Flyingsoldier, I agree with you 100%.
Apathy and fear will rule the day again, as crew who are fed up won't be bothered to vote and other crew in fear of being discovered as "yes" voters will abstain.
The 3-4,000 BASSA hardcore will all vote "no", resulting in the offer being declined on a low turn out.
On the other hand, should the deal be accepted you'll never meet anyone that will admit to having voted yes - a bit like BALPA's work coverage agreement!