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Old 12th Jun 2009, 04:48
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jonathon68
 
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Normal flu mortality rates are about 0.1% and are generally of young (under 2) or elderly (aged over 70) people, and occur mainly during the winter.

The last major H1N1 pandemic (1918-1919) had a mortality rate of 10-20%, mainly among healthy young adults, and occurred throughout the year. 30-40% of the worlds population may have been infected.

Records show that there were 3 waves, approximately 4-6 months apart. There were relatively few casualties among the first wave in March. However, the virus mutated to a much more deadly form for the second wave in August, with 5x more casualties. The virus mutated again to a more mild form for the final wave in the following February, although it still had 2x the casualties than the first wave.

Populations with a high level of mobility were among the first and hardest hit, so the measures being taken by Governments and the WHO would seem to be sensible.
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