? Everything else would be on par e.g. seat / cabin / IFE quality?
There a huge difference for general passengers between 3-3 and 2-4-2. But beyond that, the 738 has less seat room than the 330.

738 Cattle Class Figures: 17.2" width, 30" Pitch, 5" Recline
A330 Cattle Class Figures 17.5" width, 31" Pitch, 6" Recline

Then there is the average time to get served. I recall the A330 was quite a bit quicker due to more cabins and galleys.

Cabin comfort is much better on the A330. It's very quiet in comparison and the ride is smoother.

The only win for the 738 is average egress time is less than the A330.

1a sound asleep 20th Apr 2015 10:48

I just read that Emirates wants another 5 year extension to the QF deal. God help us


"In 2013 Qantas killed the Flying Kangaroo's long-standing joint venture with British Airways in favour of a five-year hook-up with Emirates. This created passengers for Emirates on their routes from Dubai to European airports. It has been very profitable for Emirates but the deal is due to expire in 2018

Now Emirates is keen to extend its alliance with Qantas (no wonder) for another five years and further wants to boost the number of its A380s flying to Australia. Its time Qantas stood on its own two feet and realised that this joint venture is only helping Emirates profits and driving passengers away from Qantas.


Qantas needs to be in joint ventures with a number of airlines and preferably those that are members of One World alliance and not furthering the dangerous world dominance and industry destruction that Emirates is creating


https://www.facebook.com/AirlineSafety

B772 20th Apr 2015 12:57

In my earlier post addressed to T-VASIS I should have mentioned the B777X both the 8 and 9 as being a suitable a/c for QF to overfly the Middle East. We do not know the payload/range as yet but I am confident it would meet the QF requirements for the route.

PPRuNeUser0198 20th Apr 2015 20:41


They book QF end up on Emirates, they enjoy the experience, which website do you think that they will go to next time?
The Qantas product isn't all that bad. There are pros and cons for both carriers. I have flown a lot on both, and they have they good and bad points. I don't think every 'QF' customer who travels will only ever go on EK metal again. Plus - it is a revenue share deal anyway, so QF will profit by QF coded customers.


QF cannot do the same because?
Qantas has established businesses e.g. catering, fleet presentation etc. They can't simply shut up shop and tender that business. You need a greenfield business like Virign, Tiger and Jetstar, who can. Qantas is burdened by their established businesses, as they can't tender work to compete (against themselves). I am sure if Qantas could, it would close down all of it. They're inefficient. Having more sub-contractor competition in the market drives competition, efficiency, and value. So Qantas has costs for this infrastructure at an AUS cost base, in the likes for SYD / MEL / PER etc. Singapore, only has one port (Changi), already on a lower cost base, and leveraging economies of scale that Qantas can't. This is especially the case for fleet specific equipment. Let's say you have a truck for the A380 in MEL. There are only two movements for QF 380's. In Changi, there are a large number. Now if Qantas had all the ground handling work in Melbourne, then Qantas would be in a better position. However, there are a lot of providers in Melbourne. Competition is fierce. Qantas cannot compete on cost with these other operators. On the other hand, in Changi, there are only really two suppliers - for all airlines. SATS and Dnata. Huge volume. Limited competition. There is a third, which Jetstar just moved to, but they are a start-up from what I understand.


Jetstar has COST QF money.
I disagree with this on the basis that the Australian franchise makes money. I believe it has since day one. Yes, the others may not be, but we can't expect the start-up's to make money. And then you have industry downturn, which affects everyone. We have just moved through this. On all accounts, I understand the franchises are on the upswing... We will see.


QF red tail fleet decisions have been mismanaged. Wrong choices have been made over the last 15 years.
Agree with this. The vision of A380 / B787 was the 2000 dream. It was the model at the time. The landscape (aviation) was different then, to what it is today. The delays with both aircraft type also caused an impact. It would not be fair to blame 'management' 100%, but I agree a portion should be.


