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Old 12th Jun 2017, 01:31
  #1805 (permalink)  
EK77WNCL
 
Join Date: May 2013
Location: Gateshead, UK
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Hardly a spotters dream... One 737 supporting a market that is there, but is leaking onto the exact same 737's out of LBA and NCL.

MME's immediate catchment is not far short of a million, and the airport has previously supported flights to almost all of the destinations I've mentioned, as well as more city routes.

Over your standard summer season, March-October, about 30 weeks. 148 seats on a 737 300, x2 flights a day.

Daily: 592 seats
Weekly: 4,144 seats
Seasonally: 124,320 seats

Although realistically, schedules wouldn't ramp up properly until May, and would start winding down in September, so realistically you're talking 100,000 or less. This would be huge for MME, it would double passenger numbers, but is by no means undoable, and hopefully would bring in other carriers. Thomson (ALC/PMI/TFS), Balkan (BOJ) and Ryanair (DUB) might want back in if Jet2 taps the demand and makes the operation sustainable.

And I think this can be done with little to no effect on existing operations at MME, NCL or LBA

EDIT: Too much time on my hands, I wanted to try and do this properly to see the numbers stack up

737 300: 148 seats each way = 296 per route

* donates potential year round flights

Alicante*: 26/03-28/10, (x3wk 02/05-26/09)

-- 84 flights - (296*84) = 24,864

Palma: 29/03-28/10, (x3wk 05/05-29/09)

-- 84 flights - (296*84) = 24,864

Malaga*: 26/03-26/10

-- 62 flights - (296*62) = 18,352

Faro: 27/03-23/10 (x2wk 05/05-29/09)

-- 53 flights - (296*53) = 15,688

Tenerife*: 30/03-26/10 (x2wk 01/05-25/09)

-- 53 flights - (296*53) = 15,688

Lanzarote*: 29/03-25/10

-- 31 flights - (296*31) = 9,176

Rhodes: 02/05-26/09

-- 22 flights - (296*22) = 6,512

This rather generous and optimistic schedule would all result in an annual total of 115,144 seats. Based roughly on Jet2's average 90.8% load factor, we could assume an additional 104,551 passengers would pass through MME.

Doing crude calculations, this would mean a 78.98% increase in passenger numbers and up to £313,650 in development fees. All from 1 737...

Last edited by EK77WNCL; 12th Jun 2017 at 02:22.
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