The UK is quickly entering a recession according to various analysts. So what will the impact be on the various airports - my starter for 10:
Heathrow - benefit from slot scarcity and transfers of routes from Gatwick
Gatwick - loss of routes to LHR, reductions in charter market, especially demise of XL
Stansted - loss of FR and EZY volumes, high fees will restrict new operators
City - impact of financial cutbacks v slot scarcity
Luton - benefit from Stansted high costs. Destination list still growing. Not much charter traffic left to lose
Bristol - loss of XL against the best EZY regional base
Bournemouth - could buck the trend due to affluence of catchment area and interest from FR/EZY
Cardiff - loss of charter traffic and marginal chance of new loco operations
Birmingham - loss of charter traffic and full service cutbacks v Ryanair base building
Coventry - in severe danger of losing all traffic
EMA - loss of charter traffic, EZY base weak, FR base stronger, no growth from BMI. On balance
Doncaster - charter traffic down, not much else to rely on.
Leeds - Jet2 diversifying. Possible alternative destination in north to Manchester, eg PIA. Full service cutbacks
Manchester - very diversified but prone to charter decline. Possible increases from EZY and FR.
Liverpool - exposed to growth of FR and EZY at MAN. No new operators likely.
Blackpool - marginal even in the good times.
Teesside - nothing new, so gentle decline likely
Newcastle - charter traffic will reduce. Loco fairly bouyant.
I don't know enough about Scotland & N Ireland to comment.
I'd be interested to hear other people's perspectives. The views above are purely personal.