Sorry... but a load of tosh.... the Heathrow subsidy has not de-stabilised the market. Last night, the Aurigny's Gatwick - Guernsey flights were showing full and then just two days ago were showing 1 seat here and 2 seats there. The Embraer is out of action and just four flights using ATRs obviously showed a lack of capacity. Even so, the Heathrow Flybe service was the busiest I have seen... but still with a dozen seats empty !

If you want to look at what has destabilized the market... look at Aurigny's entry into GCI-SOU and GCI-JER : fares have tumbled and pax numbers have rocketed !

Totally agree !

Depends how much BI were being paid to operate into Southend and when any subsidy stopped post route introduction?

IF Blue Islands said it wasn't profitable why are Flybe going to run it ?

appears bi definitely scaling back scheduled routes or franchise with flybe ending

https://gov.gg/article/176053/Econom...be-discussions

Good news, but I would guess that BEE will not replicate the frequency that Blue Islands operated .

Didn’t someone mention that it would be 2x per week to Jersey and is bookable through to guernsey using Blue Islands as the feeder by the looks of things.
One wonders if the SEN route would be more viable now that Heathrow’s gone. Genuine low cost alternative to London and a total of 39000 pax potentially up for grabs now with neither SEN or LHR.
Obviously SEN doesn’t have the connections that LHR does but less capacity across the S.East to compete with

So what now for Blue Islands? No Flybe will they successfully go it alone?

Yes, Derek Coates permitting, BCI will continue to "go it alone". Indeed, BEE's demise opens up opportunities for them to expand. Heaven knows they need some more profitable routes! But, such expansion carries risks & must be handled effectively. They are already operating to Exeter & Birmingham - although this might only be short term. There is the announcement that they will, apparently, be operating these two routes in competition with AUR - although, AUR will only be operating them from Guernsey - which will certainly threaten the viability for both airlines. Maybe this is just part of the general confusion in the aftermath of BEE's failure & both airlines will be a little more realistic in the coming days. Certainly, there is no room for competition on most of BEE's old routes.

Looks like Jersey - Exeter is up to 5 times per week and Jersey - Birmingham goes daily and then seems to settle at 6 per week. Neither are showing as being avalable from Guernsey via Jersey at the moment

Oddly, Guernsey - Southend is showing up now, I am sure it wasn't earlier. The flights are blocked off as full but it just seemed odd for it to show up in the system?

Confirmed today that Blueislands will be launching flights from Birmingham and Exeter to Jersey starting from 12th March. Initially from Exeter flights will be Tues, Weds, Fri-Sun increasing to Tues to Sun during peak summer. Birmingham gets a daily service from the start.

I've just had a look and you can go to BHX from GCI out on a Friday back on a Sunday which will do me.

the pax loads were predominantly jersey bound, the few for Guernsey will be served by the ever loss making (state owned) Aurigny

Do you think Blue Islands will take on the Jersey - Manchester route or

The problem with Jersey - Manchester is currently EasyJet offers such cheap fares between Liverpool and Jersey it would be difficult to compete.

Even more of a problem is that EZY already operates Manchester - Jersey. BEE clung on to the route despite this, but I can’t see BCI starting up such a service with EZY already incumbent; & probably expanding the service now that BEE have gone.

Easyjet doesn’t fly between Manchester and Jersey, I flew frequently from Manchester to Jersey (Flybe) and Guernsey (Aurigny)

According to the EZY booking engine they do!

Yes, they do

EasyJet started Manchester - Jersey towards the end of last year, it's only twice per week from memory but as Jersey has Liverpool and also had routes like DSA they've never been as reliant on Manchester as Guernsey.

apologies... EasyJet do fly, however Flybe was a daily service not just two/three days a week.. hopefully they’ll increase the frequency