Jetstar, Internationally has underachieved. Yet it has been given capital.
It must be noted that Qantas is only a shareholder, and has only partly funded these businesses. It is shared risk. And the investment is quite small, relative to the overall CAPEX. Qantas does need to be entrepreneurial at the same time. To invest in revenue opportunities. This is the basis of the franchises. But these a tough businesses, in tough economies. But I think it is right to give it a go. Someone else will. I still believe there is good in this. I think time will deliver. But if they don't, this is not large money lost. Yes it is money - but the payoff could be even bigger for the Group.


since the outfit in question has been known as "Jetstar Pacific" for 7 years now.
Qantas may have been an investor, but I don't believe Qantas has had an active role in transforming the business. I think this has started now. Vietnam is a challenge to do business in. I think it has taken time to get it right, and I think this is now. JP is growing. The fleet has been improved. Synergies are being leveraged. I think you'll see JP go from strength-to-strength.


You conspicuously failed to mention Jetstar Hong Kong. Presumably it's in "embryonic start-up".
It is hard to blame Qantas on this. There are politics at play in HKG. This is clear. I again say that Qantas is only an equal shareholder in this investment. Let us hope it gets legs soon. CX is doing everything it can to stop this start-up.


In fairness for this part of the argument, I believe QF subcontract their catering/ground staff etc in Singapore to SATS -- which is owned by Singapore Airlines. There is no such catering truck sitting around SIN all day waiting for QF to arrive. Surely this is indicative of other stations around the world??
On the other hand, QF used to do the lions share of foreign airline ground handling in Australia until the past few years when anecdotally contracts were given away by management jacking up prices by 50+%
You have misunderstood my commentary. I refer to Australian operations, not international. All ground handing in offshore ports is by third parties. My argument is that in AUS, there are no economies of scale, due to end-of-line operations, were Qantas has to supply all the required infrastructure in multiple ports, to service low volume operations. Versus high density operations SQ enjoys in their hub of Changi.

Qantas ground handling has lost contracts simply because they cannot compete with other Australian providers. Now that catering, fleet presentation etc., are all stand-alone in that they are responsible for their own P + L's, they have to price to deliver returns. The cost base of these legacy operations is way higher than the likes of your Dnata / Toll's, Menzies, Aerocare etc. Just compare wages as a start. It is difficult for Qantas to drive cost improvements in these businesses, as so much has been built on legacy. You need pretty big transformation. That usually means a new cost base. Hard to do when you don't have the luxury of a greenfield business.








FYSTI 20th Apr 2015 21:59

Its rare to see such slippery use of language & selective amnesia to promote a faith, a belief as an "almost certainly truth".


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
I disagree with this on the basis that the Australian franchise makes money. I believe it has since day one.

I believe - nuff said. There is no proof, because the accounts that would enable such proof have not been released. Your statement is a one of faith, not fact. Present evidence other than some vague about profitability statement by CEO's.


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
On all accounts, I understand the franchises are on the upswing... We will see.

Once again, a statement of belief, faith, and untestable, except in hindsight - yet crafted to mold perception today.


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
It must be noted that Qantas is only a shareholder, and has only partly funded these businesses. It is shared risk.

But yet Qantas appears to have all the liabilities. Qantas always seems to providing the capital injections, yet always seems to have its equity diluted. Singapore, Japan & Hong Kong come to mind.


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
And the investment is quite small, relative to the overall CAPEX.

So what you are implying is leverage. That precious seed capital could have been alternatively used for improvement in the mainline brand using the same concept, ie leverage. But that appears not to suit the agenda to effectively offshore the bussiness.


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
Qantas does need to be entrepreneurial at the same time. To invest in revenue opportunities. This is the basis of the franchises. But these a tough businesses, in tough economies. But I think it is right to give it a go. Someone else will. I still believe there is good in this. I think time will deliver. But if they don't, this is not large money lost. Yes it is money - but the payoff could be even bigger for the Group.

