Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11486025)
The June Pax numbers for SOU are a little dissapointing ,indeed the airport will have diffuculty making the quoted break even figure of 1.2 mill for 2023.
Given that Bournemouth are still increasing flights and paxs numbers,its inperative SOU attract an airline to carry the number of paxs to return it to profitability asap. |
Originally Posted by stewyb
(Post 11486029)
Don’t believe their forecast for 2023 was ever 1.2m, instead more like 750k which they should hit. If they can get some summer flying for next year and the odd additional route maybe year round, including MAN x 3 daily with Loganair, 1m could become much more achievable by 2024 year end!
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Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11486142)
Its not the forcast that I was refering to,its the quoted figure of 1.2 mill pax by Steve Szazlay operations Manager .When consultations were ongoing for the extension he said that the airport was losing 4million a year,and 1.2 million paxs were the break even baseline. If so then its a long way off on the current figures.
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Ski jump!
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At least one, and presumably several, Southampton scheduled carriers will not be using the extension anytime soon.
The runway extension was “opened” by NOTAM with new runway declared distances, however the procedures for updates to AIP information have not been concluded. If you look at the UK AIP September and October planned updates there’s no mention on the runway extension at Southampton. So no official charts, no surveys of new obstacles based on the new runway surfaces and surrounding areas. Until official data is available from the likes of Jeppesen, Lido et al, via UK AIP updates, the extension is un-useable. No charts. No performance data using the new extension in either direction. |
This is interesting,so officially the extension is unusable until nats aip is published in the future?
TCAS FAN please clarify!! |
Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11486589)
This is interesting,so officially the extension is unusable until nats aip is published in the future?
TCAS FAN please clarify!! |
Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11486589)
This is interesting,so officially the extension is unusable until nats aip is published in the future?
TCAS FAN please clarify!! The NOTAM is official and therefore the increased declared distances can be used operationally for take-off performance purposes, and in the case of RWY 02 improved landing distance. That said it may be possible that some operators may have not have yet updated their own performance charts for SOU to reflect the improved declared distances. My post 1901 explains where we go following the NOTAM. Unless the new blast fence/wall north of the runway is of such height that it penetrates the RWY 02 Type A TOCS surface, which I sincerely doubt that it does, nothing has changed with obstacles. Albeit those south of the runway are farther away from the start of take-off point. |
Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11486635)
Firstly many thanks for the confidence expressed in posts.
The NOTAM is official and therefore the increased declared distances can be used operationally for take-off performance purposes, and in the case of RWY 02 improved landing distance. That said it may be possible that some operators may have not have yet updated their own performance charts for SOU to reflect the improved declared distances. My post 1901 explains where we go following the NOTAM. Unless the new blast fence/wall north of the runway is of such height that it penetrates the RWY 02 Type A TOCS surface, which I sincerely doubt that it does, nothing has changed with obstacles. Albeit those south of the runway are farther away from the start of take-off point. |
Originally Posted by ETOPS
(Post 11486441)
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I know - but you might have thought more care would be taken to show off this welcome addition. Even a ground level well framed snap would have looked better :=
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Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11486644)
Nothing bent on what I assume to be the original copy on the SOU contractor’s app.
https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....dec802105.jpeg Bootiful! |
PS Nothing to stop you using the new bit for take-off but with the "old" perf figures - used to do that all the time at LGW.
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Have you got a “before” photo as not sure how it used to look?
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What's that odd shaped bit of tarmac near the piano keys - presumably not a turning circle, as that would be marked?
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Thats the old turning circles, first installed when the runway was first constructed in the 1960s, a second added after initial construction.
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Originally Posted by willy wombat
(Post 11486782)
Have you got a “before” photo as not sure how it used to look?
https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....7beae018c3.jpg |
There should actually be some sort of general celebration for this as, in these eco warrior days, there is so little possibility of new or improved aviation infrastructure.
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And so it’s been proved right. More hysteria. It’s only been open a few days, give things time to catch up! Aircraft are physically taking off from the new tarmac, what more evidence do you need? There was a calibration flight the other day.
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Now that the runway extension is done and dusted, was getting bored so decided to have a look at the "Navigators Quarter" development, which includes the AGS land to the east of the runway, what used to be the 10/28 grass runway many many years ago.
