Originally Posted by GrahamK
(Post 11389399)
So what happens if the runway extension gets built but no new airlines/routes come in?
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Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11389420)
although additional airlines / routes are the aim for the airport,the extra length provides existing airlines to operate at full weight in challenging conditions.
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Originally Posted by TartinTon
(Post 11389478)
And that pretty much is all the extension was aimed to do. The airport MD has repeatedly stated as much so all these dreams about Easy/Ryanair additional med routes etc etc are just pie in the sky. It just re-enforces the operations that are currently there and allows a less restrictive operating environment.
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[QUOTE=stewyb;11389327]
Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11389316)
Yep and maybe W23 also, go on make a prediction or two and I’ll start with Orange to BFS/EDI With the substantial investment that AGS are making I am sure that their business case for it included definition of potential new destinations, and thereby the additional revenue that can be generated, to ensure a return on it. |
Originally Posted by GrahamK
(Post 11389399)
So what happens if the runway extension gets built but no new airlines/routes come in?
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Originally Posted by stewyb
(Post 11389491)
You clearly have absolutely no idea on why the extension is being built and the MD has stated no such thing!
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Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11387364)
Somewhat academic unless the CAA have signed off the project.
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Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11389499)
I feel sure that the AGS business plan for the extension was far more robust than “build it and they will come”!
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I'd expect a flurry of B737/A320 operators to give it a go and see in the short term though. There aren't that many about - Mr O'Leary has said 'never', so they are nailed on..., EZY - large base at LGW, Wizz - possible..., TUI - currently a couple of charters a week - larger operations already at BOH and LGW, Jet2 - said to be not looking at new bases at present, don't normally dabble in 'W's' into non-bases. After that you are down to wildcards like Volotea, Vueling, Eurowings? |
I wouldn't be surprised if easyJet initially tried something like a 3x weekly service in the summer from their PMI and AGP bases.
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If anyone tries the airport, certain it will be EZY and don’t foresee the odd route here and there diluting their mammoth base of 80+ aircraft at LGW!
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[QUOTE=TCAS FAN;11389495]
Originally Posted by stewyb
(Post 11389327)
In the absence of access to current performance data, particularly relating to the A320, to ascertain the improved max take-off weights with the extended runway, I would have to resist speculating on new operators/destinations. With the substantial investment that AGS are making I am sure that their business case for it included definition of potential new destinations, and thereby the additional revenue that can be generated, to ensure a return on it. Lets hope the airport attracts additional / higher capacity with airbus type aircraft to Sun routes,I dont see domestic routes upgrading to this size of aircraft due to limited PAX demand I received this email today from airport managemrnt" Timescales for the project are as follows: 20th Jan - 3rd Apr - Enabling work, incl. set up of site compound 3rd Apr - 17th Aug - Main construction works" Thanks Mike Southampton Airport |
[QUOTE=RW20;11390545]
Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11389495)
TCAS FAN
Lets hope the airport attracts additional / higher capacity with airbus type aircraft to Sun routes,I dont see domestic routes upgrading to this size of aircraft due to limited PAX demand I received this email today from airport managemrnt" Timescales for the project are as follows: 20th Jan - 3rd Apr - Enabling work, incl. set up of site compound 3rd Apr - 17th Aug - Main construction works" Thanks Mike Southampton Airport |
Why did Air Berlin pull out and go to Bournemouth? Were they fed up of being terrified trying to operate off an aircraft carrier?
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Originally Posted by 055166k
(Post 11390736)
Why did Air Berlin pull out and go to Bournemouth? Were they fed up of being terrified trying to operate off an aircraft carrier?
