But yes, like you I think
JS is correct in his predictions of where pilot pay will end up.
Why is that then?
I am sure there are more reasons for it but one part is surely the supply side of the labor where student pilots despite large sacrifices in money, time and distance away from home still sign up. Nowadays also knowing the long term reward is not what it is used to be.
The second and perhaps more interesting here on PPRuNe is the need for airlines to change pilots perception of what fair remuneration actually is. In order to shift the supply curve. (Itīs the winner after all in economics isnīt it?) Itīs possible to attempt trying to do that, free of charge, using forums like this writing perhaps manifesting itself as itīs a job for monkies", similar to collecting garbage on the street, same as driving a bus,"unskilled", like a shift in a coal mine in the beginning of the industrial revolution, "I think itīs a 40k a year job" etc etc...