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MERGED: Alan's still not happy......

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MERGED: Alan's still not happy......

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Old 11th Jul 2014, 04:38
  #4561 (permalink)  
 
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Without endorsing the rumours re EK takeover of QF domestic (cos i don't know), remember that once upon a time Qantas was just an international carrier that ended up being merged with a domestic carrier. So it wouldn't stretch the boundaries of credibility that it may be so again.
If you go down this path, you realistically have to break up the whole group into Domestic, Int'l, Jetstar, FF Scheme, Engineering, Catering etc. This would be incredibly complicated and would throw up some parts of the business worth nothing. For example, if international is as dire as it seems a break up would mean this business is now on its own and the only thing the shareholders could realistically do is hand it back to the govt.

It is fair to say the real value in the group is in domestic and the FF scheme though its value is very dependent on there being a viable int'l business. As a shareholder, I wouldn't trust the current board to get a good price for the domestic franchise. The FF scheme's value is questionable in a break-up and the rest is either negligible or of little worth.
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Old 11th Jul 2014, 04:50
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What would be the advantage for EK? They already have services to all mainland capitals (and capital). They would be buying a huge redundancy problem with the over-crewing of the 737, (unless they use it as a pilot farm for the 777, of course. The only upside might be a future play to get Pacific rights.

I can image EK dictating terms to Joyce about the allowable competition from JQ...that should be fun.
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Old 11th Jul 2014, 05:04
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QAN shares up almost 5.5% in an otherwise flat market.

Something is going on
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Old 11th Jul 2014, 05:21
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QAN shares up almost 5.5% in an otherwise flat market.

Something is going on
Possibly fuelled by this rumour - QAN now trading at $1.28, up 7 cents (6.22%).

No major spike in volume, though, so it doesn't look like the instos are buying into the rumour.
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Old 11th Jul 2014, 05:27
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Meanwhile, in other news, Paul Howes is appointed as a director at KPMG.
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Old 11th Jul 2014, 06:17
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Yep, and guess who is doing the audit for Q again this year?

KPMG..

the family is growing...
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 02:59
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Rumours starting to circulate around the traps that EK are to take a significant stake or all of QF domestic. Announcement next week is the rumour. Keep an eye on the QF share price over the next couple of days as that may give a clue.
Watch for the soon departure of 1 senior executive who has been conspicuously quiet of late.

You will never guess where said person is rumoured to be heading? Reward for a deal that has been very one-sided?
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 05:37
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Quote "Watch for the soon departure of 1 senior executive who has been conspicuously quiet of late."

Given how many senior executives we still have, that is a large number to pick from.

Your clues have me stumped
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 05:49
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Someone off to EK?
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 06:05
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Watch for the soon departure of 1 senior executive who has been conspicuously quiet of late.

You will never guess where said person is rumoured to be heading? Reward for a deal that has been very one-sided?
OK, I'll bite.

I was hoping you would say Elaine is off to the sandpit. But that seems unlikely, all things considered. My guess is it's LS. or SH.
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 06:25
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There is no way EK would want Joyce. I'm sure he is their boardroom joke. Would love to see him cleaning the showers in first class though.
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 07:13
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There is no way EK would want Joyce. I'm sure he is their boardroom joke. Would love to see him cleaning the showers in first class though.
Castigating myself for getting personal when I usually dislike same in others, I'm not sure that would work - shower screens are very high for some people and I'm sure EK would like their showers cleaned ALL the way to the top. Make a GREAT toilet brush though...
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 08:04
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Devil

I'll bite.
I reckon it's hard licks off to the sand pit to learn how to run a big airline,so she can return to run a small one.
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 09:35
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It will be interesting to watch - the QF International and Domestic thing is but smoke and mirrors - there is only one QF, one AOC 216147, one ACN and one ASX listing, who do the Qantas staff work for? eg EBAs etc...that single ACN called Qantas Airways... What a crock
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 09:43
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I've heard the Insto's are canvassing who's available for the Chairmans gig.

I think we'll see change at the top of the tree first.
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Old 14th Jul 2014, 09:50
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Griffin One.

If executives bolt early.

They'll be the ones nervous about their tenure if there's a sweep of the board.

MC
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Old 15th Jul 2014, 01:26
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If the chair changes, the board won't clear the senior executive decks completely. They'll look for one or two token scapegoats. Those who don't make the statutory remuneration report (page 82 of the 2013 Annual Report) are unlikely to feel the immediate wrath of the directors.

However, further cost cutting might have a new focus on trimming middle management costs at the Ivory Towers and beyond. That might be a good move...
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Old 15th Jul 2014, 02:45
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I've heard the Insto's are canvassing who's available for the Chairmans gig.
And that most definitely has to be where the process must start. If the Chairman remains in position whilst those at executive level are massaged into new roles, nothing will change.
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Old 15th Jul 2014, 02:53
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They'll look for one or two token scapegoats
And some of those tokens probably won't get a gig in the markets when the reality sets in, the "big picture" for the direction of the company is not a pretty sight...

I think the next couple of weeks are going to be very interesting as the panic sets in...
..Qantas says half sale of Jetstar Asia report is speculation | Plane Talking
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Old 15th Jul 2014, 04:56
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It would be standard business strategy for EK to assess QF management talent and knowledge of what makes things tick - then poach the valuable ones, leaving the rest to wither on the vine with the rest of QF.
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