Strange question to ask though, "were they fed up of being terrified trying to operate off an aircraft carrier"? Really🤔 To answer that childish question. Yes, that was the official statement from Air Berlin at the time, exact words as well. Getting to the real question you posed. Air Berlin were using a Boeing 737-800 on the Paderborn route. The Boeing 737-800 is not an ideal aircraft for the current runway at Southampton and this won't change even with the very short 164m extension. Air Berlin obviously realised this and therefore eventually moved to Bournemouth. The flight to Paderborn did not remain at Bournemouth for long as it was cancelled within four months of moving from Southampton. Air Berlin from Paderborn actually flew to Southampton for just under a year before it moved to Bournemouth. Air Berlin opened up Paderborn to Southampton as the British Army had a major base in the German city which had close connections to the British army base's in Hampshire and Wiltshire. Not long after Air Berlin commenced Paderborn to Southampton it was announced that the British army would be leaving the Paderborn area. After that announcement along with less than expected passenger figures it was fairly obvious that the market for the flight was limited hence why it was finally cancelled. |
TUI Airways does not fly its own holidays charters from SOU -
For the past 2 years they have bought seats on BACF's scheduled Palma flights and in 2022, and for 2023 actually charter their own aircraft. 2 a week for Palma using BACF 98 seat EMB190's. A sensible load to sell - and they still offer holidays on the BA scheduled Palma flights as well (3 a week) if they fill their own up. Future routes - ? We know it will always be an 'Airbus airline' should any Leisure routes attract an airline wishing to dip their toe in at SOU. Jet2 (and Jet2 Holidays) are getting new A320N's, but they do not do any 'W' pattern flying from their UK Bases. So it would be a huge gamble for them to make a new year round Base at SOU. Winter flights are always popular to the Canary Islands and Madeira, so of course the performance/payload issues could restrict a SOU operation, until we know more later. However Jet2 Holidays is a very strong brand and would scare the s*** out of TUI at BOH if they did come to SOU. TUI did really well with its own Base at DSA Doncaster - but it was only them that used the Airport, and all was very seasonal. Other routes needed back are AF CDG and LH FRA, plus an EI DUB service that actually connects with their USA/Canada flights interlining at DUB Liverpool would be great, it's a ghastly long drive, or an all day train ride. BACF dropped Florence, Nice, and Berlin before they even started - I think those, plus Venice, Munich, and Barcelona are great routes with the right size a/c. |
[QUOTE=RW20;11390545]
Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11389495)
TCAS FAN
Lets hope the airport attracts additional / higher capacity with airbus type aircraft to Sun routes,I dont see domestic routes upgrading to this size of aircraft due to limited PAX demand I received this email today from airport managemrnt" Timescales for the project are as follows: 20th Jan - 3rd Apr - Enabling work, incl. set up of site compound 3rd Apr - 17th Aug - Main construction works" Thanks Mike Southampton Airport The "Draft Schedule" presented at the 7 October meeting indicated that the main construction (ie including what CAA had to sign off) was scheduled 1 March-25 July with the "Runway go live" on 1 August. We can only speculate that the slightly delayed schedule now indicated could have been caused by the wait for the CAA sign off. The recent post about CAA Board holding their recent meeting at SOU is indeed encouraging. That said, I have today seen the next batch of AIP Supplements that become effective on 9 March. Nothing there relating to the runway extension project. Again, another possible indication that CAA project approval may have been delayed. IMHO the delay with publication of the AIP Supplement shouldn't further delay the kick off. The 3 April start could initially be covered by a NOTAM which could then be superseded by a Supplement, which should appear on the NATS website during the last week of March to become effective from 6 April. Hopefully we are almost there, maybe the new SOU construction App will announce the CAA project sign off? |
Air Berlin obviously realised this and therefore eventually moved to Bournemouth. The flight to Paderborn did not remain at Bournemouth for long as it was cancelled within four months of moving from Southampton.. The Paderborn flight operated from Bournemouth from December 2005 until October 2007 which I make 23 months or rather more than 4 months! While winter loads were not great, July to October consistently saw over 3,000 passengers per month on the 3 days a week service. July 06 - October 06 13,825 July 07 - October 07 13,975 The highest monthly passenger numbers were in July 2007 with 3,921 or around 150 per flight based on 26 flights in the month. In fact the last 4 months of the service saw some of the highest loads - possibly connected with the troop withdrawal? LT |
