PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - How well can you or the airlines predict?
Old 3rd Sep 2012, 13:21
  #8 (permalink)  
BBK
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: UK
Posts: 471
Received 3 Likes on 2 Posts
BandB

And your point is what exactly? That no one can predict the future? Here's my suggestion. Stop trolling and read the book 'Black Swan' by Nassim Taleb. The author shows how it's the unexpected that catches you out. This chap came to fame because he predicted the financial crash. His analysis was based on the fundamentals of what he saw happening in the markets.

Will the companies you mention be around in ten years time? You, I and fellow ppruners have no way of answering that with any certainty. Most, if not all, pilots will make as best an informed choice as they can with the information they have at the time. As professional pilots what else can we do except keep our eyes and ears open but the same time I don't see the point of stressing about something that realistically we have no power over. I was given two good nuggets of wisdom when I started flying. Firstly, choose the company that gives you the lifestyle you want and secondly, pay off your mortgage as soon as possible!

Last edited by BBK; 3rd Sep 2012 at 13:45.
BBK is offline