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Bonza has its AOC

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Old 8th Jan 2024, 03:10
  #761 (permalink)  
 
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What happened to 777 suga daddy?
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Old 8th Jan 2024, 21:02
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I see they just made it to 1 year…. Longer than I thought. If they make it to 2 years alive I’ll be impressed.
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Old 8th Jan 2024, 23:32
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I got a notification today on a social channel

‘50% off all flights for 2034’

Seems like it’s about to die.
Selling tickets so far ahead, with a discount, crazy.​​​​​​​
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 12:33
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Originally Posted by MickG0105
I wouldn't be touting Wizz as an example of LCC success; they've been losing money hand over fist f."
The only reason Wizz is losing money on the balance sheet is because of that massive 321neo order, i've lost count. But they'll be a few NEO-NLRs flying to India, UAE, Mecca, Kazakhstan, Azrebaijan, Armenia, Woop Woop. Also reaching Singapore, Bangkok, Pataya, KL, Japan from their Abu Dhabi UAE AOC base. Once Russia opens up they'll fly to Vladivostok too. They Hungarians!

That's what a startup LCC with massive capital does, just wait, they'll be dominating Ryanair. And that's the tiny piece of the pie that Bonza wants.
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 19:23
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Originally Posted by antheads

That's what a startup LCC with massive capital does, just wait, they'll be dominating Ryanair. And that's the tiny piece of the pie that Bonza wants.
Talk of a startup with massive capital is off topic for this thread given Bonza’s parent is struggling to pay for their purchase of the Everton football club!
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 21:32
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Originally Posted by markis10
Talk of a startup with massive capital is off topic for this thread given Bonza’s parent is struggling to pay for their purchase of the Everton football club!
from Flightglobal:Investment firm 777 Partners is being pursued by lessors of four aircraft formerly operated by Canadian carrier Flair Airlines, over allegations of non-payment.

Court filings obtained by FlightGlobal show that the dispute centres on three Boeing 737 Max 8s and a single 737-800 – respectively with serial numbers 61806, 64944, 61808 and 36548.

Irish entities Corvus Lights Aviation, Columba Lights Aviation and MAM Aircraft Leasing 4 are seeking a total of nearly $28.5 million according to filing to the UK High Court.
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 22:06
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Originally Posted by antheads
The only reason Wizz is losing money on the balance sheet is because of that massive 321neo order, i've lost count.
...
Interesting theory, largely unsupported by the financial data. For the past three years, Wizz has been losing money at the operational level (that is, before financing and acquisition costs are factored in). A fair chunk of their woes were undoubtedly related to the pandemic, some of their problems could be pinned on fuel costs, and the rest looked like just poor cost containment.

RyanAir took a not dissimilar hit but over a shorter period (two, as opposed to three years) with a faster recovery. RyanAir were more profitable last year than they were pre-pandemic; Wizz lost over half a billion euros last year.

That said, Wizz's H1 FY24 numbers are looking significantly better, so they will likely be back in the black in terms of profitability this FY.

Regards 'losing money on the balance sheet'; a bit of a terminological mash-up there. You would normally talk about losing (or making) money on the Profit and Loss (P&L) account, and losing (or gaining) equity on the balance sheet.

Originally Posted by antheads
...
That's what a startup LCC with massive capital does, just wait, they'll be dominating Ryanair. ...
Wizz has been in business for over 20 years now. I think that they're well and truly past the start-up phase. And in terms of capital, Wizz itself has fallen into the red with equity standing at -€358 million.

More to the point though, and as others have pointed out, Bonza is not following the traditional LCC path of no/low-frills offerings on largely established, usually high density, routes. Bonza is trying to create routes while deliberately steering clear of established, high density routes.

Bonza also decided to be "the first airline globally to take an app-first approach with the only place to book direct being the Fly Bonza app". Their app turned out to have more bugs than a mangrove swamp in January and is currently very poorly rated by users. Making it difficult to get money from customers is rarely a winning business approach.

The whole thing may work, it may not. Because of the opacity of their current business structure, at this stage most of us have essentially no good data to say whether it is or it isn't.

As the Zen Master said, "We'll see."
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 22:54
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Originally Posted by MickG0105
Interesting theory, largely unsupported by the financial data. For the past three years, Wizz has been losing money at the operational level (that is, before financing and acquisition costs are factored in). A fair chunk of their woes were undoubtedly related to the pandemic, some of their problems could be pinned on fuel costs, and the rest looked like just poor cost containment.

RyanAir took a not dissimilar hit but over a shorter period (two, as opposed to three years) with a faster recovery. RyanAir were more profitable last year than they were pre-pandemic; Wizz lost over half a billion euros last year.

That said, Wizz's H1 FY24 numbers are looking significantly better, so they will likely be back in the black in terms of profitability this FY.

Regards 'losing money on the balance sheet'; a bit of a terminological mash-up there. You would normally talk about losing (or making) money on the Profit and Loss (P&L) account, and losing (or gaining) equity on the balance sheet.


Wizz has been in business for over 20 years now. I think that they're well and truly past the start-up phase. And in terms of capital, Wizz itself has fallen into the red with equity standing at -€358 million.

More to the point though, and as others have pointed out, Bonza is not following the traditional LCC path of no/low-frills offerings on largely established, usually high density, routes. Bonza is trying to create routes while deliberately steering clear of established, high density routes.

