Cardiff City Footballer Feared Missing after aircraft disappeared near Channel Island

Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: DFFD Ouagadougou
Age: 59
Posts: 0
Metars from Cherbourg
Code:
LFRC 212000Z AUTO 19010KT 6000 FEW017 SCT150 BKN230 03/00 Q1017
Code:
LFRC 211930Z AUTO 18010KT 6000 FEW017 BKN047 03/00 Q1017
Code:
LFRC 211900Z AUTO 19010KT 9000 BKN020 BKN029 OVC035 04/M00 Q1018
Code:
LFRC 211830Z AUTO 20010KT 9000 SCT027 OVC035 04/M00 Q1019 NOSIG
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Reading, UK
Posts: 12,479
To be fair, he's an ex-BA 747 pilot, so could reasonably be expected to know about that end of the business. It's not (entirely) his fault that the BBC doesn't understand how irrelevant that is to this event.
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Near sheep!
Posts: 915
I find it difficult to believe that a non IFR pilot was flying this plane, given he/she would hold a commercial licence.
The request to decent was possibly due to icing and to drop out of the clouds to warmer air?
Does anyone know if mayday/7700 was declared? I doubt FR24 will show much?
Thoughts go out to the family of all on board.
The request to decent was possibly due to icing and to drop out of the clouds to warmer air?
Does anyone know if mayday/7700 was declared? I doubt FR24 will show much?
Thoughts go out to the family of all on board.
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: London
Age: 41
Posts: 33
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: London
Age: 64
Posts: 1,264
I find it difficult to believe that a non IFR pilot was flying this plane, given he/she would hold a commercial licence.
The request to decent was possibly due to icing and to drop out of the clouds to warmer air?
Does anyone know if mayday/7700 was declared? I doubt FR24 will show much?
Thoughts go out to the family of all on board.
The request to decent was possibly due to icing and to drop out of the clouds to warmer air?
Does anyone know if mayday/7700 was declared? I doubt FR24 will show much?
Thoughts go out to the family of all on board.
Join Date: Mar 2018
Location: Central UK
Posts: 473
Any idea if the aircraft was G reg or something else?
With a freezing level at about 3000ft and intermittent precipitation they'd likely have been in significant icing at 4000ft so a descent to 2300 sounds plausibly like a descent into warmer air.
The puzzle is why a relatively powerful aircraft like that wasn't being flown at a more credible altitude above the tops if they were indeeed at 5000?
With a freezing level at about 3000ft and intermittent precipitation they'd likely have been in significant icing at 4000ft so a descent to 2300 sounds plausibly like a descent into warmer air.
The puzzle is why a relatively powerful aircraft like that wasn't being flown at a more credible altitude above the tops if they were indeeed at 5000?
Longtimelurker
Join Date: Nov 1998
Location: killington Vt
Posts: 382
We went into EGJB about an hour or so before this happened.
Was a bit of icing around from 3000-5000ft. Some random windshear around 2000-2500. But nothing untoward.
Cloud tops were overcast from about 5-6000ft
Weather certainly wasn't VFR.
I'm more inclined to ask why a single engine piston/turboprop was flying in the clouds at low level over the English Channel at night, in IMC, in winter.
Was a bit of icing around from 3000-5000ft. Some random windshear around 2000-2500. But nothing untoward.
Cloud tops were overcast from about 5-6000ft
Weather certainly wasn't VFR.
I'm more inclined to ask why a single engine piston/turboprop was flying in the clouds at low level over the English Channel at night, in IMC, in winter.

Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Uk
Posts: 0
The “ newspaper “ said the aircraft was owned by the football club.
I wonder what the insurers would say about such an expensive “ asset “ being flown in a single over a fair bit of water.
Thats not overlooking the human tradegy , just being pragmatic .
I wonder what the insurers would say about such an expensive “ asset “ being flown in a single over a fair bit of water.
Thats not overlooking the human tradegy , just being pragmatic .
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Belgium
Age: 61
Posts: 139
Long time ago, during "chat hrs" with many students and instructors the "Golden rule" was always => If in trouble? => "Fly the airplane" => Climb, => Call => and Confess.
Only issue here could be icing that prevented the first 2 => Fly the Airplane and Climb. => Why the descend? => Will remain a mystery for ever.
If it was to stay VFR?? At night??? Over the channel? In winter?? In single engine?? With a snow front coming towards you?
Too many questions for my brain.
My money is on ice taking them down (or out of control.) But with that weather announced, they should have stayed on the ground.
Only issue here could be icing that prevented the first 2 => Fly the Airplane and Climb. => Why the descend? => Will remain a mystery for ever.
If it was to stay VFR?? At night??? Over the channel? In winter?? In single engine?? With a snow front coming towards you?
Too many questions for my brain.
My money is on ice taking them down (or out of control.) But with that weather announced, they should have stayed on the ground.
Pegase Driver
Join Date: May 1997
Location: Europe
Age: 70
Posts: 2,923
Raffels SA : re your Metars from Cherbourg. interesting but will be different over the sea. Channels islands have a micro climate , more interesting wold be to have the one of Alderney. or Guernsey .
anyway lilFlyboy 262 said there was icing one hour before around 3000 and an overcast cloud base at 5000 , for me that could well explains the request to descend to 2000 . Anyway in those conditions diverting to Guernsey should have been a good option for me. But I was not in the cockpit and maybe icing/weather has nothing to do with this accident.,
anyway lilFlyboy 262 said there was icing one hour before around 3000 and an overcast cloud base at 5000 , for me that could well explains the request to descend to 2000 . Anyway in those conditions diverting to Guernsey should have been a good option for me. But I was not in the cockpit and maybe icing/weather has nothing to do with this accident.,
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Vance, Belgium
Age: 58
Posts: 181
@anchorhold
I wouldn't fly IFR at 5000ft above Jersey simply because there is no IFR route that low in that area.
And with a P46T pressurised and FIKI, I would fly much higher.
So I really wonder what their flight plan was.
I wouldn't fly IFR at 5000ft above Jersey simply because there is no IFR route that low in that area.
And with a P46T pressurised and FIKI, I would fly much higher.
So I really wonder what their flight plan was.
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: London
Posts: 148
Does anyone know what happened to Tomnod, the people who acquired satellite images and asked the community to examine them for tell tale signs of anything useful? (No sign at tomnod.com)
These people:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tomnod
These people:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tomnod
Join Date: Apr 1999
Location: In front of a computer
Posts: 2,004
The big unanswered questions are;
Who was flying and with what qualifications?
What type exactly are we dealing with? Big differences between all the "Malibu" variants
Why no trace on the various "Radar" websites? FL50 near the CI zone shows traffic almost to ground level normally...
Who was flying and with what qualifications?
What type exactly are we dealing with? Big differences between all the "Malibu" variants
Why no trace on the various "Radar" websites? FL50 near the CI zone shows traffic almost to ground level normally...
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: This side of Heaven
Posts: 343
Aircraft Identity?
One BBC report states:-
A spokesman for the French Civil Aviation Authority said the Piper PA46 Malibu aircraft was French but had not been registered in France.
Strange way of putting it.
One BBC report states:-
A spokesman for the French Civil Aviation Authority said the Piper PA46 Malibu aircraft was French but had not been registered in France.
Strange way of putting it.
