HH, not sure of your conclusions as a smaller force should have a declining total outflow. The fact that outflow in terms of pure numbers has remained steady whilst the armed forces have reduced in size is another way of saying that the percentage leaving is increasing.
Anyway, the official and latest position from DASA is:
• The outflow of personnel from the UK Regular Forces was 24,110 in the 12 months to 30 June 2013. This is a increase of 590 (2.5 per cent) when compared with the 12 months to 31 March 2013 and an increase of 2,470 (11.4 per cent) when compared with the 12 months to 30 June 2012; this is due to those leaving on redundancy and an increase in voluntary outflow.
DASA's take on it seems about right from where I am sitting. What is not reflected in the stats is the profile of the cadre choosing voluntary outflow; this is of serious concern.
http://www.dasa.mod.uk/publications/...hTime=09:30:00