If the rumour is correct ( and it's very much
if....), just for the heck of it I'll add my ten cents worth.
Take a 10-12 year in SH P2. Suddenly there's movement on the lists on all fleets .... he ( /she.) is faced with the options of either:
1. Bidding for a Shorthaul command, which means an extra stripe, a pay rise,
but an element of jeopardy, a possible one off tax hit ( any BARPers care to comment - re annual allowance), moving back to the bottom of a shorthaul status list with all that entails, and a post command freeze on type for several years
or
2. Not Bidding at all/only bidding for long haul RHS, and accept the risk of being a senior shorthaul P2 for perhaps just one or two more years.
I guess it's how much the individual want the extra stripe - guess we'll know for certain what's going on in the next few days.