Well not all these shots are necessarily ACMI-valid, or there to make the QWI happy. But they certainly look good for the ordinary public like me...
In any case unless the Lightning spent all its Ps to make that shot, then I think that even if the Eagle is not already dead on this shot then it certainly is 2-3 seconds later.
I think you can even see that the burners are on, on this F15 but I'd bet it's too little too late.