Contractors from 2011 & early 2012 had the opportunity in 13-15mths (but as FO) some Capt's gave it a go, & subsequently were given immediate "leave of absence" to continue as Contract Capt if they wished . . some didn't.
So, since Summer 2012, approx 85 "Core" vacancies created, approx 250(?) Contractors recruited. Bjorn Kjos has been quoted as having stated "no more core vacancies" & relations between him & the Union have not approached "cordial" for quite some time.
Do the Maths & make your bet. At the current rate of expansion, which is primarily outside "K Area - Core " jurisdiction, I would suggest the wait could exceed 2 years. The 2 year thing was a deal between the Union & NAS that, if a base was viable "permanent employment" would be offered after 2 years. This could (in certain circumstances which HEL doesn't appear to have fulfilled. . . but well, nonetheless
) be extended to 3 yrs. However, as I understand it, the only requirement is that "permanent employment" would be offered at the end of 2 (3 ) years. Nowhere,
AFAIK does it state a "Core
" contract will be awarded.
Don't forget BK is a Lawyer, perhaps the Union should have employed one superior to him.