This subject has been discussed in infinitessimal detail over the last few months, and a search will quickly uncover the major relevant threads.
Nothing has changed to alter our (the Pprune Wannabes professional staff) view that it would be 18 months to two years after 9/11 before any significant easing up of the job market took place - world wide. The numbers made unemployed (about 10% of the free world's airline pilot workforce) are just too large to be easily reabsorbed. Any resussitated or new routes will use up the maximum availabe productivity of both remaining crews and aircraft before a large-scale re-employment of those laid off can be countenanced by the accountants. That is some way off - in Virgin's case, we lost 255 flight crew. Since the beginning of this year, the projection of the crew numbers required has not altered significantly, but through early retirement, voluntary redundancy and part-time working, about 40 have been retrieved from compulsory redundancy. That leaves 125 pilots (the other 90 are flight engineers, who are in a far worse predicament) still to be reabsorbed - and not very many of them have found alternative employment.
This picture is reflected throughout the industry. In the meantime, God knows (as does WWW) how many have graduated from flight schools, and how many more have entered training. I would guess that somewhere around 2500 qualified pilots - CPL and above - are currently looking for work in UK. I would estimate that there will be no more than 150 UK airline flight deck jobs available this year. You do the sums.
Last edited by scroggs; 2nd May 2002 at 10:09.