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REX to transition to ATRs, start domestic jet ops

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REX to transition to ATRs, start domestic jet ops

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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 06:10
  #1381 (permalink)  
 
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Geez Busbitch - should you really be on here saying "nice" things and showing some compassion? Best be careful
not following the lead of MickG, SHVC, bounceboeing and Paragraph 337 and the others with their incredibly repetitive and quite frankly
totally boring negativity. We get the idea you guys - you hate Rex and Sharp and you are all airline business experts. Give it a break.

Thats just my opinion and I'm entitled to it. Or do you want me to log on every day and say the same thing over and over and over
like you guys with nothing better to do
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 06:53
  #1382 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by rodney rude
Geez Busbitch - should you really be on here saying "nice" things and showing some compassion? Best be careful
not following the lead of MickG, SHVC, bounceboeing and Paragraph 337 and the others with their incredibly repetitive and quite frankly
totally boring negativity. We get the idea you guys - you hate Rex and Sharp and you are all airline business experts. Give it a break.

Thats just my opinion and I'm entitled to it. Or do you want me to log on every day and say the same thing over and over and over
like you guys with nothing better to do
Geez, didn't realise there was some sort of quota on posts. I've made 11 since the end of May and half of those were entirely unrelated to Rex and its management rather they addressed interpreting the ACCC report on competition in the sector, the structure of power-by-the-hour leases, and an extended exchange on whether manufacturer documentation is freely available. As to saying the same thing over and over and over, each of my other posts about Rex addressed a different topic, once each time - finances, exec share plan, most recent flights by the fleet, and competition.

For the record, I hate neither Rex or John Sharp. I think that Sharp is a loud-mouth whinger and that Rex's management have seriously misjudged this expansion program (that's just my opinion and I'm entitled to it) but I don't hate either.

That said, if you don't like seeing "There's never been a better time to expand into the domestic market" trotted out, then best look away - that's unlikely to be forgotten any time soon.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 08:46
  #1383 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by rodney rude
Thats just my opinion and I'm entitled to it. Or do you want me to log on every day and say the same thing over and over and over like you guys with nothing better to do
You don’t like other peoples posts? Then don’t read them. Simple. You are probably the same sook that criticises people’s grammar. It’s a blog, get it? People post comments. Some of those comments might not align with your own personal beliefs. Tough titties.

And for the record, I have no issue with REX as an entity nor the pilot group. It’s the capitalist grubs like the majority of CEO’s and Board Directors, along with political vermin that I dislike.

Last edited by Paragraph377; 22nd Jul 2021 at 12:04.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 10:10
  #1384 (permalink)  
 
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What they said.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 10:39
  #1385 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Turnleft080
VA still have that AOC on ice. It depends on Rex owners, share holders, PAG if they want to sell the 737 operation to Bain.
Buy the operation save the crews, save the jobs and knocks out the opposition.
I’ve seen a few posters postulate such an outcome but I find the notion a bit bizarre. Part of the reason Virgin went bust was because they went out buying up multiple other operators rather than concentrating on their own core business which was profitable.
Why would they want to recreate past mistakes?

Additionally, they already have a LCC AOC
and access to many 737’s and crew, what benefit would there be in buying a dud business off Rex?
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 10:53
  #1386 (permalink)  
 
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Can the leasing companies say offer these Jets to Virgin? A use it or lose it sort of clause for Rex.

3/6 of these VA would want back are only 11 years old.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 12:05
  #1387 (permalink)  
 
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^^

I'm guessing that even VA/Bain does not want most if not all those older jets back. A few of them were the most unreliable of the fleet when they were with VA.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 21:15
  #1388 (permalink)  
 
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BZG/VUV/VUU are only 2010 builds.

The other three I wouldn’t touch.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 21:38
  #1389 (permalink)  
 
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By the looks of it Rex might not touch them again either.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 23:29
  #1390 (permalink)  
 
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Why would VA bother with those old machines? Strong rumours of Max 8 and 787 orders forthcoming. Max for short-haul international and 787 to restart US and Japan ops. They’re working on the timing, in conjunction with federal government, as it is contingent on border openings.

They’ve been busy certifying all sim instructors in the Max sim (full DTR) so that when the announcement is made, the training program can be rolled out expeditiously.
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Old 22nd Jul 2021, 23:58
  #1391 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by turbantime
Why would VA bother with those old machines? Strong rumours of Max 8 and 787 orders forthcoming. Max for short-haul international and 787 to restart US and Japan ops. They’re working on the timing, in conjunction with federal government, as it is contingent on border openings.

They’ve been busy certifying all sim instructors in the Max sim (full DTR) so that when the announcement is made, the training program can be rolled out expeditiously.
I'd be surprised if VA were ordering MAX8s given they only cancelled their order for them last December. They obviously are preparing for their MAX10s which are due in about 2 years but it is hard to see what MAX8s offer them given they now have a fairly young fleet of 73Ws and there is little point having capacity in excess of demand given current uncertainties.

