Baby
sjm
Cheers for the reply, I remember at the time I put the question out re the
Madrid, Rome & Lisbon as the press release was obviously just for public comsumption and I never really got much of a reply.
Usually when flights are pulled there is a very clear pattern with reduced
frequencies and raising of fares etc etc etc. However in this instance there seemed little evidence that this happened (really, I was checking).
However with FR flooding the market with seats from BHX at low prices
I assume something had to be done but there seemed to be more likely candidates at the time but as ever when you are on the outside you never get the full picture.
bread&water
The last time I checked the timetable they had not removed the chopped flights and they were still taking bookings for 20 aircraft (is that ethical?), which makes it difficult to give an accurate figure.
My guess for a summer season would be a loss of 275000 - 300000 pax.
On average bhx had 12 flights a day in April, May & October and 15 during
the peak months split between 2 x 735's and 3 x 733's (very crude est).
I make that about 830000 seats down to 500000 based on two aircraft
operating 8 sectors a day all summer with 149 seaters.
As C C has said most routes are covered by others and if BHX is lucky and say BMIR take on EDI & GLA (although the parent is dumping all its 50 seaters) and FR & ZB add some AGP's, PMI's and ALC's (if Baby chop them) then the loss might be less than first thought.
At worse I would say 300000 perhaps as low as 250000 and even less
if FR base aircraft 5 and 6 but who knows what their plans are.
It also appears that one of the Thomson aircraft is downgraded pax
wise to 73H from 757 for summer as well, which also will not help.
Pete