Originally Posted by
Pontius Navigator
Lonewolf, I went to a university seminar in the early-90s. A very young professor, he looked younger than a policeman, talked of NATO expansion and how far it would go. Then of future conflicts being not over oil but over water.
We were briefing that in NATO HQ's during the early and mid 90's as NATO shifted its focus from the Fulda Gap and Northern European Plain to the Southern Region. Three core strategic issues of concern to NATO's European AO:
1. Population explosion on areas bordering NATO's southern region
2. Food and water scarcity
3. Political instability as cold war world order realigned
There were other issues. Maybe that prof had a chance to talk to the strategy heads in NATO, and maybe a lot of people looking at the same thing came up with the same assessment.