Re: plus an EI DUB service that actually connects with their USA/Canada flights interlining at DUB
checking the Aer Lingus website would seem to indicate many of the USA and Canada flights are bookable as a through connection via Dublin. |
Originally Posted by rog747
(Post 11390802)
TUI Airways does not fly its own holidays charters from SOU -
For the past 2 years they have bought seats on BACF's scheduled Palma flights and in 2022, and for 2023 actually charter their own aircraft. 2 a week for Palma using BACF 98 seat EMB190's. A sensible load to sell - and they still offer holidays on the BA scheduled Palma flights as well (3 a week) if they fill their own up. Future routes - ? We know it will always be an 'Airbus airline' should any Leisure routes attract an airline wishing to dip their toe in at SOU. Jet2 (and Jet2 Holidays) are getting new A320N's, but they do not do any 'W' pattern flying from their UK Bases. So it would be a huge gamble for them to make a new year round Base at SOU. Winter flights are always popular to the Canary Islands and Madeira, so of course the performance/payload issues could restrict a SOU operation, until we know more later. However Jet2 Holidays is a very strong brand and would scare the s*** out of TUI at BOH if they did come to SOU. TUI did really well with its own Base at DSA Doncaster - but it was only them that used the Airport, and all was very seasonal. Other routes needed back are AF CDG and LH FRA, plus an EI DUB service that actually connects with their USA/Canada flights interlining at DUB Liverpool would be great, it's a ghastly long drive, or an all day train ride. BACF dropped Florence, Nice, and Berlin before they even started - I think those, plus Venice, Munich, and Barcelona are great routes with the right size a/c. |
DUB and LPL
Originally Posted by zantopst
(Post 11390860)
Re: plus an EI DUB service that actually connects with their USA/Canada flights interlining at DUB,
checking the Aer Lingus website would seem to indicate many of the USA and Canada flights are bookable as a through connection via Dublin. and there is also a 10:40 DUB on a SAT with British Airways BA2938, High Season only 16/07/23-03/09/23 (also a ONE WORLD partner) and more Votes for LPL Liverpool please (which could feed IOM too?) Perhaps EI could op SOU-LPL-BHD on one of their 2 dailys >? |
[QUOTE=TCAS FAN;11390835][QUOTE=RW20;11390545]
" I have today seen the next batch of AIP Supplements that become effective on 9 March. Nothing there relating to the runway extension project. Again, another possible indication that CAA project approval may have been delayed. IMHO the delay with publication of the AIP Supplement shouldn't further delay the kick off. The 3 April start could initially be covered by a NOTAM which could then be superseded by a Supplement, which should appear on the NATS website during the last week of March to become effective from 6 April." Just wondering if the construction was done overnight when the airport was closed then is an AIP Supplement needed if normal operations are not affected when the airport is open ? |
[QUOTE=Musket90;11391110][QUOTE=TCAS FAN;11390835]
Originally Posted by RW20
(Post 11390545)
" I have today seen the next batch of AIP Supplements that become effective on 9 March. Nothing there relating to the runway extension project. Again, another possible indication that CAA project approval may have been delayed. IMHO the delay with publication of the AIP Supplement shouldn't further delay the kick off. The 3 April start could initially be covered by a NOTAM which could then be superseded by a Supplement, which should appear on the NATS website during the last week of March to become effective from 6 April." Just wondering if the construction was done overnight when the airport was closed then is an AIP Supplement needed if normal operations are not affected when the airport is open ? The need would be to ensure that the current runway strip-end and RESA requirements are always available together with the RWY 20 runway approach lighting. |
Thanks TCAS - I assume the RESA requirements during the work would have been checked by CAA in the approval process (which presumably they have). I think any temporary impact on approach lights could be covered by Notam. Stansted seems to be doing this for any lighting downgrade during their present runway work..
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Originally Posted by Musket90
(Post 11391567)
Thanks TCAS - I assume the RESA requirements during the work would have been checked by CAA in the approval process (which presumably they have). I think any temporary impact on approach lights could be covered by Notam. Stansted seems to be doing this for any lighting downgrade during their present runway work..