This development is outlined in a website: https://www.navigatorquarter.co.uk/ You may find it amusing to look at the home page graphics to see what some clown has done to show the runway extension! The proposed development includes three parcels of land, "Railside" (the current old Locomotive Works site), "Riverside" (east of Campbell Road) and "Skyside" (the AGS land). On a positive note "Railside" could benefit SOU as the current large/high Loco Works sheds will be demolished. These are a potentially weight limiting obstacle for RWY 02 departures. The question is "how will it be accessed?". All that is currently available is the narrow Campbell Road bridge, with two sharp bends on it. Must be great fun navigating an articulated truck around it. Same question for "Riverside", only current access is Campbell Road bridge. Doubt if the Campbell Road residents are going to be impressed with all the extra traffic. Finally, the one that I've previously been banging on about, "Skyside". Firstly the "SAM" VOR/DME will need de-commissioning, has been talked about in past as part of an on-going NATS UK VOR reduction plan, anyone know the latest on when it goes? Then of course is the issue of access. Would appear that the only viable option is around the north end of the runway. Just how is this going to work? In a past life the proposed site development was discussed with the somewhat naive view that "no problem, we will install traffic lights which ATC can control", the ATC response was to tell BAA where they could stick their traffic lights, and of course it was not north of the runway! The next, potentially amusing episode is awaited. |
I believe there will be access to all 3 Navigator sites from the airport road and will perimeter around the north of the airfield with a cutting dug at the head of R20
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Originally Posted by MARKEYD
(Post 11485952)
There is absolutely no need to panic about the release of Summer 24 flights
The only companies that do this is TUI and Jet 2 they amend constantly and update all the time Ryanair and EasyJet don’t release anything until mid October / November so don’t expect anything until then No one really books until Dec / Jan when it all goes crazy town !! BA just copy and paste everything for the following year then just cancel at the last minute as always I have access to BA loads and it’s a mixed bag The TUI charter flights have done so far extremely well with BA Cityflyer , full to be precise .. However the rest of the schedule like ALC , FAO and AGP about 60 / 70 % for August , the fares are pretty high and could be the reason , but not breaking loads for the height of summer I am afraid |
Originally Posted by stewyb
(Post 11486993)
I believe there will be access to all 3 Navigator sites from the airport road and will perimeter around the north of the airfield with a cutting dug at the head of R20
If everything is to access from the airport side, is someone going to fund a new bridge from Wide Lane north of the Terminal and/or replace the current chicane on the current Wide Lane Bridge? In the case of the latter, the airport perimeter road is going to get very busy with 2 million + passengers and Navigator Quarter traffic! This is beginning to look like something akin to the new Global Airlines! When does the Navigator Quarter merchandise go on sale? |
It should become evident how many rail tracks are in the way, no way is there an economic option for access to Railside from the airport site. |
Originally Posted by Rivet Joint
(Post 11486971)
And so it’s been proved right. More hysteria. It’s only been open a few days, give things time to catch up! Aircraft are physically taking off from the new tarmac, what more evidence do you need? There was a calibration flight the other day.
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Originally Posted by Pain in the R's
(Post 11487131)
Get a grip sonny. Those aircraft did not need the extra length. Success will be measured on aircraft that need the extra length.
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Get a grip sonny. Those aircraft did not need the extra length. |
Originally Posted by Pain in the R's
(Post 11487131)
Get a grip sonny. Those aircraft did not need the extra length. Success will be measured on aircraft that need the extra length.
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Im sure SOU will be seeing many airbuses in the near future. |
Originally Posted by LTNman
(Post 11487366)
Summed up nicely. Forget ATR 72’s, which seem to actually need 1315m at maximum takeoff weight but will use what is available. Success or failure here will be judged on Airbuses.
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The runway extension is apparently completed? If so has someone at SOU forgotten about this NOTAM (C3536/23) that is still current until 25 September?
A)EGTT/QFAAH/IV/BO/A/000/999/5057N00121W005 B)2306270530 C)2309252145 E)AD OPERATING HOURS MON-SAT 0530-2100 SUN 0630-2100 ANY EXTENSION TO OPR HR WILL ONLY BE GRANTED IN EXCEPTIONAL CIRCUMSTANCES DUE TO RWY EXTENTION WORKS AND ONLY WITH PERMISSION OF THE AIRPORT DUTY MANAGER (02380 627113) |
whats the rush?
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Originally Posted by Saabdriver1
(Post 11487162)
I’d love to know from what knowledge base you make that statement. The additional runway length has made a massive difference to the E145 performance. I understand ATR72 aircraft which have seen payload restrictions off R20 are seeing similar improvements.
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Originally Posted by Rivet Joint
(Post 11490061)
That’s great to hear. Do you know what sort improvements for those aircraft it has had? Carry more passengers, burn less fuel etc? Hopefully it results in lower ticket prices.
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Originally Posted by LTNman
(Post 11490230)
So where is the evidence? Looking up the manufacturers spec for the ATR72, it stated that at maximum takeoff weight the aircraft needs only 1315m. Why did those figures not apply at SOU?
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The distances available and performance figures remain the same for departures from runway 02 at 1723m TODA. Airlines would have to factor in the shorter distances available for runway 02 for any new route calculation.
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Originally Posted by Pain in the R's
(Post 11490361)
The distances available and performance figures remain the same for departures from runway 02 at 1723m TODA. Airlines would have to factor in the shorter distances available for runway 02 for any new route calculation.
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But because of the shorter distances it is reasonable to assume that 02 will not be used if the wind is calm so when 02 in use there will always be some headwind to improve performance. There are other examples of regular A320 operations into airfields where one direction is very limiting. The best example that comes to mind is Florence.
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Originally Posted by willy wombat
(Post 11490443)
But because of the shorter distances it is reasonable to assume that 02 will not be used if the wind is calm so when 02 in use there will always be some headwind to improve performance. There are other examples of regular A320 operations into airfields where one direction is very limiting. The best example that comes to mind is Florence.
I cannot for one moment believe that AGS made the large capital investment in SOU without having spoken to prospective new operators to ascertain what they need to consider operating from SOU. While now less than 20, I feel sure that operations from 02 would have been considered by prospective operators. |
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