Once again faith & belief, trust us it will all work out in the end.


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
Qantas may have been an investor, but I don't believe Qantas has had an active role in transforming the business. I think this has started now. Vietnam is a challenge to do business in. I think it has taken time to get it right, and I think this is now. JP is growing. The fleet has been improved. Synergies are being leveraged. I think you'll see JP go from strength-to-strength.

More bogus information, Qantas had a whole team of executives in running (including operations) in Vietnam beginning around 2007/2008. Two of them were subsequently arrested and it became a major diplomatic incident Fears for Jetstar execs questioned in Vietnam


Originally Posted by T-Vasis
It is hard to blame Qantas on this. There are politics at play in HKG. This is clear. I again say that Qantas is only an equal shareholder in this investment. Let us hope it gets legs soon.

Can't blame Qantas? Really? Politics and national interest are always at play. CX were only going to do what Qantas did to SQ about the Pacific - fight tooth & claw to preserve their domain. You even had Qantas lobbing politician with "dirt sheets" on the M.E carriers, just prior to signing a deal with one of them (Olivia Wirth is Qantas's high flyer )

Bottom line is there is a limited amount of capital available as the footings for debt foir the entire business. The choice was made years ago to attempt to offshore the business, rather than invest in the mainline product. That choice is now bearing a bitter fruit. There is no transparency in the public accounts that enables independent validation of anything other than the Group P&L, it is a black box.

Everything else is an act of faith. I don't want vague statements that could be argued away with changes of definition, I want proper accounts with full footnotes, concrete numbers that have been audited. I will be happy to be shown any documentation that you can point to.

Metro man 21st Apr 2015 00:34

QANTAS is a member of the Oneworld alliance and their miles and status can be used on other alliance members where as Emirates are only allied with QF therefore the QANTAS program is probably the better one to be with unless you travel almost exclusively on EK/QF.

If you prefer the EK product you can book codeshare flights which results in less revenue for QANTAS compared to having you on their own aircraft.

However if Emirates were to join Oneworld you'd need to think again.

FFRATS 21st Apr 2015 04:16

T-Vasi, Don't take this the wrong way but you look like you have been 'drinking the Kool aid' mate. Or believe the weekly company news letter's JQ put out...

JQ-

I disagree with this on the basis that the Australian franchise makes money. I believe it has since day one.
:ugh:

So will a kids lemonade stand when Mom and Dad buy the shop out and also provide the the shop, lemons, sugar etc.


It must be noted that Qantas is only a shareholder, and has only partly funded these businesses. It is shared risk
Unfortunately QF has funded most Start up costs internationally , only to dilute share holdings later so IF any profits were ever made the business model still needs to recoupe losses. The original Business model would never take this into account so flawed from conception. EG, JQ Asia only profit was Leasing AC, that had no routes to fly, to JQ OZ :D , A330's persisting on loss making routes for years, having to buy Value Air to be able to fly to Indo.

Or the other way to do it keep pumping money in!
How much money into JQ Japan has been injected and reduced the 'investors' holding's lately.

JPacific,
To add to FYSTI, don't forget the AC VNA -198 , brand new A320 in Australian config, gifted to JPA to help get the Exec's out of jail! 40Million + write off from QF books.
No money gets back to QF, just to 'The Party'. It's only getting expanded because Vietjet has 4x it's size in 3 yrs and it's costing some Party members a new Rolls Royce :)

JQHK/ Red Q all a joke that need not be discussed due so many flaws in the approach in doing business in Asia.