Bonza also decided to be "the first airline globally to take an app-first approach with the only place to book direct being the Fly Bonza app". Their app turned out to have more bugs than a mangrove swamp in January and is currently very poorly rated by users. Making it difficult to get money from customers is rarely a winning business approach.

The whole thing may work, it may not. Because of the opacity of their current business structure, at this stage most of us have essentially no good data to say whether it is or it isn't.

As the Zen Master said, "We'll see."
just remember you cannot sell $10 tickets for $9 and stay in business!
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Old 10th Jan 2024, 23:44
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just remember you cannot sell $10 tickets for $9 and stay in business!
You can, but you have to keep subsidizing it somehow. That's how public transport works, or even the road system in reality, we all subsidize the roads through various taxes and therefore road transport can run much cheaper than if you paid full cost per ride. If 777 wants to continue to sell tickets at a loss to gain market share that's up to them, at present all the airlines except QF have backers with deep pockets, what they decide to do with their money is entirely up to them.
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Old 11th Jan 2024, 01:58
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Originally Posted by 43Inches
You can, but you have to keep subsidizing it somehow. That's how public transport works, or even the road system in reality, we all subsidize the roads through various taxes and therefore road transport can run much cheaper than if you paid full cost per ride. If 777 wants to continue to sell tickets at a loss to gain market share that's up to them, at present all the airlines except QF have backers with deep pockets, what they decide to do with their money is entirely up to them.
comparing a government body with a commercial company is invalid from an economics analysis as the government can print more money, increase taxes and charges almost arbitrarily.

You didn’t mention that the big names behind Virgin 1 pulled the pin after major loses
777 Partners seems to have had a colourful past and many law suits over lack of payments
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Old 11th Jan 2024, 02:49
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend
comparing a government body with a commercial company is invalid from an economics analysis as the government can print more money, increase taxes and charges almost arbitrarily.

You didn’t mention that the big names behind Virgin 1 pulled the pin after major loses
777 Partners seems to have had a colourful past and many law suits over lack of payments
I never said 777 would continue to fund them, I said they can do what they want with their money. That could include continuing to prop up Bonza forever for whatever reason, or deciding tomorrow to fold it up and move on. Fact is they could be playing a corporate game we have no idea of, even less so as its not a public listed company. Same goes for Bain and PAG, they have money, lots of it, if they decide to keep throwing it at loss making entities that's their problem. The previous iteration of VA was stuck as a wedge for foreign operators to take profits out of the Australian market, as long as VA didn't lose too much money. It was also a thorn in QFs side, preventing total, unlimited control of the Australian domestic market and using that profit to subsidize competition in Asia.

Government assets are no different, if an asset becomes overly costly for no benefit to the public it generally gets shut down, like train lines were in the 80s. Now the government subsidizes private operators to provide public transport, and even roads, hence all the tollways.
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Old 11th Jan 2024, 12:13
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Originally Posted by 43Inches
I never said 777 would continue to fund them, I said they can do what they want with their money. That could include continuing to prop up Bonza forever for whatever reason, or deciding tomorrow to fold it up and move on. .
Exactly right, no one knows what 777 are doing, after all they're trying to buy Everton FC, and a few other soccer clubs (aussie too!) and that bankrupt airline in Korea. They been propping up Flair for years, Flair been losing massive amounts of money. It's a mystery to me. All I know is there is a lot of coke being transported to Miami from South America.
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Old 1st Feb 2024, 00:56
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https://australianaviation.com.au/20...sengers-flown/

Happy Bonzaversary
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Old 1st Feb 2024, 01:58
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Well, definitely well done on getting up and running. Then surviving for twelve months. Any wise money on where the next base will be?
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Old 1st Feb 2024, 13:15
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28 December 2023 - 650,000 pax flown https://australianaviation.com.au/20...oubters-wrong/

31 January 2024 - 750,000 pax flown https://australianaviation.com.au/20...sengers-flown/

So, an additional 100,000 pax for the 33 day period between those two articles. During that period the Bonz looks like they operated some 938 flights, meaning that they averaged 107 pax per flight.
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Old 1st Feb 2024, 19:10
  #776 (permalink)  
 
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Correct. LF had settled around low 60s.

It’s certainly not working, so how’s the cash burn?

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Old 2nd Feb 2024, 01:10
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Originally Posted by MickG0105
28 December 2023 - 650,000 pax flown https://australianaviation.com.au/20...oubters-wrong/

31 January 2024 - 750,000 pax flown https://australianaviation.com.au/20...sengers-flown/

So, an additional 100,000 pax for the 33 day period between those two articles. During that period the Bonz looks like they operated some 938 flights, meaning that they averaged 107 pax per flight.
There were a stack of cancelled flights ex OOL in that 938 throwing your numbers off
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Old 6th Feb 2024, 06:56
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Still adding routes, new one Sunny Coast-Launceston from 29 March.
Bonza Adds Maroochydore – Launceston From late-March 2024 — AeroRoutes
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Old 6th Feb 2024, 07:24
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Are Bonza selling phantom seats from the Gold Coast after the Canadians head home in four weeks?

That’s the rumour.
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Old 6th Feb 2024, 08:10
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Gosh no. Just a bundle of rights
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