A post from 14 Jan 2010:
...
I wonder if the ATSB report will conclude:
Safety Deficiencies:
The safety deficiencies identified relate to the accuracy of meteorological forecasts for Norfolk Island. The Bureau of Meteorology has advised that forecasts for remote Islands such as Norfolk are difficult to predict with accuracy and un-forecast conditions may occur without notice. Despite this advice the TAF issued at the commencement of the flight did not reflect this position.
Safety Recommendation:
Until the Bureau of Meteorology is confident of the accuracy of its forecasts for remote islands, a "PROB 20" line for constant conditions below the landing minima be added to every forecast to warn pilots of the Bureau of Meteorology's position that these conditions may occur without notice....