Personally I am somewhat persuaded by the theory of a benign Iraq allowing an anti-Saudi stance.
However, in the context of Wannabeism, a war would be bad news. Oil prices spike, insurers get greedy, Joe American doesn't travel abroad and everybody worries about bombs on airliners.
There are now genuine signs that things are picking up. I am hearing daily of people being recalled to lost jobs. Looking 3 month ahead when the traditional airline hiring season will be wide open I can see significant movement. Ryanair and EZY's requirements alone will see 2 new crews a week. BA may well need to hire once the TEP's are soaked up in 6 months and the frnachises are already recruiting in some cases.
If the economy can just pootle along and avoid a recession as looks likely then next year could see significant opportunities arising for airline recruitment.
51 weeks ago people were having a go at me for being too downbeat about recruitment. Unfortunately the downbeat analysis held true for this year. If a major conflict in the Gulf can be avoided then I am mildly upbeat about next years prospects.
Cheers
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