I think my only input will be is, I'm confident this won't happen because I'm confident this can't happen. It wouldn't be a level playing field and wouldn't be fair and Newcastle would lose out. I think there has been A LOT of over exaggeration as to how far Newcastle would lose out, but we would.
I'd put money on these scenarios:
1. Scottish APD devolved: EZY goes, lose some charter long haul and frequencies on medium haul, forever stuck in the 4mppa purgatory we are in now.
2. Things stay the same: Slow and steady increase as things pick up, might have 5 million passengers again by the end of 2017.
3. UK drops APD: Everyone is better off! Even if massive savings aren't passed on to airlines, sale fares will be lower again, long haul will be much more sustainable for the regions (MAN and probably EDI will benefit from this big time) etc etc etc
There's got to be someone in the houses of parliament clever enough to work that out