Wikiposts
Search
Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific Airline and RPT Rumours & News in Australia, enZed and the Pacific

State of Virgin Blue

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 11th Jun 2009, 01:57
  #221 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: utopia
Posts: 167
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Dutch Roll
Internal sources have led me to believe that our A380 is not performing as expected - now that would be a surprise.
I've heard the same from people who don't have a f clue but it's all BS.
I can't see why your
confused
when comparing the A380 to the 777 Please enlighten us with your concerns.
Bo777 is offline  
Old 11th Jun 2009, 05:44
  #222 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Australia
Posts: 165
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Dagger Dirk,
I'm not sure if you are taking the piss or not, but for your stock broker to be telling you Virgin stock price will almost triple in value in the next 6-7 months is a big call considering the current market.
There must be some very good results forthcoming.
I'm not going to advise you not to buy them.
Good luck, I hope it works out.
-438 is offline  
Old 13th Jun 2009, 00:26
  #223 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: AU
Posts: 249
Likes: 0
Received 7 Likes on 7 Posts
Some facts

Out of the age 10 hrs ago. 60%LF VA, 72% UA, 75% QF, premium loads poor.

VIRGIN BLUE subsidiary Pacific Blue is expected to join V Australia in posting a loss this year, raising speculation it could exit the New Zealand domestic market within the next 18 months.
Pacific Blue has flown on main-trunk routes within NZ for the past 18 months, but faced a tougher proposition this week when Jetstar replaced its parent, Qantas, on domestic services.
Macquarie Equities said it was difficult to see two low-cost carriers operating within NZ in the longer term against the government-owned incumbent, Air New Zealand. "It would not be surprising to see Pacific Blue reduce its services or exit entirely within 18 months," the broker said.
Virgin Blue has been redeploying 737-800s from Australia to Pacific and trans-Tasman routes over the past six months. Pacific Blue will boost its trans-Tasman services in September with flights between Sydney and Brisbane and four additional NZ cities. Macquarie estimates Pacific Blue will post an $11 million loss before earnings, interest and tax this financial year, a turnaround on an $18 million profit last year.

The broker also said passenger numbers for V Australia suggested a slower than expected take-up, while Virgin management had indicated disappointing demand for premium classes.
V Australia has scaled back some direct flights from Sydney to Los Angeles as competitors scramble amid falling demand on the trans-Pacific route. Passengers booked on some direct V Australia flights between the two cities are having to travel via Brisbane on domestic aircraft.
The long-haul carrier's load factor for the trans-Pacific route in March was almost 60 per cent, Macquarie Equities said, compared with United Airline's 72 per cent and Qantas' 75 per cent.
Competition will intensify next month when Delta Air Lines begins daily services between Los Angeles and Sydney. But some industry insiders question whether the US carrier is committed to the route in the longer term.
Despite a stronger Australian dollar, Macquarie said it was unlikely passenger numbers to the US would increase over the next year. A recovery in yields on the route was likely to be slower than anticipated because of discounting in premium and economy classes, it said. Return fares on the trans-Pacific have been selling for about $1000 in recent months.
On Guard is offline  
Old 13th Jun 2009, 01:44
  #224 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Sydney
Posts: 191
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Given VA have only been on the route for less than 4 months I would have thought a 60% load was good in comaprison to the incumbents??
ANstar is offline  
Old 13th Jun 2009, 12:41
  #225 (permalink)  
Wod
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: An old flying boat station on Moreton Bay
Age: 84
Posts: 292
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by ANstar
Given VA have only been on the route for less than 4 months I would have thought a 60% load was good in comaprison to the incumbents??
Fair comment under normal circumstances, unfortunately yields are down and Delta arrives in a few weeks time. Not good for anybody, but worse for a start-up carrier I fear.
Wod is offline  
Old 13th Jun 2009, 14:15
  #226 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: asia
Posts: 947
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
but for your stock broker to be telling you Virgin stock price will almost triple in value in the next 6-7 months is a big call
" Big Call " nah, not really, just shows that crack is still the recreational drug of choice in the financial sector.
hongkongfooey is offline  
Old 13th Jun 2009, 16:06
  #227 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: right now.....in front of the computer
Posts: 41
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
VBA Shares

Just did a quick look @ the ASX..VBA shares closed @ 33c. Not bad if you were fortunate enough to get in around the 15/20c mark.

Also took a quick squiz @ the Woolworths website. 1 can of Lovitts regular dog food, $1.39.