Protection in the event of an overrun or undershoot is provided firstly by a "runway strip" which extends 60 metres beyond the end of the runway available for take-off, and before the threshold, ie the earliest point available for landing. Secondly by a RESA which extends for a further minimum of 90 metres beyond the strip end. SOU has a standard 60 metres strip end and the minimum 90 RESA for both runways. The project plan submitted to CAA will have to demonstrate how the strip end and RESA are going to be safeguarded. If one or both cannot, the runway declared distances will need to be temporarily reduced. Reduction of RWY 20 declared distances, involving a reduced LDA, is not really an option as, due to the insetting of a temporary threshold (which is already 45 metres inset from the north end of the runway) it will prevent use of a ILS IAP and will require the expense of provision of temporary PAPIs. Apart from this it will reduce the LDA which could be unacceptable to current scheduled operators, particularly Loganair, KLM and City Flyer. Any reduction of RWY 20 LDA would impact on RWY 02 TORA/ASDA and LDA. Consequently I am waiting with interest to see how AGS are going to manage the strip end and RESA issue, which should be revealed in the AIP Supplement. If it will not be possible to ensure approach lighting for RWY 20 during the project this will require a temporary raising of approach minima for RWY 20, but as we are looking at the weather during summer months this may be tolerable. |
[QUOTE=TCAS FAN;11389239]
Originally Posted by stewyb
(Post 11388240)
Ahead of this should be the Ops Director's report to the 3 February meeting of the Airport Consultative Committee, for which I understand that the Minutes will be on the EBC website by the end of this week. If all is still on schedule for a 31 March kick-off the "official" notification of the construction project should appear with the next batch of AIP Supplements, which should appear on the NATS AIS website around 28Feb/1 Mar. Total non event with nothing that we did not already know. https://meetings.eastleigh.gov.uk/do...mittee.pdf?T=1 |
[QUOTE=TCAS FAN;11392855]
Originally Posted by TCAS FAN
(Post 11389239)
The Minutes of the 3 February Airport Consultative Committee Meeting finally appeared on the EBC website. Total non event with nothing that we did not already know. https://meetings.eastleigh.gov.uk/do...mittee.pdf?T=1 |
As a guess, extra capacity from Aer Lingus and Loganair on BHD/DUB/EDI/GLA/NCL would probably account for about half of that.
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Originally Posted by adfly
(Post 11392897)
As a guess, extra capacity from Aer Lingus and Loganair on BHD/DUB/EDI/GLA/NCL would probably account for about half of that.
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EZY flights for W23/24 (Dec-Mar) on sale this Thursday. Apart from GVA do we reckon any further destinations will be added?
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Originally Posted by SouthernAlliance
(Post 11396409)
EZY flights for W23/24 (Dec-Mar) on sale this Thursday. Apart from GVA do we reckon any further destinations will be added?
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Originally Posted by SKOJB
(Post 11396704)
You would have to believe that sooner rather than later the airport will want to announce some additional routes in order to justify the new runway financial outlay!
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
(Post 11396710)
Who do they need to justify it to? Any annoucements will be aimed at maximising bookings.
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Originally Posted by SKOJB
(Post 11396714)
Their shareholders possibly, it’s called return on investment
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Originally Posted by SKOJB
(Post 11396714)
Their shareholders possibly, it’s called return on investment
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Few on this thread will know that today marks the retirement of one of Southampton’s longest serving Air Traffic Controllers, David Reynolds. From a young trainee in the 1980s until today he has been a consummate professional which I had the privilege to work with.
A long and happy retirement mate. |
No more F-15s at SOU then! Happy retirement Dave, an ATC legend.
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Latest batch of AIP supplements, effective 6 April, published today, nothing related to the runway extension project, however, NATS AIM today also published NOTAM C1514/23
Q)EGTT/QFAAH/IV/BO/A/000/999/5057N00121W005B)2303260530 C)2306262115 E)AD OPERATING HOURS MON-SAT 0530-2100 SUN 0630-2100 ANY EXTENSION TO OPR HR WILL ONLY BE GRANTED IN EXCEPTIONAL CIRCUMSTANCES DUE TO RWY EXTENSION WORKS AND ONLY WITH PERMISSION OF AIRPORT DUTY MANAGER (02380 697924) Could indicate that all or most of the work will take place at night with the RWY strip ends/RESAs restored each day. Awaiting the next instalment! We may get the project unfolding in bite sized portions via NOTAMs rather than an overview via an SI. That said, good to see that things are at last apparently moving |
Southampton - paris orly has appeared within the eastern airways booking engine (although no flts loaded yet).
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Originally Posted by globetrotter79
(Post 11407285)
Southampton - paris orly has appeared within the eastern airways booking engine (although no flts loaded yet).
A "W pattern" on steroids and an operational nightmare to recover when it goes wrong. |
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