But it is silly not to factor in the bad news too
Yes, I did factor in the bad news, and commented on how 2 out of your 4 examples have been directly replaced with another route, thus, reducing and substantial loss of pax in the process.
Like I say, the only major 'loss' in the scheduled market is that of Libyan (who will be back, as not all troubles last forever, yes, might not be this year, but they will), and BD to LHR.
At the end of the day, when you look at one side of the situation, its easy to see doom and gloom, but the imbalance points more towards a posative outlook. 3x new A330 services to the middle east alone outwieghs the loss of BD/Libyan, and as mentioned before, BE
replaced MSE with LDY, whilst easyjet
replaced HEL with BIO.
I agree that with oil at its current price, it is slightly worrying, but, with all of the new services that are due to start, I am sure 2011 will prove better pax wise than 2010. 2012 may be a different story, but lets have 2011 run its course before we analyse 2012 deeply.