So 1 share, in Australias 2nd biggest airline, is worth less than a can of dog food?? Get in now..or get out now ??
High-Bypass is offline  
Old 14th Jun 2009, 12:08
  #228 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: FL290
Posts: 763
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
Unfortunately a 60% load factor at heavily discounted fare levels doesn't even cover operating costs. Additionally VA is not attracting the vital premium class passengers either
1a sound asleep is offline  
Old 15th Jun 2009, 00:42
  #229 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Somewhere
Posts: 3,072
Received 139 Likes on 64 Posts
I think you will find the 80 is not performing as well as what Airbus claimed it would. The 777 however outperformed design expectations when brought into service. As an aircraft the 777 wipes the floor with the 80, however the quality of the in-flight technology and service is really a question of how much money the airline wants to spend on it.
neville_nobody is offline  
Old 15th Jun 2009, 09:08
  #230 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: FL290
Posts: 763
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
Another PR message brought to you by your resident QF employee....
1a sound asleep is offline  
Old 15th Jun 2009, 12:24
  #231 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: WLG (FORMERLY PER)
Posts: 1,196
Likes: 0
Received 5 Likes on 5 Posts
N-BW most people think you are full of **** and I agree. You obviously have a very objective viewpoint.
topend3 is offline  
Old 17th Jun 2009, 22:43
  #232 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Doing a pre flight inspection
Posts: 254
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
VBA Shares were the top gainer in trading yesterday on the ASX

VBA Virgin Blue 0.345 +6.15% OZL OZ Minerals Limited 0.965 +6.04% CSR CSR Limited 1.59 +6.00%
VBPCGUY is offline  
Old 18th Jun 2009, 01:09
  #233 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: utopia
Posts: 167
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
CR
There are very few aircraft that haven't had teething problems when first introduced. When the triple 777 first came out it was known as the cripple 777.
Bo777 is offline  
Old 18th Jun 2009, 03:00
  #234 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: over 'ere
Posts: 212
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Sorry, but " tripple 777 " must go with the " WAC chart"
oldhasbeen is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 00:10
  #235 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australia
Posts: 545
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
crew rest -
Miranda does write some good stuff but this one has all the indicators of a quiet news day and a looming deadline to file 'something', or maybe the upgrade didn't happen.......?

The writing is weak, no verifiable first person accounts and very wobbly links to stuff that has come off other news sources. In short, a subjective pitch that does little but to fill a few centimetres.

Does not let QF off the hook by any means - but like some of the overhyped speculation around VOZ profits & VB shares, it is hardly an authorative piece of writing.

AT
airtags is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 00:19
  #236 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 2,382
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
So whats the latest on new routes and aircraft at VB? Its been quiet for a while...
Mr. Hat is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 00:26
  #237 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: at home
Posts: 56
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Re the LAX run, staff travel not recommended on this route due to heavy loads at the present time. Must be coming right if thats the case.
murdoch_disliker is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 00:41
  #238 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 2,382
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Another thread saying qf cutting La flights.
Mr. Hat is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 01:37
  #239 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: Wherever I can log on.
Posts: 1,872
Received 10 Likes on 7 Posts
QF loads across the Pacific are also heavy at present due to seasonal influences - mid year school holidays in Oz & the big summer holidays coming up in the US. I've no idea on the yield though and that is the critical thing for an airlines financial well being.

My read on the announcement of reduction in QF services is just formalising what is already happening with flights being cancelled when loads are light, ie there has been 1-2 AKL-LAX cancellations per week as well as occasional BNE-LAX and QF11/12 SYD-LAX flights. Flights are adjusted in an attempt to maximise yield (ie minimise losses) whilst minimising disruptions to pax - it's a fine balancing act. From what I've been hearing, V Oz is doing the same thing, adjusting flights to suit the loads.

Delta's start on 1st July will look good for the first month due to US summer holiday demand and the B777-200LR looks to be a good sized aircraft to develop a new international route, but in the long term, the competition will be cut-throat. I suspect that there won't be profits made on the route for a couple of years & it's quite probable that United will withdraw from its Oz routes to stop the heamoraging of cash.
Going Boeing is offline  
Old 19th Jun 2009, 02:32
  #240 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Aussie
Posts: 40
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
United Boss came out not long ago saying they are willing to accrue losses because in the long run its still a good investment to keep. So who will back out, none of them!?

All 4 of them have their pro's:
-QF has its A380, FF, and the usual loyal QF customer..
-United has its excellent connections on the other end to nearly everywhere
-DL also has good connections/new fleet/big presence at the other end
-VA seems to have the Virgin flair, and have tried Premium Economy myself and would say its the best product across the pacific. Great IFE also.

I will take a punt and say QF might drop a couple of services, perhaps United might downgrade.
Skybus_319 is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.