FFRATS.

indamiddle 21st Apr 2015 22:57

T-vasis,
Qantas will never see a profit in Vietnam. The government has complete control and will use the same accounting standards QF uses to ensure that JQ will never show a positive result. Any profits will go to the government.
My greatest wonder is that if JQ is going so well overseas ( it never has) then why is it that QF has to cough up for initial capital establishment costs and for further capital injections to prop them up. Based on your optimistic projections JQ should be easily able to fund these start ups.
I have never heard JQ mentioned once as providing capital to a brother start up. It is always QF.
What i would like to know is if anyone out there knows the actual capital injections, initial and subsequent, for Japan, Hong kong, Vietnam and singapore. I would also like to include here the loans qantas has made to its partners to 'facilitate' the start ups. ( this has happened at least in one case). Add all the losses accumulated minus the few profits and this will show a negative ROR! The figures, if anyone can provide them, will definitely show the disaster that has occurred o/s while Joyce has ignored mainline.

moa999 22nd Apr 2015 03:24

FRRTAS - You mean VN-A198 which is leased from AWAS - so not gifted to BL as they don't own it.
Jetstar Pacific VN-A198 (Airbus A320 - MSN 4459) | Airfleets aviation

Indeed not aware that JQ own any aircraft - they are all leased (that is part of their business model) - so even if a plane was diverted from AU to VN register, can't see a cost being anything near $40m.

indamiddle - Qantas Group provides the startup capital. Not JQ not QF, but the publicly listed company.

FFRATS 22nd Apr 2015 05:32

moa999
Agreed on lease. Not many company's own their fleet.
I'll re word, it was a 'gifted lease' then....diverted from OZ to help out QF/VN relationships after Fuel hedging excuse for Losses.

Interesting to see who pays the lease?

It is very grey the whole business process in VN, indamiddle is spot on about profit and actual returns to QF. (qf being the sector that shows the losses for the Qantas Group mistakes)

FFRATS.

VR-HFX 22nd Apr 2015 06:33

FFRATS

Re JQ JP.

So far Qantas Group has contributed Yen 15 billion (AUD 160m) out of a total of Yen 33 billion in capital. Y4bn at startup, Y5.5bn in Nov 13 and another Y5.5bn in Nov14.

Loss year 1 was Y8.8bn, year 2 Y11.1bn and predicted loss year 3 between Y 9-10bn which will mean another capital call by Nov 15.

Japanese CEO was moved on in Feb and replaced by an Irishman from JQ OZ.

Watch this space.

chrisb74 22nd Apr 2015 14:33

ScootBiz on the 787 is fairly much permanently on sale for $299 each way. Sometimes they do $249.

Qantas Y on the 737 is currently on sale for $199 each way.

Both include Luggage, Food and IFE.

I know what I'd choose.

wheels_down 22nd Apr 2015 21:30


Japanese CEO was moved on in Feb and replaced by an Irishman from JQ OZ.

Watch this space.
The Brits and the Irish used to run Tiger Airways in Australia and Singapore. And didn't that work out well :oh:

busdriver007 22nd Apr 2015 23:31

As an Irishman said to me "Us Irish think we are god's gift to aviation, and we are not!". What is suspected of being ability is pure B&^%$&t.

Hoofharted 23rd Apr 2015 10:07


It is hard to blame Qantas on this. There are politics at play in HKG. This is clear. I again say that Qantas is only an equal shareholder in this investment. Let us hope it gets legs soon. CX is doing everything it can to stop this start-up.
My goodness - this is news to QF management? They thought they would just ride into town and "kick a few butts" without knowing that Swire own the entire town? They didn't learn from the fiasco in Vietnam that doing business in that part of the world is shall we say "different"? :sad:

Just shows the level of parochial ignorance that seems to be afflicting these management types. :ugh:

crewmeal 23rd Apr 2015 13:34

I believe Sir Tim has his eyes on the Pacific. If that's the case there will be nowhere safe for QF to operate to without EK having a big say.

MEA332 23rd Apr 2015 23:46

A330-300s
 
Rumour is (from Snr Tech Crew), Qantas is looking at ex Skymark's Airbus A330-300s that are in storage (5 airframes with Trents all <2 years old). Maybe Qantas is looking at expanding the International fleet???


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