Porterhouse,
If one
reads up on the 2001 Siberian Air shootdown of a Tu-154 with 78 souls of whom many russian citizens, one sees the same Ukrainian/Russian cast of characters and refusal to take the responsibility and cooperate with any inquiry.
And also if one is to believe -really?- that a missile exercise at the time allowed a missile to go 250km off range- then one would also believe at the very least be led to believe that the missile operators in that part of the world are criminally careless and ill-trained. Which should certainly influence any later day conflict overflight plans.
Edmund