None of them have a friggin clue, they are all guessing, all of them. They told us way back in 2002 that by 2010 most of the south east coast of Australia would be threatened, anybody seen Kirra beach lately, you need a packed lunch and a camel to get across it to the water, now they say 2016, I call it moving the goal posts for political reasons. When you have lived as long as I have you realise that money and power is what drives most, I have no reason what so ever to doubt that is behind all this crap as well.