Flight Safety Q1 & Q2 2013 - blip or trend

[Heathrow Harry]

latest "Flight" shows all time low in airline accidents (9) and deaths (58)

makes the point that modern aircraft seem to be more survivable when they do crash

thoughts??

[Clandestino]

Fortunately, sample is so low to be statistically insignificant so I don't think blip/trend discussion could be meaningful, at least until full year results are available. As for survivability, modern aeroplanes are required to comply with design criteria regarding the crash survivability yet if the Lion Air were a bit higher and Asiana a bit lower, outcomes could have been much worse.

[ManaAdaSystem]

Trend is my guess.

[lomapaseo]

Insignificant data

We aren't smart enough to make measurable changes in only a few years.
Over 10 years maybe a a few percent

The problem is we introduce some new problems as we solve old ones.

We keep finding those pesky unknowns or unexpectants

[Heathrow Harry]

over the past 10 years first half accidents have varied between 9 (this year) and 17 (08), and fatalities from 58 (this year) and 500 (09)

the trend definitely seems to be down - but as we all know it just takes one A380.....