I believe that biggest BASSA nightmare of New Fleet for all could come true, and their prophecy be realised, but only if they fail to realise the game is up and rapidly get around the table with BA to really negotiate.
If they don't and call for strike action tomorrow, then I can see BA issuing 90-day SOSR notices (as suggested by BASSA's own QC) with all to leave or sign up to their worst nightmare of industry +10%.
Conceding defeat is the only way forward, then they negotiate the orderly migration of routes to New Fleet (no way to avoid NF imho).
- They will have to realise that no crew will be reinstated.
- They will have to renegotiate the Disruption Agreement
- They will have to get rid off EF turnaround restrictions
- concede that NF will be totally separate ie no mixing of crews
They may
- retain existing allowances and box payments for existing fleets
- retain existing hotel arrangements
- retain existing downroute turnaround timings
- avoid mass transfer of lucrative routes to NF and make them pro-rata
The game is up for BASSA and I think they realise it. If they aren't brave enough to bite the bullet then they will be consigned to history, just like the NUM and Scargill; if they eat humble pie they may survive intact.
Me? I hope they continue true to form.