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Flight Safety Q1 & Q2 2013 - blip or trend

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Flight Safety Q1 & Q2 2013 - blip or trend

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Old 1st Aug 2013, 07:52
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Flight Safety Q1 & Q2 2013 - blip or trend

latest "Flight" shows all time low in airline accidents (9) and deaths (58)

makes the point that modern aircraft seem to be more survivable when they do crash

thoughts??
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Old 1st Aug 2013, 08:08
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Fortunately, sample is so low to be statistically insignificant so I don't think blip/trend discussion could be meaningful, at least until full year results are available. As for survivability, modern aeroplanes are required to comply with design criteria regarding the crash survivability yet if the Lion Air were a bit higher and Asiana a bit lower, outcomes could have been much worse.
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Old 1st Aug 2013, 08:47
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Trend is my guess.
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Old 1st Aug 2013, 08:56
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Insignificant data

We aren't smart enough to make measurable changes in only a few years.
Over 10 years maybe a a few percent

The problem is we introduce some new problems as we solve old ones.

We keep finding those pesky unknowns or unexpectants
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Old 1st Aug 2013, 16:41
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over the past 10 years first half accidents have varied between 9 (this year) and 17 (08), and fatalities from 58 (this year) and 500 (09)

the trend definitely seems to be down - but as we all know it just takes one A380.....
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