Dr Eckener
10% optimistic? That really depends on your terms of reference. In the good times I would suggest that the vast majority would be flying for pay eventually, most of those on good pay and on track for very good salaries. In the bad times, the vast majority will have a few years to wait, it is true. Those that persist will still get jobs (everyone I am still in touch with is being paid to fly, despite the fact that many of them finished courses in difficult times, as indeed did I). I agree that CTC is not good for pilots, and I hope that such schemes and self-sponsored integrated courses gradually die a natural death, however to make hysterical claims simply weakens the case.