The nations and nation states of Europe spent from about 1789 to 1945 exercising their hobby of intramural homicide with modest input from the rest of the world.
Comparing past events and convolving them onto present situations is tricky and potentially dangerous.
Every culture needs to go though the social evolutionary process, but there is no golden rule to say it will work out as situation x. And the process where past cultural changes where influenced by others has changed as well.
Effectively yo have a culture that from some standpoints is centuries behind, but have access to modern weapons. The potential to have an outcome that may not be favorable to the west is several decades is to high.