PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Growing Evidence That The Upturn Is Upon Us
Old 17th Feb 2009, 00:19
  #1863 (permalink)  
Wee Weasley Welshman
 
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: England
Posts: 15,022
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Rumbled - BullionVault has been my backstop for a while now.

Ambrose has called each stage of this crisis and called it early - its a bit scary but its mostly all accurate. Not for the feint hearted:


Failure to save East Europe will lead to worldwide meltdown - Telegraph


Europe is already in deeper trouble than the ECB or EU leaders ever expected. Germany contracted at an annual rate of 8.4pc in the fourth quarter.

If Deutsche Bank is correct, the economy will have shrunk by nearly 9pc before the end of this year. This is the sort of level that stokes popular revolt.

The implications are obvious. Berlin is not going to rescue Ireland, Spain, Greece and Portugal as the collapse of their credit bubbles leads to rising defaults, or rescue Italy by accepting plans for EU "union bonds" should the debt markets take fright at the rocketing trajectory of Italy's public debt (hitting 112pc of GDP next year, just revised up from 101pc – big change), or rescue Austria from its Habsburg adventurism.

So we watch and wait as the lethal brush fires move closer.

If one spark jumps across the eurozone line, we will have global systemic crisis within days. Are the firemen ready?


Protect yourselves.


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