AJ will want a quick LH negotiation. It will be "increased efficiencies" to save LH pilots from CR.
As I've mentioned previously, this EBA needs to be a long, protected & significantly delayed negotiation.
The closer it gets to AJ's magical turnaround date, the more pressure is applied to AJ.
The company may give the pilot group 6 months notification of possible CR as per the determination. But it will be part of their pressure to get a quick resolution to next LH negotiations.
What the company may not realise is they have already burnt up whatever good will remained within the LH group with the latest round of RIN's. Some pilots will be taking a pay cut associated with a demotion, so they will not be voting to accept a further reduction to their pay.
The company will say, a pay drop is better than job losses. Play their bluff & remember last on first off and mainline CR's are very expensive.
MC