We must be doing something right, cos they would t be returning
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Originally Posted by AirportPlanner1
(Post 11285833)
Very exciting news that Blue Air are returning! One tomorrow morning, and possibly another on Tuesday.
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Originally Posted by Pain in the R's
(Post 11286276)
The word that comes to mind is crumbs.
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There has now got to be doubts about the long term future of Southend with a recession about to bite and other London airport planning for expansion. It seems it has lost its role as a London airport and is surplus to requirements.
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I have googled the departures board and was shocked to see only 2 or 3 flights per day.
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That’s on a good day. I am sure there is at least one day when that is down to a single departure. For the winter season there are no departures so I guess the terminal will be locked up, with the lighting and heating switched off.
Bizarrely, the airport will reduce its monthly losses during the winter by handling no flights than operating with its terminal open handling some flights, assuming some staff will be laid off. Unfortunately SEN has been a victim of a shocking decade that has laid waste the airports plans from expansion to hoping for survival. |
All the above posts are fair comment and I'm very pessimistic for the future of SEN. Esken have the cash for it to survive this winter and probably next summer as well but unless there is a dramatic increase in pax flights for S2023 it's hard to see where it goes from there. PitR's comment "surplus to requirements" sums up the current situation very well, unfortunately.
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Sometimes businesses can fail despite doing nothing wrong. In 2019 everything was rosy for Southend, the airport was expanding fast and the talk was about grand plans for the future. Since then, we have had a pandemic, a war, inflation, that is out of control, and a pending long recession. So who saw that lot coming in 2019?
The airports business model has collapsed with no plan B so it needs to go into survival mode. Mothball the terminal, reduce the fire cover, shut the airport overnight, cut staff numbers and focus on the core businesses that have kept the airport ticking over for a generation. In a few years time it might be time to try again but this time the infrastructure will be in place. |
Sometimes businesses can fail despite doing nothing wrong. In 2019 everything was rosy for Southend, the airport was expanding fast and the talk was about grand plans for the future. |
Originally Posted by SWBKCB
(Post 11286426)
Was everything rosy in 2019? It was always a very constrained site, and its success seemed to be dependent on restrictions elsewhere. The difference now with earlier years is many of the ancilliary businesses have disappeared and the amount of debt that needs to be serviced
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Originally Posted by Expressflight
(Post 11286472)
As you rightly point out many of the previous ancillary business, such as MRO, have disappeared and efforts to replace them by growing the Jet Centre business for example have met with only limited success.
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I think the airport will survive BUT certainly not as a vibrant centre for passenger flights, at least for the next few years. Survival will depend upon diversification into a range of aviation related businesses (many of which SEN once had and some of those until quite recently). An unlikely series of events after 2019 showed that putting all their eggs into one basket at the expense of less high profile baskets was a disastrous mistake by management. If it wasn't for bad luck SEN would have no luck at all, but blinkered management decisions left it vulnerable - as was pointed out by several of us years ago, not least Expressflight and LTNman.
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Perversely SEN may be in the strongest position this winter by not having any pax flights or staff to pay. Seriously, the costs of running just the terminal(s) at the other airports is going to be astronomical. Anyone that thinks the full current published schedules are going to run in full is living in cuckoo land. And that’s looking at the hit to household incomes in isolation, there will be other barriers hitting demand and physical ability to travel like mass strikes.
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I think that's exactly what some of us may fear; that the owners may believe the airport would be in a stronger position if like Sheffield City Airport it had no...
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With a flight schedule similar to now there is no economic sense in reopening the terminal next summer unless they can get a number of aircraft based at the airport. That isn’t going to happen anytime soon.
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Funnily enough this is also about the worst time to be selling land for development. There’s more prediction than usual of a fall or even collapse in house prices and you’d be brave to be investing in new industrial or retail/leisure development - not to mention how much it’ll cost to build the thing. Housebuilders will be holding back on supply as they did circa 2010. It will be fascinating to see what happens with DSA over the coming months.
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The land at SEN is of course owned by the council - Esken are tenants. Peel own DSA.
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
(Post 11287017)
The land at SEN is of course owned by the council - Esken are tenants. Peel own DSA.
Post covid demand for flying has been remarkable but as others have pointed out it is still way short of that in 2019. Until demand looks like getting back there I cannot see too much happening at SEN. But what can Esken do? It has been suggested that they could do without the easyjet flights next year and there is sense in that but if they give up now Esken might as well go and lay down on the middle of the field and allow the circulating vultures to swoop down and start feeding on their collective corpse. |
BLUE AIR have got SEN on their web page as seasonal but no flights available to book as yet
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ASL to withdraw mid September
RNS released by Esken this morning stating that ASL to withdraw operations from SEN by mid September.
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