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Old 27th Jan 2013, 15:37
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POWDERFINGER
 
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Most of this thread implies that China's next fatal jetliner crash will be due to human factors. Is there room for plain old bad luck? Or natural phenomena?

No, wait...we're talking about China, where human factors is the ten ton gorilla dwarfing everything else. Maybe on takeoff, the crew will be too busy trying to avoid a QAR event that they'll miss the presence of a real threat. Maybe ATC will be pushing an inexperienced crew and they'll make a deadly mistake. Maybe the copilot will be so busy spewing extra callouts for normal things that he'll miss the non-normal that steers events toward a wreck.

Yep, forget about thunderstorms, icing, birds, and bad luck.
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