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Old 25th Oct 2008, 16:00
  #70 (permalink)  
patfitz
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: london+SOuthwest ireland
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even more numbers

getting back to the numbers you are much more likely to die in a car if you are drunk or speeding or on your mobile or tired

so if you are safe and alert the chance of dying in the cars is prob more like .4 per million

they say that flying in Ga is about as risky as driving while on the moblie

also the type of aircraft

The Bulletin’s analysis of Lancair accident records from the NTSB found that there have been 122 crashes in the United States since 1989 among the company’s nearly 1,100 homebuilt models. While 92 people were killed in those crashes, there were neither deaths nor injuries in more than 40 percent of them.


so a 1 in 9 chance of a crash if you flew it for 19 yrs
and in the crash a 60% chance of a fatility

or if you flew it for 1 year a 1 in 171 chance of a crash

i know the figures are not exact as the chance was in 1992 there was only 100 flying and in 2008 there was over a 1000 so that would mean you are even more likely to crash

Many Lancair crashes are due to lack of pilot training | Local & State News | The Bulletin

the most frightening statistic of all though is the owner of lancair says the planes have at least 200,000 hours

but work it out 92 deaths thats like 200 000 x 5 =1 000 000

92x5=460

surely that cannot be right

Lancair say that most causes are pilot inexperience or not built properly by the builder
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