Pampa,
Ek has 170 aeroplanes now. They plan 260 (280 can't remember the actual figure) by 2020. So growth of 110 (best case) aeroplanes in the next 9 years. Call it 10 Capts per aeroplane, thats 1100 of the 1700 fos on the present list upgraded by 2020. Of course people will leave in that time and that will help, but I think its pretty clear that planning on an upgrade in 2yrs would be planning for disappointment.
EK does not upgrade, or even fleet transfer on seniority. For example, as the 777 fleet has been growing for the past 6 or so years, FOs on that fleet have gained commands quicker than those on the Bus. In the same way Bus FOs upgraded quicker than Boeing FOs in the years before this. The Boeing has real fleet growth of 60 aeroplanes left, they already have a fleet of 100, so the junior FO there is without a delivery for command, and is needing the gumpy old b@ggas ahead of him to leave and make room for him. The miniBus fleet is at 44 and decreasing ( 5 332s and 8 343s leave by April 2013) but then grows to 70 (not counting options) 350s. The 380 is at 18 but grows to 90 by 2018. EK is notoriously bad at managing fleet replacement/growth. Many tears will be shed in the next few years because of this.
Not much help I guess but consider planning on a longer period for command. If it comes quicker its a bonus.
the Don