Oval, I will not comment on your style and debating skills, as they are obvious.
But let me explain to you just this:
This is a discussion about a best-case scenario, not a worst-case scenario.
Of course there might be even more bad news to come, there could be another SARS, a major oil crisis, hard landing of China followed by political instability,maybe even a war in Iran or in Korea, nobody knows (except you, of course)
Thread reopened.