Rumours of a 787 order would appear to be exactly that. Bain are very disciplined in how they realise their investment in VA and long-haul international flying would seem to be a fair way into the future for them. I wouldn't expect to see any 787s for VA before 2025 at the earliest.
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Old 23rd Jul 2021, 00:11
  #1392 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by SHVC
By the looks of it Rex might not touch them again either.
Quite.

These lockdowns provide JS and the Singaporeans an excuse to exit the jet market before anymore of the $150m is thrown into the gurgler. It also allows them to blame the fed/state government rather than their own commercial vandalism.
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Old 23rd Jul 2021, 04:24
  #1393 (permalink)  
 
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VA still have that AOC on ice. It depends on Rex owners, share holders, PAG if they want to sell the 737 operation to Bain.
Buy the operation save the crews, save the jobs and knocks out the opposition. Long shot yes, though something must give.
Which opposition would it knock out?

There is no operation to sell, all grounded and before that burning cash every week.

I have a great business to sell you though…
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Old 23rd Jul 2021, 07:16
  #1394 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by PoppaJo
Can the leasing companies say offer these Jets to Virgin?
Only if Rex were to default on their lease in such a fashion that repossession was triggered. Unremedied non-payment of rent is the typical 'termination event' that would lead to repossession.

Originally Posted by PoppaJo
A use it or lose it sort of clause for Rex.
The leasing companies really couldn't give a tinker's cuss as to whether the lessee is using the aircraft or not so long as rent is being paid as it falls due and asset value is being maintained. Non-use wouldn't be an event of default in of itself; non-use and failure to properly maintain the aircraft per the manufacture's calendar-based schedules and/or preservation guidance most certainly would be.
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Old 24th Jul 2021, 00:26
  #1395 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by MickG0105
Only if Rex were to default on their lease in such a fashion that repossession was triggered. Unremedied non-payment of rent is the typical 'termination event' that would lead to repossession.


The leasing companies really couldn't give a tinker's cuss as to whether the lessee is using the aircraft or not so long as rent is being paid as it falls due and asset value is being maintained. Non-use wouldn't be an event of default in of itself; non-use and failure to properly maintain the aircraft per the manufacture's calendar-based schedules and/or preservation guidance most certainly would be.
You might find if they’re paying PBH then leasing companies do mind. Zero return on assets while not flying.
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Old 24th Jul 2021, 00:43
  #1396 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by big buddah
You might find if they’re paying PBH then leasing companies do mind. Zero return on assets while not flying.
That's not how power-by-the-hour leases are structured. I've addressed that previously.

Originally Posted by MickG0105
There seems to be a perception in some quarters that power-by-the-hour leases are some sort of financial panacea for low utilisation. They're not. PBH is typically a 'tuned' arrangement pitched around forecast utilisation with a cap-and-collar for anticipated variations. They blend the relatively high fixed lease component that covers the return-on-capital to the leasing company with a much smaller utilisation-based pro-rated component for (usually engine) maintenance.

Not using the aircraft doesn't obviate the requirement to make the bulk of the lease payments. However, not utilising the aircraft does have a major impact on the airlines' ability to fund the lease costs from cash flow.

There's a reason why there are a couple of orders of magnitude fewer leasing companies than airlines and at least an order of magnitude fewer leasing companies going bust when compared to airlines. They are much better at making money under any and all circumstances.
​​​​​​​
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Old 25th Jul 2021, 04:57
  #1397 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by decoder
Pretty sure it's a temporary measure until borders reopen. Sounds like a prudent business decision to me. Seems like some people can't wait for Rex to fail. Can't we just acknowledge that many of their crew went through redundancy, unemployment and all the stress that accompanies it, only 18 months ago.
Couldn’t agree more.

One potentially bright spot for the current/ex VA Jet crew, is that if they were on the VA 737 EBA when they were made redundant, they should have 5 years right of return when their number on the seniority list comes up.
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Old 25th Jul 2021, 07:30
  #1398 (permalink)  
 
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Krusty

No one on the VAA 737 was made redundant (a few voluntaries though and they are excluded from the ‘right of return’). Only the wide body, ATR, VAI 737 and Tiger (all seperate eba’s to the VAA 737 eba) and yes they all have a right of return for five years according to their ‘seniority’ but then they lose the ‘right’ but will still be on the list and ‘presumably’ recalled before anyone off the street for a few more years. Hope it all works out for them all……..
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Old 25th Jul 2021, 10:08
  #1399 (permalink)  
 
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Thanks NIE.

I know around 15 have recently left the REX Jet operation to return to VA. I assumed it was under the redundancy provisions.
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Old 25th Jul 2021, 10:18
  #1400 (permalink)  
 
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Yes, I think nearly all the initial 88 returnees, including the now ex-Rex cohort, were pretty much off the VA widebodies (tripler and 330.) Pretty much all of them had significant 73 time from the early days so getting up to speed isn’t a problem.
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